Meta's "True" ROIC, and Some Notes from Meta and Alphabet's 10-Qs
Meta’s adjusted LTM ROIC is in the mid-50s after excluding $80 billion of construction in progress; that capacity will lower returns as AI capex enters service.
Monday, August 3, 2026
Back to today
Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)
Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…
Meta: 2Q26 Business Update
Meta's 2Q26 revenue rose 27%, but capex, depreciation and nascent cloud and AI ambitions raise margin and return risks as it maximizes…
Amazon 2Q'26: AWS Gets the Love
Amazon’s AWS grew 37% to a $169 billion run rate in 2Q’26, while North America retail margins fell excluding a $600 million tariff refund.
[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us
OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…
This Stock Just Got Cheaper on Better Numbers
A debt-free American manufacturer now trades at roughly 7x annualized Q2 EBITDA, with $7.35 per share in net cash and a tender floor 18.5%…
[scuttleslops] ODFL, AMD, INTC, CDNS, URI, VRSK, KNSL, WSO
Old Dominion Freight Line grew Q2 revenue 10.4% and EPS 32.3% as pricing offset lower tonnage, while excess network capacity sets up…
Entravision: Another Whale Has Emerged
Entravision’s Q1 filings contain a new footnote disclosure pointing to a potential second large advertiser beyond its Hong Kong customer,…
Google’s AI Return on Investment
Alphabet’s $132 billion AI capex produced an estimated 49% post-tax incremental ROIC once only in-service assets are counted, versus a…
Under the Hood - Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)
Adobe generates 96% of revenue from subscriptions and converts over 40% into free cash flow, but generative AI tests whether Creative…
Under the Hood - Tractor Supply ($TSCO)
Tractor Supply’s 2,602-store rural retail network supported 30+ years of growth.
PPTA · long Perpetua Resources CORP
Perpetua Resources (PPTA) is a development-stage gold mining project.
Defending the Enterprise Castle from the Model Layer
Microsoft urges enterprises to keep AI memory, evaluations and orchestration inside their tenant boundary, making frontier models…
Matan on Stitch Fix
Stitch Fix’s rushed Freestyle pivot cannibalized its profitable Fix business, driving active clients below 3.4 million, quarterly revenue…
Meta On the Offense!
Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 targets agentic enterprise work, backed by employee workflow data and 3,000 engineers building reinforcement-learning…
Under The Hood, Universal Health Services - $UHS
Universal Health Services faces a $432 million–$480 million annual Medicaid supplemental-payment hit by 2032, offset by behavioral-health…
Too Many Cooks Spoil The Pot
Baron’s BARAX and BGAFX hold SpaceX at a $1.25 trillion valuation, creating a potential NAV uplift if its IPO prices higher.
[scuttleslops] SPOT, UMG, TXN, SPGI, TRU, ADSK, MTCH, CSGP, DLTR
Spotify and Universal Music Group will offer licensed AI song covers and remixes as a Premium add-on, with artist opt-in and royalty…
The last Bristol Myers' blog post was wrong on the core thesis
Ivonescimab plus chemotherapy extended median overall survival by 4.2 months versus Tevimbra plus chemotherapy in HARMONI-6, challenging…
eDreams: Disproving the Bears and Regaining Credibility
EDreams cut FY26 Prime-member guidance to 600,000 after Ryanair blocks, while its subscription model lifted Prime to 7.25 million members…
A non-consensus thesis: the forthcoming demise of Bristol Myers Squibb.
Bristol Myers Squibb’s bear case centers on patent-cliff revenue losses, debt, and failed drug investment after $28.3 billion of 2019–23…
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