Saturday, September 5, 2026

When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins

Netflix’s roughly $20 billion content budget can become an editorial advantage as generative AI cuts production costs and floods viewers with synthetic content.

NFLX $511B

Bearhold Research Sep 5 17 clicks

Sep 5 META $1.6T

Bypassing RevenueBench to Buy the Feedback Loop

MBI Deep Dives 12 clicks

Sep 4 NVDA $5.3T

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman 23 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams May 23 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$PLUS Numbers don’t add up. 50% sales $CSCO product (sales -13% MRQ, guided -11%). MRQ $PLUS sales +13% (reported yesterday). Earnings call question: “OEM Cisco have talked about bottlenecks, weak orders. You’ve been unscathed…how are you outperforming the market significantly?”

@catechwilliams May 22 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$EXLS Highly innovative founder-CEO rapidly taking share w AI-based services. High-teens topline growth w expanding margins, higher value-add mix to attractive end-markets. 17x P/E yet to reflect business transformation. 100% FCF to buybacks. Winning customers from $ACN $DXC $WIT

@LittleOwlRes May 8 1 click

Little Owl Research on X

8/ There is a lot more to talk about (24% sequential increase in new home sales, ward village condo sales etc.) but I am hungry. So to wrap up, if you're selling $HHH on this quarterly report you do not understand what you own and I will be buying your shares at tomorrow's open.

@LittleOwlRes May 8 1 click

Little Owl Research on X

1/ So first things first, $HHH missed on top and bottom line. Am I concerned? Absolutely not. Value was created for shareholders and I'll briefly explain why...

@catechwilliams May 3

catechwilliams on X

$OII Niche leader in subsea robotics at 12x P/E. Offshore rig count accelerating (70% share), A&D growing DD, new autonomous tech a major growth driver in other end markets (lifts, etc). Investor day next week will showcase products and new LT targets. >50% NTM upside, IMO.

@catechwilliams Apr 30

catechwilliams on X

@TheMuffinMan28 SRS is a PE rollout, bit of a hodgepodge of assets. Concentration in landscaping, pool and roofing. No exclusive relationships (GMS is for $AWI, regional duopoly across most categories). End customers are small homebuilders (more competitive, less scale benefit for distributors).

@catechwilliams Apr 30

catechwilliams on X

$GMS Underfollowed building products distributor, HSD growth, favorable mix shift/ margin, tracking to beat estimates, trading at 10x EPS, 7x EBITDA. Peers at >50% higher multiples. $HD just acquired lower quality peer SRS for 17x EBITDA. GMS = $240 or +150% at that multiple.

@catechwilliams Apr 24 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW Situation getting : 1) being investigated by SEC, DOJ for bribery, cartel dealings, 2) intensely competitive biz, losing customers/ share w zero earnings; 3) sale of struggling prepared segment faltering. None of this is priced-in yet. Next 2 quarters likely a disaster.

Investor Letters

All letters

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…

RYN $6.1B

The Value Road Sep 4 39 clicks

Looking For A 2027 Defense Play: Honeywell Fits The Bill

HONA $48B

Petri Dish Reports Sep 4 6 clicks

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

Broadcom’s FY2028 revenue estimate rose from $162 billion to about $270 billion and EPS from $17.60 to $30, while the stock remained flat…

AVGO $1.7T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 4 20 clicks

Equinor: Positive Fundamentals Could Be Stifled By EU Emergency Measures (Rating Downgrade)

Equinor’s H1 2026 net income doubled to $7.94 billion as European gas prices rose, but EU energy-crisis measures could curb profitability.

EQNR $107B

Zoltan Ban Sep 4 10 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $7.5BCOST $402B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 11 clicks

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…

AVGO $1.7T

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 4 7 clicks

SKLZ · long

Skillz

Skillz won a lawsuit against a defendant unable to afford an appeal, while SKLZ trades below a likely settlement value.

SKLZ delisted

Value Investors Club Jun 6 1 click

MOH · long

Molina Healthcare

Molina Healthcare faces unprecedented Medicaid managed-care cost inflation and margin compression after its shares declined since October…

MOH $10B

Value Investors Club Jun 6 1 click

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $43BCRM $201B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 38 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $99B

First Strike Research Sep 3 21 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $27BWMT $842B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 4 clicks

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…

NFLX $511B

The Curious Analyst Sep 3 4 clicks

TOYO · short

Toyo CO LTD

TOYO CO LTD is the target of a short thesis.

TOYO $190M

Value Investors Club Jun 5 1 click

ENS · short

Enersys

EnerSys faces a short thesis as data-center and warehouse vehicle customers shift from lead-acid batteries to lithium-ion.

ENS $6.5B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

CDNL · short

Cardinal Infrastru Group INC

Cardinal Infrastructure Group faces an IPO lockup expiration amid stretched valuation and reported metrics, with an Up-C structure…

CDNL $1.7B

Value Investors Club Jun 5 1 click

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…

SMPL $916MBRBR $1.1B

The Value Road Sep 2 24 clicks

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Broadcom reported $29.6 billion Q3 revenue, up 86%, with AI semiconductor sales up 221% to $16.7 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $34.8…

AVGO $1.7T

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 2 5 clicks

Meta Vs. Meta's 7.1% Bond Yield: Reality Check For Asset Allocators

Meta Platforms’ 7.1% long bonds set a high return hurdle for equity as user growth nears saturation and the stock trades at 6.5 times sales.

META $1.6T

Tariq Dennison Sep 2 6 clicks

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…

DASH $88B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 17 clicks

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…

IREN $18B

Quantryon Capital Sep 2 11 clicks

Saturday, September 5, 2026

When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins

Bypassing RevenueBench to Buy the Feedback Loop

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

From X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Little Owl Research on X

Little Owl Research on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Investor Letters

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Looking For A 2027 Defense Play: Honeywell Fits The Bill

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

Equinor: Positive Fundamentals Could Be Stifled By EU Emergency Measures (Rating Downgrade)

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Skillz

Molina Healthcare

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

Selling Where They Ain’t

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

Toyo CO LTD

Enersys

Cardinal Infrastru Group INC

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Meta Vs. Meta's 7.1% Bond Yield: Reality Check For Asset Allocators

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

Publications we follow

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 14 of 130

X accounts we follow

Sectors

Saturday, September 5, 2026

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Little Owl Research on X

Little Owl Research on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 54

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 14 of 130

X accounts we follow

Sectors