Friday, September 4, 2026

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.

SMPL $852MBRBR $920M

The Value Road Sep 2 12 clicks

Sep 2 SGMO $60M

Sangamo Bankruptcy (SGMOQ)

Triple S Special Situations Investing 6 clicks

Sep 2 ATMTF $196M

An ATM that starts to spit out cash

The Oak Bloke 7 clicks

From X

@mavix_leon Apr 22 2 clicks

mavix on X

Evolution $EVO Q1 '26 results: ▫️Revenues -1.5% *Live Casino -3.2% *RNG +8.2% ▫️EBITDA -1.9% ▫️EBITDA margin of 65.4% (vs. 65.6%) ▫️Profit -1.1% ▫️EPS +2.1% ▫️OCF -4.3% ▫️Europe decline continues die to regulation, while other regions show good progress https://t.co/0HkW1HexzA

@LittleOwlRes Apr 21

Little Owl Research on X

Fantastic report. Huge value proposition for POS originators, very scalable. RBDT could become a meaningful part of the business (cherry on top), but its comparatively more difficult to underwrite. I’m happy to hold my shares just for the RPP growth potential. Long $VBNK https://t.co/8DuwRpY8gt

@eriksen_tim Apr 18 2 clicks

Tim Eriksen on X

Cedar Creek Partners Q1 letter released. Fund was up 6.8% in Q1, net of fees and expenses. $SODI $ENDI $EXCE $PHIF $HRBR $STLE $SLBK $RVRF https://t.co/d794sYsHAT

@Fierce__beast Apr 14 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

$RENT is a timely example of point #3: Stock up 25% in the morning on a strong beat in 4Q, little analyst coverage. The stock now is down 15%, that is a 40% move. I shorted a bit more at some point today when it was still up 10% or so. The fundamentals, the quality of its revenue growth is worsening and outlook is bad. The company needs to spend a significant amount on inventory, a hidden cost not on the income statement but rather depreciates through COGS overtime instead and is not even visible in any given quarter as a large loss. If they don't replenish inventory, customer satisfaction will likely deteriorate. They are planning to spend less on inventory and yet they are still guiding to margin deterioration in 2026.

@mavix_leon Apr 9 2 clicks

mavix on X

Evolution $EVO moves to add Playtech $PTEC as defendent in ongoing US defamation lawsuit. Evolution filed with the court accusing Playtech of orchestrating this smear campaign against Evolution in an effort to eliminate competition in the North American marketplace. Today’s filing also accuses Playtech of trade libel, fraud and racketeering, as well as withholding information about its conduct from shareholders despite Playtech CEO Mor Weizer’s active participation in the preparation and dissemination of the defamatory report.

@eriksen_tim Apr 4 1 click

Tim Eriksen on X

ECIP recipient, Citizens Bancshares $CZBS announces $4 million repurchase program. About 5% of market cap. https://t.co/cXfWhyXnSF

@catechwilliams Apr 1 1 click

catechwilliams on X

@TaylorStCap $MRLN Investor presentations, company filings and public statements clearly represent that they are trying to develop pilotless technology (see intro slide of their IR deck below). Regardless I believe drone technology and auto-pilot assist systems have existed for many years. https://t.co/aCvg9KFLhP

@catechwilliams Apr 1 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$MRLN. Recent SPAC. Development-stage science project attempting to make autonomous airplanes. Even if they ever get FAA approval, it will take a brave sole to get in a plane with no pilot and/or send high value cargo. Many existing autopilot competitors. Burning $70M/ year.

Tectonic Therapeutic: Competitor Data Strengthens The TX45 Bull Case

Tectonic Therapeutic's TX45 CpcPH-HFpEF program gains support from Merck's CADENCE data; Phase 1b hemodynamics and cash through Q1 2029 set…

TECX $450M

Equity Eagle Sep 2 2 clicks

EVC Update

EVC reported a solid second quarter and outlook.

EVC $666M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Sep 1 15 clicks

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

Limbach's EBITDA fell 30% as organic revenue declined, but 1 Main Capital calls the weakness temporary and views CYMCOR as its first…

LMB $572M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 1 9 clicks

IEH Corporation: Research Note

IEH Corporation won $6.5 million of APKWS orders, lifting backlog above $45 million as defense connector demand drives capacity expansion.

IEHC $74M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 1 2 clicks

GoPro sold itself at 9:20 AM to get ahead of a meme stock

GoPro rushed out its Starman Optical merger after Markiplier-driven buying sent GPRO up roughly 90% premarket, offering shareholders $1.14…

GPRO $275M

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 1 4 clicks

Shattuck Labs: A Receptor-Side Bet On The TL1A Boom

Shattuck Labs pivots to DR3-targeted IBD therapy SL-325, funded through a Phase 2b readout as it competes with anti-TL1A drugs.

STTK $656M

Equity Eagle Sep 1

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

CCOI $377M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…

VRRM $458M

The Oak Bloke Aug 27 6 clicks

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.

DOMO $167M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 27 3 clicks

FUFU 2026-08-27

BitFuFu: A $93 Million Liability No One Can Explain

BitFuFu’s $93.4 million unexplained long-term payable equals 57% of liabilities, overshadowing sharply higher self-mining and hosting…

FUFU $233M

Dorine Cherop Aug 27

TOYO · short

Toyo CO LTD

TOYO CO LTD is the target of a short thesis.

TOYO $181M

Value Investors Club Jun 5

US-Canada Tariffs: Finding Investment Opportunities

US-Canada tariffs impose 50% duties on $20 billion of Canadian goods, lifting US steel makers while pressuring Canadian exporters and…

ASTL $444M

Aurelion Research Aug 24

RCEL 2026-08-24

AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care

AVITA Medical’s more predictable reimbursement, RECELL GO rollout and PermeaDerm economics support adoption, with cash flow breakeven…

RCEL $363M

Myriam Alvarez Aug 24 4 clicks

Portillo’s: Strategic Reset

Portillo’s reset follows weak Texas unit economics, cutting next year’s openings to five from roughly 10 annually and shrinking store…

PTLO $267M

TSOH Investment Research Aug 24

RCAT 2026-08-23

Here's Why You Should Watch Red Cat In H2 2026

Red Cat targets $150–$180 million in FY2026 revenue after 527% growth, with margin expansion dependent on second-half drone-contract…

RCAT $988M

Petri Dish Reports Aug 23 3 clicks

WD #355: AUNA/CAAP Earnings, Brazil, USMCA Trade Situation

CAAP reported decent second-quarter earnings and its first dividend, while Brazil rose on an election poll and USMCA trade developments…

AUNA $372M

Ian’s Insider Corner Aug 22

PTLO 2026-08-20

Portillo's: Guidance Cut Confirms It's Cheap For A Reason

Portillo's guidance cut followed a 1.2% same-restaurant-sales decline and 1.9% margin compression, while its $343 million TRA liability…

PTLO $267M

KC Research Aug 20 2 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $458M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

Going against the grain on GO Residential

GO Residential’s H&R REIT deal could trigger index purchases of 32 million units and re-rate its Lantower portfolio, despite related-party…

GONYF $499M

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Aug 18

ContextLogic

ContextLogic’s US Salt holds about 23% of the US and Canadian pharmaceutical-grade salt market, one of only two suppliers, supporting…

LOGC $675M

Kairos Research Aug 18

Friday, September 4, 2026

mavix on X

Little Owl Research on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Fierce_beast on X

mavix on X

Tim Eriksen on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

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