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Thursday, October 15, 2026· 2020 stock ideas· 217 writers·
16,417 views· 7,588 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data center sales target 60% to 80% growth.

MOD $9.2B
CV's Substack 3 clicks

From X

@StableBread 1 click

Fajasy on X

Energy Fuels $UUUU, the largest U.S. uranium producer, fell 10% to $8.34 on October 14, a new 52-week low, the day after it filed to sell another $500M of stock through its at-the-market offering (ATM). Energy Fuels had already sold ~$300M of stock through the program, and at $8.34, another $500M would be ~60M more shares, or ~22.6% of the 264.8M outstanding. On October 13, Energy Fuels also amended its deal for VAC, the German magnet maker it agreed to buy in June, over a dispute at VAC's U.S. plant. VAC's Sumter, South Carolina plant "was constructed in connection with an offtake agreement," and that customer sent a termination notice on July 1, eight days after Energy Fuels signed the deal. VAC started arbitration on July 7, arguing the termination was wrongful and seeking the payments left on the contract. Energy Fuels says it knew about the dispute during negotiations and built in a purchase price adjustment. VAC itself lost €87.9M (~$99M) in 2025 and €57.4M (~$67M) in H1 2026, even as H1 revenue rose 34.8%. In June, my bear case was $8-10/share: The ATM keeps diluting and the rare earth premium drains out. At $8.34, the stock already sits in that range, while Energy Fuels still plans to pay $718M of cash, 65.9M shares, and up to $135M of preferred stock for a magnet maker in arbitration with the customer its U.S. plant was built for.
@BrokenMoats 1 click

Broken Moats on X

Have to at least acknowledge rate reversal and move into low quality and retail/software today...... But oil/diesel/soft commodities/transportation all staying bid, find this more positioning over extended om rates then durable change (especially with the data and the still unresolved issues causing the inflation) AI sold off I think is what is driving both moves in rates (more out needs a home) and retail/rate sensitive/software were the funding shorts (see sectors and components today) ......but geez at these prices an easier trade I think is to fade software/retail then guess next stop on AI and funding.....the are correlated (for now) anyways. Go through the sectors and components and sort by % gain today almost stacked ranked from worst business (biggest intraday gain) to quality at the bottom.....tells you whats going on. Some might say low quality always leads on a reversal.....this is not a start this is after a stealth sharp move higher for $ARHS $ETSY $EBAY $KSS $SHAK $WMT $CBRL $APPN $DOCU $IT $FRSH $BSP etc.

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LQDA: finer powder, higher doses

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Deep Dive: Inter & Co

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KRYS · short

Krystal Biotech INC

Krystal Biotech is a profitable commercial-stage biotech with an $8.7 billion enterprise value and one FDA-approved topical gene therapy,…

KRYS $9.6B
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Short CNM

Core & Main faces a short thesis centered on the risks in its roll-up strategy.

CNM $7.8B
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Short LUMN

Lumen Technologies faces a fading boost from its PCF-related sugar high.

LUMN $5.1B
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