Saturday, October 3, 2026

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is Lennar’s CEO.

LEN $18BMRP $3.8B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Oct 2 NKE $51B

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Latticework by MOI Global 2 clicks

Oct 2 NKE $51B

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Latticework by MOI Global 1 click

From X

@pennycheck Sep 25

⚽️📡 on X

This is pretty interesting given betaville doubled down this week on the ft report from last month that NXPI was buying $AMBA https://t.co/sTFBugyWZx

@calvinblissett Sep 25 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

AI think it is more a question of pricing (LLPA grid) for a $FICO scored loan than predictive power and has been for some time. A FICO loan and a VS loan do not command the same price by mortgage buyers, resulting in absurd amounts of money left on the table for sellers of securitized mortgages, and a much higher mortgage for individual buyers

@RagingVentures Sep 25

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Along with our great guest speakers (outlined below), our Ideas & Networking Conference next Thursday, October 1st in NYC will feature a few investment ideas from yours truly. Over the years, we’ve highlighted some good ones, including: 2023 — $EFXT below $6, now $23+; $FPH below $3, now $4.65 2024 — Alphawave Semiconductor, subsequently acquired by $QCOM at a 70% premium; $MRAM below $6, now $18; $WBD below $9, now $30 2025 — Short $ORCL at $285 Plus, many more ideas along the way. We’re down to just a handful of seats for next week. Click below to register: https://t.co/NZIcFTuLGW

@leevalueroach Sep 25 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

I really like Liftoff $LFTO here. All of the ad tech businesses look too cheap. https://t.co/OzZE77AtrE

@John_Hempton Sep 25 4 clicks

John_Hempton on X

Gee I love $AMC Apes. https://t.co/qqCkWZUjJU

@BillAckman Sep 25 1 click

Bill Ackman on X

The Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. ($HHH) 2026 Shareholder Meeting will take place next Wednesday September 30th at The Auditorium at 787 Seventh Ave in New York City. At the meeting, among other topics, we will discuss how we intend to accelerate the transformation of HHH to an insurance holding company by dramatically reducing the capital intensity of our Howard Hughes Communities real estate subsidiary, freeing up capital to be invested in Vantage, our insurance subsidiary. HHH CEO David O'Reilly, Ryan Israel CIO, Marc Grandisson Executive Chairman of Vantage, and I will make a presentation and address audience Q&A. Advanced registration for the meeting is required with priority given to HHH stockholders. To register, visit: https://t.co/mPPE8xiQd2

@John_Hempton Sep 25

John_Hempton on X

See that sudden spike down in $AMC. That is what a naked short selling ladder attack looks like. It is hard to tell when executed in dark pools but this one is so much fun to watch.

@valuedontlie Sep 25

Colin King on X

Activist Starboard Value putting pressure on former spin-off $KNF Been a wild post-spin ride... $40 to $100+ back to $50 Starboard arguing KNF margins are half (!!) of peers and should close the gap by 2029 or sell the business https://t.co/nEylz6nGkI

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $40BIRDM $5B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

American Healthcare REIT: A Dip Buy Driven By Senior-Care And Outpatient Tailwind

American Healthcare REIT’s senior-housing and outpatient portfolio is driving FFO growth and dividend safety, while a rich valuation limits…

AHR $12B

Albert Anthony Oct 2 1 click

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Crocs: Double-Digit Buyback Yield (Ticker: CROX)

Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…

CROX $5.5B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 2 4 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $4.8B

Seeking Profits Oct 1

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $42B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Constellium: The Spread Between Feedstock And End Prices Keeps Widening

Constellium’s widening feedstock-to-end-price spread supports 2026 EBITDA guidance of $980M-$1.02B and free cash flow above $300M.

CSTM $3.5B

Andres Veurink Oct 1

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

DASH $83BABNB $99B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1

AEGXF · long

Aecon Group Inc.

Aecon Group’s long thesis targets 50-80% share-price upside over 6-12 months as the company shifts beyond a complex special situation.

AEGXF $2.6B

Value Investors Club Jul 5 3 clicks

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Autodesk reported Q2 revenue growth of 16% to $2.05 billion, while RPO growth slowed to 2%; FY2027 guidance calls for $8.30 billion to…

ADSK $49B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1

HOOY: A Hold For The YieldMax HOOD Option Income Strategy ETF

YieldMax HOOD Option Income Strategy ETF pays high weekly income from Robinhood volatility, but return-of-capital distributions and a 0.99%…

HOOD $98B

Ivan Gaddari Oct 1

How Ethos Sold Wall Street on AI While Powering an Analog Boiler Room

Ethos Technologies ($LIFE) sells AI-driven life insurance while relying heavily on multilevel marketing agencies using aggressive cold…

LIFE $2.2B

Hunterbrook Oct 1 1 click

Karman Holdings q2’26 Earnings Update

Karman Holdings reported 58% Q2 revenue growth, $1.3 billion backlog and margin expansion while replacing leadership and remediating…

KRMN $4.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 1

Innodata: The 45% Pullback Has Changed My View (Rating Upgrade)

Innodata's 45% pullback resets its valuation after two quarters of 50% revenue growth, though two customers still supply 71% of revenue and…

INOD $2.2B

Kurt Christensen Oct 1

[ROL – Rollins] The exterminator’s dilemma

Rollins’ shares have fallen more than 50% from their peak, resetting valuation as route density, reliable service and pricing support…

ROL $16B

scuttleblurb Oct 1 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

KMX $7.6BTLN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1 1 click

HubSpot Valuation: SaaS-Pocalypse Discount And DCF Imply More Upside

HubSpot trades at 18.4x forward earnings and 3x sales after the SaaS selloff; a DCF using 22% FCF growth values shares at $302.66.

HUBS $12B

Bishop Research and Analytics Oct 1 2 clicks

Group 1's CEO Said "Competitive Advantages and Opportunities." A Car Dealer? I Went Looking.

Group 1’s 19% ownership cap, tied to automaker franchise agreements, frames Conifer’s 1.9 million-share stake and potential buyback-driven…

GPI $2.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 1 1 click

Saturday, October 3, 2026

⚽️📡 on X

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Raging Capital Ventures on X

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John_Hempton on X

Colin King on X

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