Toll roads in the sky
Asia's elevator boom favors maintenance and modernization providers, with Otis deriving nearly 90% of operating profit from after-sales services rather than new installations.
Tuesday, September 29, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Maj Soueidan on X
Putting this out there: I’m betting that $OCC will go green today. If it doesn’t, a top shelf shot is on me for everybody who comes to the next @GeoInvesting / @MSmicrocaps in-person Conference. Hopefully low attendance or lots of “thanks, I’m on a drinking hiatus.” 🤣
Raging Capital Ventures on X
$HAWK now trading around $17.15, or -34% below its $26 IPO price. Initial lock-up expired last week, but I think it is unlikely many shares will come to market at these prices. $HAWK is also being added to the $IWM. $HAWK continues to have strong defense tech tailwinds, and they now have $500 mm+ of cash on hand. Valuation is now much more attractive and below the $18.86 price of their pre-IPO Series E financing.
Maj Soueidan on X
OH nooo. $OCC .. flat backlog. It will never keep growing. Backlog cadence: •Oct. 2025: $7.3M •Jan. 2026: $10.4M •Apr. 2026: $13.3M •Jul. 2026: $13.5M Half glass full: they maintained record backlog levels. Can’t believe I’m actually defending OCC, now.🤣
Colin King on X
$TRIP just keeps drifting lower Chart looking pretty ugly... but soon to receive ~70% of market cap in cash from a divestiture Hmm... https://t.co/id7F8fQ7PS
PAA Research on X
@Maku_Capital It's a long list, some secular dynamics, some specific to $CASY, and competition, lots of it. This is not the right platform for me to lay out my entire short thesis....
Colin King on X
$GME has 50%+ leases expiring in FY2026 and another 24% in FY2027 Maybe some risks in re-leasing at higher costs, but this is a huge advantage to walk away from unprofitable or underperforming stores fast https://t.co/mbsvLtgudI https://t.co/peHc0ImMzs
A Capital on X
$TTAN 👀
Maj Soueidan on X
$PPIH is building something special :) https://t.co/6Up5g7be96
Investor Letters
All letters- Quercus Fund 2026 (Jan-Aug) FCODF $4.8B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd August 2026 MSLOF $15B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. August 2026 TGMPF $183MVHI $336M
- Forager Funds Management August 2026 BVSFF $1.4BEMCHF $66M
- Guinness Global Investors August AFL $56BDBOEY $58B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5BSUSRF $262M
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 KXS $3.4BMDA $4.8B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 NXT $12BTKOMY $92B
Dark arts or infinite reload? $TTD’s CEO options and the repricing proxy
The Trade Desk’s CEO received a new 10-year option package targeting $105 per share as the company seeks shareholder approval to reprice…
Cullinan Therapeutics: Compelling Pullback For CLN-978's Potential In Autoimmune Diseases
Cullinan Therapeutics plans December 2026 autoimmune updates for CLN-978, while zipalertinib awaits an FDA decision in previously treated…
Myriam Alvarez 2 clicks
Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)
Alpha Metallurgical Resources director Ken Courtis bought $10.5 million above $190 after a blackout lifted, while Conifer’s 12.7% Group 1…
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX
Monte Investments upgrades Karman Holdings to Buy with a $133 target after a 65% drawdown, citing 28.83x EV/aEBITDA and governance changes.
Applied Optoelectronics: The Biggest Growth Phase Starts Now
Applied Optoelectronics targets $1.1 billion in 2026 revenue as 800G and 1.6T data-center demand drives capacity expansion, despite…
Infinity Curve 2 clicks
Zscaler (NASDAQ: ZS) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q4 FY7/26 Earnings
Zscaler posted 25% Q4 revenue growth to $898.2 million and a 24.3% operating margin, but guided FY27 growth down to 16.6%-17.5% as free…
Uber: The Aggregator on Trial
Uber's $193 billion in gross bookings and $10 billion in free cash flow contrast with modest stock gains as autonomous vehicles and…
Veeva Systems (NYSE: VEEV) Stock Rating: Distribute After Q2 FY1/27 - Significant Gains To Bank
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Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)
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QuantumScape: Sell The Stock That Has No Revenue And No Factory Until 2029
QuantumScape faces a 2029 PowerCo plant delay, reduced partner commitments and no revenue, with a scenario-weighted $2.12 per-share…
Bears of Wall Street 
On’s Premium Playbook
On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…
Shake Shack: The Perfect Storm For A 2027 Breakout
Shake Shack combines 23% restaurant-level margins, 703 locations and positive free cash flow; the bullish thesis targets $4 billion…
Security Analysis 1 click
The Monday Morning Briefing: Micron and Nike Earnings on Deck
Micron and Nike earnings headline a weekly briefing featuring Exor’s NAV discount, Meta’s Muse agent and Bellway’s UK housing valuation.
SFIX · long Stitch Fix INC
Stitch Fix’s 2017 IPO rested on overly ambitious long-term growth expectations and an unrealistic definition of its addressable market.
An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren
NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…
One Hour Analysis: What would it take to break $BPRE's NAV?
BPRE trades 45% below NAV as Saba and Bulldog press for buybacks or a manager change, challenging Bluerock’s incentive to preserve…
Greenland Energy Company: A Speculative Play On The Monetization Of Greenland
Greenland Energy Company holds 2.1 million acres in the Jameson Land Basin, but drilling permits, political risk and warrant dilution cloud…
Ron Ferrie 
Hindsight Capital
Hindsight Capital tests crisis-era investment decisions using anonymized company financials, including TransDigm, Halma and Texas Pacific…
Neighborhood Intelligence Is Starting To Look Like A Mess
Neighborhood Intelligence, NXH, faces a cash shortfall after failed and restructured acquisitions, as losses and limited financing options…
Vince Martin 1 click
New Buy : Honeywell Aerospace $HONA
Honeywell Aerospace, newly spun off as HONA, fell 41% from post-listing highs after Q2 2026 as supply-chain bottlenecks delayed revenue…
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