Meta's "True" ROIC, and Some Notes from Meta and Alphabet's 10-Qs
Meta’s adjusted LTM ROIC is in the mid-50s after excluding $80 billion of construction in progress; that capacity will lower returns as AI capex enters service.
Monday, August 3, 2026
Back to today
Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)
Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…
Meta: 2Q26 Business Update
Meta's 2Q26 revenue rose 27%, but capex, depreciation and nascent cloud and AI ambitions raise margin and return risks as it maximizes…
Amazon 2Q'26: AWS Gets the Love
Amazon’s AWS grew 37% to a $169 billion run rate in 2Q’26, while North America retail margins fell excluding a $600 million tariff refund.
[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us
OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…
This Stock Just Got Cheaper on Better Numbers
A debt-free American manufacturer now trades at roughly 7x annualized Q2 EBITDA, with $7.35 per share in net cash and a tender floor 18.5%…
[scuttleslops] ODFL, AMD, INTC, CDNS, URI, VRSK, KNSL, WSO
Old Dominion Freight Line grew Q2 revenue 10.4% and EPS 32.3% as pricing offset lower tonnage, while excess network capacity sets up…
Entravision: Another Whale Has Emerged
Entravision’s Q1 filings contain a new footnote disclosure pointing to a potential second large advertiser beyond its Hong Kong customer,…
Google’s AI Return on Investment
Alphabet’s $132 billion AI capex produced an estimated 49% post-tax incremental ROIC once only in-service assets are counted, versus a…
Under the Hood - Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)
Adobe generates 96% of revenue from subscriptions and converts over 40% into free cash flow, but generative AI tests whether Creative…
Under the Hood - Tractor Supply ($TSCO)
Tractor Supply’s 2,602-store rural retail network supported 30+ years of growth.
QXO · long QXO, Inc.
QXO, led by Brad Jacobs, is consolidating North America’s fragmented building-products distribution industry after rapidly building scale…
Evolution: 4Q25 Business Update
Evolution's fourth-quarter revenue fell 4% as Asia cyber disruption and European channelization outweighed U.S.
Meta: 4Q25 Business Update
Meta’s 4Q25 revenue rose 24% as AI lifted ad performance, but 2026 costs are guided up about 41% and capex to $115–135 billion.
LVMH: 4Q25 Business Recap
LVMH’s 2025 revenue fell 5% and operating profit 9% amid forex and luxury weakness, while Fashion & Leather Goods improved in the second…
Programmatic DSPs
Entravision’s Smadex AdTech unit generated 104% revenue growth and 378% EBIT growth, becoming the main upside driver after Meta ended its…
LandBridge: It’s the Pore Space Stupid!
LandBridge’s produced-water pore-space royalties, 69% of Q3 2025 revenue, offer durable value beyond its volatile Permian data-center…
Green Dot: Creating a Standalone BaaS Bank
Green Dot creates a standalone banking-as-a-service bank.
Return of the Power King
China Yuchai (CYD) seeks a 2026 rerating as governance normalization, global expansion, AI data-center power demand, and green-powertrain…
Data Centers in the Permian Basin Part 3 - First Comes Power
Chevron’s proposed $6.5 billion, 2.5GW West Texas gas plant could support Permian AI data centers, with TPL, Oxy and WaterBridge land…
TransDigm (TDG) – The King of Aerospace Private Equity
TransDigm built a $72 billion aerospace-components consolidator through 90 acquisitions, delivering 23.1% annualized stock returns since…
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Deep Sail Capital
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Investor letters we follow
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