Wednesday, October 7, 2026

What I’ve Been Up To

Cogent Communications and AI data-center bottlenecks feature in a newsletter update on recruiting, financial media and conference takeaways.

CCOI $515M

Stock Thoughts Oct 7 2 clicks

Oct 7 LSAK $405M

Lesaka: Why He's Betting Big | Ali Mazanderani | Ep. 5

Mispriced Assets 2 clicks

Oct 7 BROS $5.5B

💥New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - And Go Concepts, LLC (Salad and Go)💥

PETITION 3 clicks

From X

@DeepSailCapital Sep 29

Deep Sail Capital on X

Added back $CRCT short too: One time tariff impacts make the financials look good, but the company is in structural decline: $26.7M of the $47.4M operating income was non-recurring $20.3M of IEEPA tariff refunds and a $6.4M royalty reserve release. Strip them and operating income is roughly half what printed, on revenue that fell 9%. The rest of the bear case: Hardware is in structural decline — down 22%, with lower ASPs on the Joy 2 and Explore 5 launches and heavier promotion. A razor-and-blades model where the razors are shrinking. Platform growth is 5% and subscribers grew 3% to 3.10M. That's the "good" half, and it isn't growing fast enough to carry a declining hardware base. Engagement is flat, not recovering. 90-day engaged users 3.49M against 3.48M. Management framed stabilising active users as a win, which tells you the trend it's stabilising from. Tariff refunds do not repeat. The Q2 comp next year is brutal.

@pennycheck Sep 29

⚽️📡 on X

$ADEA New CEO hire is exactly what you want to see. She spent last 8 years at $ARM turning semi conducter IP into massive growth + recurring revenue honestly surprised stock is down given how the previous CEO exit had been weighing on the stock https://t.co/m34bD0nn3l https://t.co/JXuFHAsKJj

@blondesnmoney Sep 29

Cluseau Investments on X

$ASIC has significantly outperformed its more loftily valued peer, Kinsale, by 42% YTD. With Excess and Surplus activity continuing to slow, however, I think Ategrity is no longer the value setup it once was and I've taken profits on the ASIC leg of the trade. https://t.co/X0GyGmL414 https://t.co/IngDuCC0H8

@junkbondinvest Sep 29

junkbondinvestor on X

Perella Weinberg combining with Piper Sandler is one of those headlines that would have sounded impossible to a banking analyst in 2010. $PWP $PIPR https://t.co/bpmLDTuepn

@irbezek Sep 29

Ian Bezek on X

@PythiaR I think $SRPT is the undisputed king in this regard, at least over a full career. https://t.co/fOpmysh4yC

@stockgutter Sep 29

SG on X

@everyonehatesp1 I like $EGHT and may join you on the long side soon. However, it needs to grow revenue substantially. Otherwise, its slow but serial dilution will continue to eat away at sales per share. https://t.co/yWYRKPdXTe

@DOMOCAPITAL Sep 29

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Why a $MNRO sale is likely imminent: The quarter after the Chairman, Solomon,received millions of shares in exchange for giving up his right to veto a sale of the company - the company initiated a strategic review that was in "preliminary stages." Last quarter that changed to "well underway" and the "financial and legal advisors" became "independent financial advisors Bank of America and Solomon Partners." In regards to valuation. The CEO has a comp package that essentially doubles his outstanding shares if the stock hits $25 and triples them if the stock hits $30. An announcement of a sale of $MNRO appears to be imminent (before year end) especially since Icahn just closed on Pep Boys sale to Mavis and a sale price of $MNRO of at least $25 but possibly $30+ seems probable.

@calvinblissett Sep 29

Calvin Blissett on X

Good news, however if you are following this please keep cash around as when it is ‘officially’ announced arbs exiting will likely sell it down a good chunk. $ZIM https://t.co/CeQ6985wr9

Astronics: Marked Down After A Record Quarter - Buy

Astronics targets $1.02 to $1.04 billion in 2026 revenue after adjusted operating margin reached 20.3%, with Boeing representing 12% of…

ATRO $2.8B

Jordan Aquilina Oct 6

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX

Golar LNG’s fourth FLNG vessel targets 3.5MTPA capacity and a 2029 delivery, supporting projected adjusted EBITDA above $1 billion in…

GLNG $4.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 6 1 click

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): The CEO Takes a Driving Test

Group 1 Automotive CEO Daryl Kenningham’s Toyota ties, capital-allocation decisions, compensation and stock sales face scrutiny after the…

GPI $2.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 6 3 clicks

Portfolio Update September 2026

Portfolio added Otis Worldwide in the mid-$60s, increased Pool, Copart and Floor & Decor, and sold Berkshire Hathaway.

POOL $5.8B

D Invests Oct 5 1 click

Brazil could be the Q4 Macro Play – My stock ideas: $NU, $INTR, $PICS and maybe $STNE, $PAGS, $DLO and $MELI

Brazilian fintechs NU, INTR and PICS stand to benefit from a Bolsonaro-led runoff surprise that lowers fiscal risk premiums, rates and the…

INTR $3.2BPICS $1.6B

Substack von Philipp Oct 5 3 clicks

Alliance Resource Partners: A ~10% Yield Backed By Contracted Coal And Growing Royalties

Alliance Resource Partners has 2026 coal sales fully contracted and is expanding oil and gas royalties through AllDale, supporting its 9.8%…

ARLP $3.2B

Timur Mekhantev Oct 5 4 clicks

Did Group 1 Overpay for Hennessy? The Seller’s Own Banker Says It Was a Record.

Group 1 paid $1 billion of goodwill for Hennessy’s 10 dealerships, a record $100 million per store, financed largely with $1.25 billion of…

GPI $2.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 4 4 clicks

Howard Hughes: Still Attractive Despite Risks Of Rapid Transition

Howard Hughes plans to raise nearly $4 billion by selling real estate assets and condos, accelerating Vantage’s insurance expansion while…

HHH $4.3B

Gary Gambino Oct 3 3 clicks

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…

MRP $3.8B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

IRDM $5B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

ABG · long

Asbury Automotive Group INC

Asbury Automotive Group's changed setup and underperformance versus other public dealers form the basis for a renewed long thesis.

ABG $3B

Value Investors Club Jul 9

RLJ Lodging Trust: Opportunity To Own A Quality Hotel Portfolio At Discount While Earning Dividends

RLJ Lodging Trust trades below book value, with positive FY26 FFO guidance and property conversions offset by elevated leverage risk.

RLJ $1.1B

Albert Anthony Oct 6 2 clicks

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Crocs: Double-Digit Buyback Yield (Ticker: CROX)

Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…

CROX $5.5B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 2 4 clicks

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 2 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $4.8B

Seeking Profits Oct 1

How Ethos Sold Wall Street on AI While Powering an Analog Boiler Room

Ethos Technologies ($LIFE) sells AI-driven life insurance while relying heavily on multilevel marketing agencies using aggressive cold…

LIFE $2.2B

Hunterbrook Oct 1 1 click

Karman Holdings q2’26 Earnings Update

Karman Holdings reported 58% Q2 revenue growth, $1.3 billion backlog and margin expansion while replacing leadership and remediating…

KRMN $4.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 1

Innodata: The 45% Pullback Has Changed My View (Rating Upgrade)

Innodata's 45% pullback resets its valuation after two quarters of 50% revenue growth, though two customers still supply 71% of revenue and…

INOD $2.2B

Kurt Christensen Oct 1

Wednesday, October 7, 2026

Deep Sail Capital on X

⚽️📡 on X

Cluseau Investments on X

junkbondinvestor on X

Ian Bezek on X

SG on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Calvin Blissett on X

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