Monday, August 24, 2026

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including OpenRouter and Metronome.

ADYEY $31B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 24 6 clicks

Aug 24 STRR $37M

The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb

Triple S Special Situations Investing 9 clicks

Aug 23 ABNB $99B

Core Memory

MBI Deep Dives 11 clicks

From X

@RagingVentures Aug 24 3 clicks

Raging Capital Ventures on X

$META prepares to launch consumer AI offerings https://t.co/cB3kWOricw

@orrdavid Aug 24 5 clicks

David Orr on X

@SowingAlphaSeed So $AMZN probably has lots of sites to divert to compute if needed, no real permits even really required I bet...

@ChrisCamillo Aug 24 7 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

@JakeNapppoa4 i don’t look at price but currently long $BE

@ChrisCamillo Aug 24 8 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

Whether it’s AI demand or player sentiment heading into the GTA VI release, you’ll never get to ground truth by lazily relying on what algorithms surface: copy/paste headlines and viral investor takes often driven by confirmation bias. Go to the source. Small accounts. Real people who actually consume the product, not those clouded by the trade. $TTWO

@BlueDuckCap Aug 24 6 clicks

BDC on X

$SOXX could go down 20% from here and still be up over 30% YTD

@RagingVentures Aug 24 5 clicks

Raging Capital Ventures on X

@TheValueist No, the best capital allocation for both $MU and $SNDK would be to either dividend back cash or sit on the cash until the cycle turns down. Buying back stock at around the peak of the cycle and at (give or take) 20x the value of their invested capital base is not smart.

@orrdavid Aug 23 5 clicks

David Orr on X

@grok @jasondebolt Put that another way, you could have known Burry or Einhorn didn't have a real track record back in the mid 2000s, if you'd just realized they were betting huge on the value factor. Same thing with $ARKK through 2021.

@orrdavid Aug 23 5 clicks

David Orr on X

A rhetorical thought experiment: Someone was all in $GME or $AMC stock on Jan 1st, 2021. They sold all of their stock right near the top. That's +1,600% for $GME and +2,500% for $AMC. They simply did nothing for the next 5 years. $GME guy still has a 65% CAGR, $AMC guy an 80% CAGR. These skilled investors?

The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket

Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…

DASH $83B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 22 10 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.5B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 14 clicks

BAC 2026-08-20

Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG

Bank of America’s BAC.PR.B yields just over 6% near par, while discounted lower-coupon series such as BAC.PR.P offer better value despite…

BAC $375B

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 20 1 click

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 18 clicks

TEM 2026-08-20

Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance

Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…

TEM $12BMRNA $79B

Robert J. Lake Aug 20 3 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $445M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 14 clicks

BHP 2026-08-20

BHP: Stop Calling This An Iron Ore Stock

BHP expects copper to generate over half of FY2026 EBITDA and plans a 40% production increase by FY2035 after profit, free cash flow and…

BHP $216B

On the Pulse Aug 20 1 click

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $7.1B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 14 clicks

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $866M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 18 14 clicks

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…

IREN $15B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 18 13 clicks

DASH · long

Doordash INC

DoorDash holds roughly 60% U.S. market share in on-demand restaurant logistics, underpinning a long thesis on its defensible delivery…

DASH $83B

Value Investors Club May 22 2 clicks

Under The Hood, Universal Health Services - $UHS

Universal Health Services faces a $432 million–$480 million annual Medicaid supplemental-payment hit by 2032, offset by behavioral-health…

UHS $10B

Bearhold Research Jun 4 4 clicks

Too Many Cooks Spoil The Pot

Baron’s BARAX and BGAFX hold SpaceX at a $1.25 trillion valuation, creating a potential NAV uplift if its IPO prices higher.

SPCX $1.8T

Cluseau Research Jun 3 6 clicks

Investcorp Credit Management BDC: Visiting the Private Credit Garbage Bin

Investcorp Credit Management BDC is framed as a troubled corner of private credit.

ICMB $9.8M

Clark Street Value Jun 1 4 clicks

[scuttleslops] SPOT, UMG, TXN, SPGI, TRU, ADSK, MTCH, CSGP, DLTR

Spotify and Universal Music Group will offer licensed AI song covers and remixes as a Premium add-on, with artist opt-in and royalty…

SPOT $108B

scuttleblurb Jun 1 6 clicks

The last Bristol Myers' blog post was wrong on the core thesis

Ivonescimab plus chemotherapy extended median overall survival by 4.2 months versus Tevimbra plus chemotherapy in HARMONI-6, challenging…

SMMT $14B

John Hempton's Newsletter May 31 9 clicks

eDreams: Disproving the Bears and Regaining Credibility

EDreams cut FY26 Prime-member guidance to 600,000 after Ryanair blocks, while its subscription model lifted Prime to 7.25 million members…

EDDRF $521M

310 Value’s Newsletter May 30 4 clicks

A non-consensus thesis: the forthcoming demise of Bristol Myers Squibb.

Bristol Myers Squibb’s bear case centers on patent-cliff revenue losses, debt, and failed drug investment after $28.3 billion of 2019–23…

BMY $122B

John Hempton's Newsletter May 26 9 clicks

Adobe Deep Dive

Adobe trades at 14x earnings after a 65% decline, with AI, Canva and Figma threatening subscriptions, customer acquisition and…

ADBE $90B

Speedwell Memos May 26 3 clicks

Glow Lifetech ($GLOW.C) FINS Review

Glow Lifetech’s Q1 revenue hit a record $643,000, up 35% year over year, while its $9.6 million market cap and fading warrant overhang…

GLWLF $5.4M

Wolf's Substack May 26

Raging Capital Ventures on X

David Orr on X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

BDC on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

David Orr on X

David Orr on X

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