A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?
Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.
Thursday, September 3, 2026
Back to today 
From X
PAA Research on X
$OXM getting "LULUed" after hours following a huge guide lower. Apparently people are tired of the floral prints at Lily Pulitzer. Less bright colors they said. Tepid demand for $150 quarter zips at #southerntide isn't helping matters either. The market seems to think that $0.70 quarterly dividend is at HUGE risk. No position.
Lee Roach on X
"But my quarterly deceleration" the Wall Street idiot cries out as his wife leaves him for a cashier at the local grocery store. $EVC https://t.co/9Z5qvFrCCh
SG on X
$GPRK GeoPark breaking out after news it is expanding into Venezuela. Sin of omission for me: I sold my position in 2025 and never re-entered. https://t.co/aR4XtkYvHX
Nat Stewart on X
$GSM Ferroglobe up today on announcement of a European review of antidumping measures on Chinese silicon metal Has been in a volatile trading range for years, but potential bull points appear be stacking up. (I own long dated calls, watchlist stock)
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Community Corner: Active Indiana bank buyer heads to Illinois for latest deal $THFF | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/nrMSXAi9Vo
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Krista continues to do things that benefit all $WCCB constituents. https://t.co/SfnvY46NVh
Maj Soueidan on X
XBP’s failed post-merger integration leaves its turnaround dependent on contract wins, asset sales and cost cuts overcoming a heavy debt burden.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 082920 $938M
- Protean Funds July 2026 TRUE-B $584M
- Royce Investment Partners first half of 2026 AIOT $352MPAR $559M
- Protean Funds June 2026 TRUE-B $584MVIVA $349M
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 DGXX $435MDIG $459M
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter BUR $857MCODI $843M
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 LXU $726MOIS $499M
- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended June 30, 2026 CLB $477M
Shattuck Labs: A Receptor-Side Bet On The TL1A Boom
Shattuck Labs pivots to DR3-targeted IBD therapy SL-325, funded through a Phase 2b readout as it competes with anti-TL1A drugs.
Equity Eagle 
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
ARQQ 2026-08-25 Arqit Quantum: The Little Boat That Couldn't
Arqit Quantum trades at 397.6x FY26 EV/Sales while facing 5.44 million shares of dilution, cash burn and uncertain recurring revenue.
Luis Cortes Dequidt 1 click
US-Canada Tariffs: Finding Investment Opportunities
US-Canada tariffs impose 50% duties on $20 billion of Canadian goods, lifting US steel makers while pressuring Canadian exporters and…
RCEL 2026-08-24 AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care
AVITA Medical’s more predictable reimbursement, RECELL GO rollout and PermeaDerm economics support adoption, with cash flow breakeven…
Myriam Alvarez 4 clicks
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
Going against the grain on GO Residential
GO Residential’s H&R REIT deal could trigger index purchases of 32 million units and re-rate its Lantower portfolio, despite related-party…
ContextLogic
ContextLogic’s US Salt holds about 23% of the US and Canadian pharmaceutical-grade salt market, one of only two suppliers, supporting…
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
QDEL · long Quidelortho CORP
QuidelOrtho is presented as a long idea after falling to 52-week lows, with the thesis centered on misvaluation.
Comeback Season: Evolv Eyes Positive FCF, 40% ARR Growth, and Reputational Revival in '25 ($EVLV)
Evolv ($EVLV) targets positive free cash flow and 40% ARR growth in 2025 as delayed filings, an FTC resolution, and leadership changes seek…
Insureco w/ Potential Strat Alts Announcement Soon + 100% Upside on Buyout ($TIPT)
Tiptree ($TIPT) is positioned around a potential Fortegra sale announcement; Fortegra generates substantially all revenue.
Unpacking eDreams' Capital Markets Day
EDreams nears 7.25 million Prime members and €180 million of Cash EBITDA, marking its shift from an online travel agency to a…
20 OTC Markets Oddities
OTC Markets has lost many profitable small companies to buyouts, privatizations and SEC Rule 15c2-11.
The Strategic Value of eDreams
EDreams’ Prime travel subscription model makes the €3.6 billion European OTA a potential Uber, Airbnb or Amazon acquisition target.
JBG Smith
JBG Smith trades at an estimated 40% discount to NAV, backed by National Landing multifamily assets, Amazon HQ demand and $1.3 billion of…
(I)nbound (M)igrants (X)panding (I)nternational Remittances
International Money Express trades at roughly 5x forward EV/EBITDA despite growth, modest leverage and excess cash available for…
Quality Investing Outside the Blue Chips
Rand Worldwide, an Autodesk reseller, grew revenue from $116 million to $306 million while using less equity; expired three-year…
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