Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Research Roundup Vol. LIV

Research Roundup covers AAON's data-center cooling ramp, Knife River's margin recovery, ChronoScale's Microsoft-backed neocloud buildout and Bitdeer's shift from bitcoin mining to AI…

AAON $6.8BKNF $2.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 30

Sep 29 TTD $5.7B

Dark arts or infinite reload? $TTD’s CEO options and the repricing proxy

Yet Another Value Blog 5 clicks

Sep 29 GPI $3B

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)

Cannibal Stocks 3 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Jun 16 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 2/x) $NN can play a video for congress of them running tests right outside the capital building, or maybe even inside, and say "see, no interference."

@LaughingH20Cap Jun 16 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 1/x) the point is that next time $NN is front of congress, when the opposition claims interference, Miriam can say "congressman, did you notice your key card not working?" "Sergeant at Arms, were there any issues w/ electronic security?" etc etc

@LaughingH20Cap Jun 16 3 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

I think there is signal value here. No way the FCC runs $NN tests at the literal capital building unless they have sign-off from the highest levels. To much risk of this being labeled a “stunt” unless the FCC and higher powers are strongly supportive. https://t.co/Eaxyu0UbS4

@Mike10947310 Jun 16

Mike on X

I haven’t followed $WULF much but with the news that Anthropic is pursuing DC leases and with Century Aluminum sharing that Terrawulf believes they will have a tenant announcement by end of June… aren’t the pieces kind of fitting together and if so what’s the blue sky upside look like?

@marginofdanger Jun 15 1 click

marginofdanger on X

@BillAckman Literally every asset that’s managed by you including $HHH $PSHZF and now $PSUS has always traded at a discount. Why would this one be any different?

@cfrischer1 Jun 15 1 click

Charles Frischer on X

$NN I have received a few questions about my Part 15 tweets from last night. I remain incredibly bullish. In fact, I am more confident about the upside today than ever. My sole point is that I believe Part 15 users are not going to be interfered with by NN.

@cfrischer1 Jun 15

Charles Frischer on X

$NN I believe the record shows that Part 15 users will not suffer from unacceptable interference. I think we are absolutely live for the July and August meetings.

@BrokenMoats Jun 15

Broken Moats on X

$BROS always trades expensive, but a near +40% move recently and competition and pricing issues abound. 7 Brew continues to scale rapidly with nearly identical model to dutch bros, a reinvigorated and cheaper Starbucks, plus McDonalds, Dunkin, Sonic and nearly ever other QSR chasing the refresher/dirty soda/energy drink rush + Swig should put increased pressure on refreshers/emerg portfolio as the market gets more saturated, and $ becomes a bigger competitive factor

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX

Monte Investments upgrades Karman Holdings to Buy with a $133 target after a 65% drawdown, citing 28.83x EV/aEBITDA and governance changes.

KRMN $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 29 1 click

Applied Optoelectronics: The Biggest Growth Phase Starts Now

Applied Optoelectronics targets $1.1 billion in 2026 revenue as 800G and 1.6T data-center demand drives capacity expansion, despite…

AAOI $9.1B

Infinity Curve Sep 29 2 clicks

Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)

Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…

MOD $9.9B

Value Don't Lie Sep 28 3 clicks

QuantumScape: Sell The Stock That Has No Revenue And No Factory Until 2029

QuantumScape faces a 2029 PowerCo plant delay, reduced partner commitments and no revenue, with a scenario-weighted $2.12 per-share…

QS $2.8B

Bears of Wall Street Sep 28

An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren

NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…

BHF $2.9B

Mispriced Assets Sep 27 1 click

Sezzle: The Market Is Underestimating This High-Growth Fintech

Sezzle’s Q2 2026 revenue rose 51.7% and adjusted net income 58.4%, while revenue per GMV reached 11.7% as Premium subscriptions lifted…

SEZL $3.6B

Blake Winiecki Sep 27 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million…

PTON $2.2B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 25 5 clicks

Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…

OUST $2.9B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 25 7 clicks

Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)

AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…

AAON $6.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 25 8 clicks

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

ZIM $3.5B

Calvin Blissett Sep 23 15 clicks

SFM · long

Sprouts Farmers Market

Sprouts Farmers Market benefits from GLP-1 adoption, scrutiny of ultra-processed foods and dietary restrictions driving demand for natural…

SFM $6B

Value Investors Club Jun 30 1 click

Warrior Met Coal: A Volume Story Still Priced Like A Coal Price Bet

Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek ramp lifted Q2 sales to 3.7 million tons and cut unit costs to $92.53 per ton, shifting earnings growth…

HCC $4.7B

Capital Connoisseur Sep 27 1 click

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 24 16 clicks

Birkenstock: Sector-Leading Growth At An Attractive Valuation

Birkenstock targets 13–15% annual revenue growth through FY2028, driven by APAC expansion and closed-toe footwear, while trading at 13.44…

BIRK $5.3B

Roman Vitasek Sep 24 4 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

ONDS $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 23 4 clicks

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services: Strategic Crossroads - Acquisition Or Dividend Bonanza Ahead

ZIM faces Israeli review of Hapag-Lloyd’s $35-per-share bid, with $2.46 billion cash and elevated transpacific rates supporting potential…

ZIM $3.5B

Melissa Tucker Sep 23

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 22 21 clicks

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

VSH $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 22 6 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII

Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead

Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…

CLBT $2.8B

Aurelion Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Laughing Water Capital on X

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