Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns

Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.

AMZN $2.7T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 25 4 clicks

Aug 24 ADYEY $31B

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

MBI Deep Dives 6 clicks

Aug 23 ABNB $99B

Core Memory

MBI Deep Dives 11 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach Aug 13 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

@Uzocapital Thoughts on $TTD here?

@BrokenMoats Aug 13 1 click

Broken Moats on X

who is financing an LBO of $WDAY at this valuation....one of the more baffling capital allocation decisions across the spectrum I could imagine. Seems like a very levered play to try and change marks on private credit and then move to open refinancing or the IPO market to dump all the bags and use "WDAY" as mark/proof. Whole thing is sketchy.....

@junkbondinvest Aug 13 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

*SILVER LAKE IN TALKS TO BUY WORKDAY: REUTERS ~$43B enterprise value...would be one of the largest software buyouts EVER! $WDAY

@leevalueroach Aug 13

Lee Roach on X

What price would you guys buy $LFTO at? https://t.co/KotrBWwRVj

@TheBenSchmark Aug 13 2 clicks

JabroniCoin.USD on X

So now $SMCI is part of the agentic & SpaceX capex trade? https://t.co/BMrEvmCbQj

@leevalueroach Aug 13 1 click

Lee Roach on X

Me seeing $HOG up 5% after a massive insider buy the market missed. https://t.co/PaS59DADNh

@leevalueroach Aug 13 1 click

Lee Roach on X

Growth hogs slamming $LFTO down 10% as Liftoff says they also won’t have sequential growth because Q2 was so good from model breakthroughs and The World Cup. Growth hogs and slobs still price Liftoff higher than Entravision even though Liftoff is guiding to 35% annual revenue growth and Entravision is in the triple digit range. Growth hogs are not to be trusted around your wives folks.

@junkbondinvest Aug 13 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

Some interesting credit stats: > Hyperscalers are now ~20% of the entire 30-yr IG bond bucket > ~40% of all 30-yr IG deals this year came from hyperscalers > $AMZN and $META each make up more than 5% of long-end bonds individually

FUTU 2026-08-23

Futu Holdings: The China Discount Is Obsolete After Q2 Earnings Report

Futu Holdings' Q2 funded accounts rose 33.6%, client assets 43.6% and net income 41.6% as it shifts from mainland China toward Singapore,…

FUTU $15B

Emanuel Nemec Aug 23 5 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.5B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 14 clicks

BAC 2026-08-20

Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG

Bank of America’s BAC.PR.B yields just over 6% near par, while discounted lower-coupon series such as BAC.PR.P offer better value despite…

BAC $375B

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 20 1 click

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 18 clicks

TEM 2026-08-20

Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance

Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…

TEM $12BMRNA $79B

Robert J. Lake Aug 20 3 clicks

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $7.1B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 14 clicks

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…

IREN $15B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 18 13 clicks

$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital

Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…

NU $74B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 17 10 clicks

The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville

Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…

GOOGL $4.2TMETA $1.8T

The Monetary Matters Network Aug 16 11 clicks

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…

HUBS $12B

The Oak Bloke Aug 16 10 clicks

JBTM · long

JBT Marel Corporation

JBT Marel is an enduring food-equipment business with low AI risk, automation upside and favorable GLP-1 exposure.

JBTM $5.4B

Value Investors Club May 26

SEZL 2026-08-23

Sezzle: The Numbers Don't Support The Selloff

Sezzle fell 20% after Q2 despite a revenue and EPS beat and higher guidance, as marketing spending and seasonality drove a sequential…

SEZL $3.8B

Daniel James Aug 23 3 clicks

The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket

Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…

DASH $83B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 22 10 clicks

NVDA 2026-08-22

Nvidia: It's All About SpaceX Now

Nvidia’s exclusive SpaceX partnership targets a 10 GW data-center buildout and could add $120 billion to $230 billion of revenue beyond…

NVDA $5.5T

Uttam Dey Aug 22 2 clicks

Walmart’s Evolution

Walmart says Medicare Maximum Fair Price rules will cut FY27 US comps by 125 basis points, while pharmacy margins and prescription volumes…

WMT $877BPYPL $47B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 21 7 clicks

Instacart’s Unit Economics, and Implications for DoorDash

Instacart’s per-order unit economics provide a benchmark for assessing DoorDash’s LTM profitability and operating model.

DASH $83B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 20 6 clicks

NBIS 2026-08-20

Nebius: The Market Is Arguing About The Wrong Number

Nebius posted 454% revenue growth and a 41% EBITDA margin, while Meta’s $27 billion agreement supports its AI infrastructure backlog.

NBIS $60B

The Quality Growth Investor Aug 20 3 clicks

AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…

MSFT $3.9TAMZN $2.7T

Steve Eisman Aug 14 11 clicks

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 10 clicks

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…

M $6BKSS $2.2B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 13 10 clicks

Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Lee Roach on X

Broken Moats on X

junkbondinvestor on X

Lee Roach on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Lee Roach on X

Lee Roach on X

junkbondinvestor on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 92

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 44 of 216

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors