Thursday, September 3, 2026

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.

SMPL $852MBRBR $920M

The Value Road Sep 2 12 clicks

Sep 2 SGMO $60M

Sangamo Bankruptcy (SGMOQ)

Triple S Special Situations Investing 6 clicks

Sep 2 ATMTF $196M

An ATM that starts to spit out cash

The Oak Bloke 7 clicks

From X

@LittleOwlRes Apr 21

Little Owl Research on X

Fantastic report. Huge value proposition for POS originators, very scalable. RBDT could become a meaningful part of the business (cherry on top), but its comparatively more difficult to underwrite. I’m happy to hold my shares just for the RPP growth potential. Long $VBNK https://t.co/8DuwRpY8gt

@ToffCap Apr 19

ToffCap on X

Not officially a liquidation, but getting close (I think). CVD Equipment $CVV agreed to sell its Stainless Design Concepts division for $16.9m, o/w $15m after taxes and fees. This will bring total net cash on the b/s at ~80% of the market cap. The company will continue to assess its portfolio.

@eriksen_tim Apr 18 2 clicks

Tim Eriksen on X

Cedar Creek Partners Q1 letter released. Fund was up 6.8% in Q1, net of fees and expenses. $SODI $ENDI $EXCE $PHIF $HRBR $STLE $SLBK $RVRF https://t.co/d794sYsHAT

@eriksen_tim Apr 16 2 clicks

Tim Eriksen on X

@andrewcoye @chrisvirnig @DeepSailCapital Aggregate change among all 5% owners within three years. So not thousands. For $BIRD the Class B founding shares are more than three years old so they drop off, it is change for FMR, Ghost Angel, Vanguard, Blackrock plus any grants to B holders in last 3 yrs.

@eriksen_tim Apr 15 1 click

Tim Eriksen on X

So PaperClip (expert: $PCPJ) issues an important press release but somehow it ends up under an incorrect ticker for China Dongsheng. Do they not realize they can correct these things? https://t.co/pULXthDnYq

@Fierce__beast Apr 14 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

$RENT is a timely example of point #3: Stock up 25% in the morning on a strong beat in 4Q, little analyst coverage. The stock now is down 15%, that is a 40% move. I shorted a bit more at some point today when it was still up 10% or so. The fundamentals, the quality of its revenue growth is worsening and outlook is bad. The company needs to spend a significant amount on inventory, a hidden cost not on the income statement but rather depreciates through COGS overtime instead and is not even visible in any given quarter as a large loss. If they don't replenish inventory, customer satisfaction will likely deteriorate. They are planning to spend less on inventory and yet they are still guiding to margin deterioration in 2026.

@mavix_leon Apr 9 2 clicks

mavix on X

Evolution $EVO moves to add Playtech $PTEC as defendent in ongoing US defamation lawsuit. Evolution filed with the court accusing Playtech of orchestrating this smear campaign against Evolution in an effort to eliminate competition in the North American marketplace. Today’s filing also accuses Playtech of trade libel, fraud and racketeering, as well as withholding information about its conduct from shareholders despite Playtech CEO Mor Weizer’s active participation in the preparation and dissemination of the defamatory report.

@eriksen_tim Apr 4 1 click

Tim Eriksen on X

ECIP recipient, Citizens Bancshares $CZBS announces $4 million repurchase program. About 5% of market cap. https://t.co/cXfWhyXnSF

Tectonic Therapeutic: Competitor Data Strengthens The TX45 Bull Case

Tectonic Therapeutic's TX45 CpcPH-HFpEF program gains support from Merck's CADENCE data; Phase 1b hemodynamics and cash through Q1 2029 set…

TECX $450M

Equity Eagle Sep 2 2 clicks

EVC Update

EVC reported a solid second quarter and outlook.

EVC $666M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Sep 1 15 clicks

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

Limbach's EBITDA fell 30% as organic revenue declined, but 1 Main Capital calls the weakness temporary and views CYMCOR as its first…

LMB $572M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 1 9 clicks

GoPro sold itself at 9:20 AM to get ahead of a meme stock

GoPro rushed out its Starman Optical merger after Markiplier-driven buying sent GPRO up roughly 90% premarket, offering shareholders $1.14…

GPRO $275M

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 1 4 clicks

Shattuck Labs: A Receptor-Side Bet On The TL1A Boom

Shattuck Labs pivots to DR3-targeted IBD therapy SL-325, funded through a Phase 2b readout as it competes with anti-TL1A drugs.

STTK $656M

Equity Eagle Sep 1

Emerge Commerce ($ECOM.V) FINS Review

Emerge Commerce's $44 million COVID-era acquisitions produced losses and impairments, while modestly improved Q2 liquidity leaves its…

EMCMF $11M

Wolf's Substack Aug 30 6 clicks

NTG Clarity Networks ($NCI.V) FINS Review

NTG Clarity’s $18.6M of Q2 service revenue sat in contract assets, while $4.6M cash burn cut cash to $2.85M and raises liquidity concerns.

NYWKF $12M

Wolf's Substack Aug 28 8 clicks

INMB 2026-08-28

INmune Bio: CORDStrom In The Lead After Signs Of UK Regulatory Alignment

INmune Bio's Ebstrocel targets recessive dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa with UK, EU and US filings planned by early 2027, while XPro adds…

INMB $56M

Tejo Strategy Investing Aug 28

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

CCOI $377M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…

VRRM $458M

The Oak Bloke Aug 27 6 clicks

TOYO · short

Toyo CO LTD

TOYO CO LTD is the target of a short thesis.

TOYO $181M

Value Investors Club Jun 5

Hydreight Technologies: A Strong Quarter With Some Yellow Flags (Rating Downgrade)

Hydreight Technologies' Q2 revenue rose 12% sequentially to $28 million, while gross margin fell to 19.4% and cash burn stayed elevated,…

HYDTF $120M

Fernanda Galvez Jalil Sep 2 1 click

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.

DOMO $167M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 27 3 clicks

FUFU 2026-08-27

BitFuFu: A $93 Million Liability No One Can Explain

BitFuFu’s $93.4 million unexplained long-term payable equals 57% of liabilities, overshadowing sharply higher self-mining and hosting…

FUFU $233M

Dorine Cherop Aug 27

No Paywall: CDTi Advanced Materials: Two Supermajors and Twelve Months of Cash

CDTi Advanced Materials has $804,000 of cash, roughly 12 months of runway, and unproven maritime methane technology despite ExxonMobil and…

CDTI $9.1M

Guardian Research Aug 26

Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review

Atlas Engineered Products reported Q2 revenue up 19% to $16.2 million, but ended cashless on its credit line as inventory rose 47% and…

APEUF $30M

Wolf's Substack Aug 25 10 clicks

US-Canada Tariffs: Finding Investment Opportunities

US-Canada tariffs impose 50% duties on $20 billion of Canadian goods, lifting US steel makers while pressuring Canadian exporters and…

ASTL $444M

Aurelion Research Aug 24

The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb

Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.

STRR $36MHHS $34M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 24 8 clicks

RCEL 2026-08-24

AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care

AVITA Medical’s more predictable reimbursement, RECELL GO rollout and PermeaDerm economics support adoption, with cash flow breakeven…

RCEL $363M

Myriam Alvarez Aug 24 4 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $458M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

Thursday, September 3, 2026

Little Owl Research on X

ToffCap on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Tim Eriksen on X

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Fierce_beast on X

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Tim Eriksen on X

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