Wednesday, September 2, 2026

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to scaling GOV 4 to 5 times.

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 5 clicks

Aug 31 WAY $4.9B

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

scuttleblurb 5 clicks

Aug 29 VEEV $42B

Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled

MBI Deep Dives 10 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 26 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

@FishOnCapital IMHO best to view this in context of the pod w/ the banker from the 600 MHz. To paraphrase, all of the likely buyers wanted the 600, but AT&T won b/c they were able to move fastest. I suspect $VZ, $TMUS & others will be ready to move fast for $NN's 900. https://t.co/5gRpmej4Bk

@catechwilliams Nov 20

catechwilliams on X

$PTRN Recent IPO. $AMZN Mktplace wholesaler. Buys products up front, capital intensive, bears price, inventory risk. Exposed to FBA cost & AMZN algo changes. Claims AI optimization which AMZN explicitly blocks. Razor thin margins, neg op leverage. All peers went BK in last 3yrs.

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 12

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg 3/x) $NN argues for coexistence b/c it WORKS. They have also shown that much of part 15 is already in the 11 Mhz NN doesnt want. and most of part 15 will be end of life b4 radios get hung, so no need to pay to move them. it is possible the RFID makers get some $, but not much

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 12

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg 1/x) 1st you AGAIN didnt respond to any of my points. nevertheless, i will respond to your points. 1) $NN has operating a M-LMS network in SF for 10+ yrs w/ 0 part 15 interference, & they want to LOWER emissions for 5G. It is factually incorrect to say MLMS is weaker than NN 5G

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 12

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg to be specific as I already said, tolls already primarily operate in the 11 mhz $NN doesn't want. NN will pay "tens of millions" for a software retune to move the toll readers not already in the 11 mhz to the 11 mhz.

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 12

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg the "studies" that the opposition have submitted are full of false assumptions and bad data, as demonstrated by $NN. Why would objectors willingly submit bad studies? logical explanation is b/c proper studies show no interference.

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 12

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 8/x) add this to the list of common sense and technical arguments that demonstrate how the 900 band is not messy. Assume the $NN bears will ignore this, as they ignored the above points. https://t.co/wqpbmn33X7

@LittleOwlRes Nov 10

Little Owl Research on X

In September I had the pleasure of attending the Howard Hughes $HHH annual shareholder meeting. I met the man himself! @BillAckman Not to get ahead of myself, but this could be the beginning of something very special. Today’s quarterly results help to reinforce my views on the quality of both the asset base and management. The company is firing on all cylinders. Management continues to execute on the MPC strategy, and an acquisition seems highly likely in the short term. However, the shares still trade at a deep discount to intrinsic value. Do I care? No—at least not yet. Pershing Square has a truly remarkable track record. Since adopting their “permanent capital” strategy they have done 23.5% net of fees annually since January of 2018. Not too shabby. I suspect they’ll be acquiring a small insurer in the 1.0x-1.4x P/B range, if that’s the case, and they continue to put up those returns, the acquisition will be monstrously accretive. When Buffett took control of Berkshire, it was a failing textile mill with a negative terminal value. Ackman is starting off with assets of much higher quality and that are beginning to generate a lot of excess cash. A lot of work has to be done, but I’m happy to hold my shares here. If you’re interested in learning more about the real estate operations, I’ve attached my $HHH report from November of 2023–obviously outdated, but should help get you up to speed on the history, RE strategy, and asset base—and I will be putting out an updated report after the details of the insurance acquisition are announced. https://t.co/ueKI0TWY9R

BE 2026-08-29

Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break

Bloom Energy’s 80x forward earnings valuation relies on concentrated megaprojects, sustained AI data-center power demand and continued…

BE $81B

Valuation Rewind Aug 29 2 clicks

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…

RBLX $36B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 28 7 clicks

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…

SNDK $276B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 28 9 clicks

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

BHVN 2026-08-27

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

Biohaven’s $795 million global opakalim licensing deal with SK Biopharmaceuticals boosts cash, lowers R&D spending and extends its funding…

BHVN $2.1B

Edmund Ingham Aug 27 1 click

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 12 clicks

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

TEM 2026-08-20

Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance

Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…

TEM $14BMRNA $73B

Robert J. Lake Aug 20 2 clicks

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…

IREN $19B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 18 12 clicks

KRYS · short

Krystal Biotech INC

Krystal Biotech is a profitable commercial-stage biotech with an $8.7 billion enterprise value and one FDA-approved topical gene therapy,…

KRYS $10B

Value Investors Club Jun 3

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…

ADYEY $31B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 24 5 clicks

HMY 2026-08-24

Harmony Gold Mining: A Copper Pioneer By Capitalizing On The Gold Tailwind (Reaffirming Buy)

Harmony Gold targets copper at roughly 40% of future production, diversifying gold exposure while increasing sensitivity to commodity…

HMY $12B

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 24 4 clicks

Core Memory

Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…

ABNB $90B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 23 9 clicks

FUTU 2026-08-23

Futu Holdings: The China Discount Is Obsolete After Q2 Earnings Report

Futu Holdings' Q2 funded accounts rose 33.6%, client assets 43.6% and net income 41.6% as it shifts from mainland China toward Singapore,…

FUTU $15B

Emanuel Nemec Aug 23 4 clicks

The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket

Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 22 9 clicks

TGTX 2026-08-22

TG Therapeutics: Briumvi's Growth Attracts Buyout Rumors

TG Therapeutics' Briumvi growth and subcutaneous formulation progress have fueled takeover rumors, with Biogen, Incyte and Sanofi cited as…

TGTX $8.7B

ONeil Trader Aug 22 1 click

$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital

Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…

NU $68B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 17 9 clicks

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…

HUBS $11B

The Oak Bloke Aug 16 9 clicks

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

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