Saturday, August 22, 2026
From X
David Orr on X
Citadel’s semiconductor bet depends on whether SOXX’s drop is technical or reflects weakening AI-chip fundamentals, with forced selling and redemptions shaping the near-term exit.
David Orr on X
@FixedIncQuant @nickgiva1 $IBIT has a $46 billion AUM.
BDC on X
Apple trades at 35 times earnings despite Services deceleration and slowing China revenue, with harder comparisons ahead and near-doubled market capitalization raising ownership risk.
BDC on X
A few mins to go, but this has been by far Andy Jassy's best call ever as CEO. Well done sir. $AMZN
BDC on X
$AMZN op margin of 13.7% is its highest quarterly margin ever by a pretty wide margin. ROIC showing itself.
BDC on X
In July the bubble moved over into $AAPL where it was hanging out during the semis blood bath. $AAPL with a so/so print is constructive since that there the bubble has been parked.
BDC on X
$AMZN incremental AWS margins are 57% and operating cash flow grew +40% against a much harder comp. These types of numbers show that ROIC is there on the capex.
BDC on X
I know I was poking some fun at $META last night but I think its a buy here in all seriousness. Not advice. But lots of ways to win in the end. Not advice, do own DD etc. I could be wrong.
Investor Letters
All letters- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026 +6.6%
- First Eagle Investments 3Q 2025 +9.2%
- Palm Harbour Capital third quarter
- Bireme Capital 2Q22 -1.4%
- Bireme Capital first five months of 2023 +8.0%
- Polaris Capital Management FIRST QUARTER 2026 +5.1%
- Polaris Capital Management SECOND QUARTER 2026 +12.3%
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 +3.2%
DICK'S Sporting Goods Stock Is Hanging On By A Thread But Looks Like A Buy Ahead Of Q2 Earnings
Walmart’s Evolution
Walmart says Medicare Maximum Fair Price rules will cut FY27 US comps by 125 basis points, while pharmacy margins and prescription volumes…
Instacart’s Unit Economics, and Implications for DoorDash
Instacart’s per-order unit economics provide a benchmark for assessing DoorDash’s LTM profitability and operating model.
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…
[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…
The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…
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Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers
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Private Credit's Clock is Ticking w/ Glenn Schorr & Ken Worthington | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 72
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Alphabet Inc. ($GOOGL) - Deep Dive
Bearhold Research
[V, MA] The more things change, the more they stay the same
scuttleblurb
SpaceX Disappoints, AI's Free Cash Flow Shrinks, Meta Struggles | The Weekly Wrap
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