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Friday, October 2, 2026

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@MaiusPartners 1 click

Maius on X

Some $PSIX thoughts off the recent 8-K: The banking syndicate lifted committed capacity from $135m to $220m (+$85m), cut the SOFR margin from +2.60% to +1.80%, and pushed maturity from July 2027 to September 2029 (~26 months). Credit committees are structurally risk-averse. More exposure, less spread, and longer tenor only clears if they like the repayment case. So what are they underwriting that most equity investors still won’t touch? Two things the disclosures imply: 1) Weichai’s North American strategy is locked in. Change-of-control remains tied to Weichai keeping board control and ≥40% ownership (same economic threshold as before). The extension removes left-tail risk that Weichai pursues a different go-to-market path. 2) The extra capacity isn’t for today’s balance sheet. Net debt was essentially zero at Q2’26 (cash ~$70m, debt ~$73m). The new investor materials flag Prime Power as a deliverable for the first time—ranges that overlap $INIO’s data-center gas engines, a segment where $INIO recently highlighted as an area "Chinese players have historically struggled to break in" and hence command "100% market share in several datacenter power ranges". As Bezos put it: your margin is my opportunity. Have a great weekend, everybody!
@blondesnmoney

Cluseau Investments on X

It's been a year since this post and I've held all the names aside from Sandisk (which I sold 600 shares of at $130 and think of on a regular basis), and Powll Industries. Not a great day today, "attitude adjustment" from Western Digital (made a bad day trade as well), and Kioxia and WDC have been halved since June (would've been nice to cash out at the peak). Still, I think perspective is key, all of these components have come a long way since the original post a year ago, and I think the toughest part has been owning them rather than attempting to time the market. Every headline has been absolutely brutal in prompting the worst, most emotional decisions, at the wrong time. I made a few modifications, I spent $50 to collar $MU between 1000 and 1500 until December, which seems like a really inexpensive hedge to get 400 points of upside and limit losses to a 70 point downside, and today I used proceeds from selling $WDC calls to buy some December and January 350 Strike Puts on my entire position. It serves as a contractual stop loss, WDC is up 120% this year but I don't want to ride it back to the cost basis or negotiate with myself on the way. Either it holds 350 and finds some footing, or I get closed out in a few months and move on. Despite today's relatively bad day, the basket has worked out ok over the last 12 months. Hedging Cost: 60,000 Basket Cost Basis: 1.404 Million Current Value: 4.328 Million Unrealized: 2.924 Million

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Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $53B
Latticework by MOI Global 1 click

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $53B
Latticework by MOI Global 1 click
COCO · short

Vita Coco Company INC

Vita Coco, COCO, is pitched short after a 45% monthly rally, arguing investors are overextrapolating coconut water category growth.

COCO $3.3B
Value Investors Club 1 click

Google Is a Secular Short

Alphabet rents scarce AI compute to rivals while DeepMind faces internal capacity constraints, weakening Google’s AI position and long-term…

GOOGL $4.1T
Key Context by Tae Kim

RI(N)sing higher

RIN prices near all-time highs reflect tighter renewable-fuel mandates, a shrinking credit bank, and biodiesel production shortfalls.

FF $220M
Treasure Hunting 4 clicks

Thoughts on Markets, July 2026

Meta’s planned cloud business and Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 revived doubts over AI compute scarcity, driving chip stocks lower and exposing S&P…

META $1.8T
Aurelion Research

On Holdings: Maintaining Pace

On Holdings expects roughly CHF 3.5 billion in FY26 revenue as running shoes drive growth, while APAC exceeds 20% of sales and apparel…

ONON $11B
TSOH Investment Research

The Black Patch Tobacco Wars

The Black Patch Tobacco Wars show how American Tobacco’s buying power drove Kentucky and Tennessee farmers to organize against below-cost…

BTI $115B
Invariant

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