Monday, September 28, 2026

Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)

Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…

On’s Premium Playbook

On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…

Shake Shack: The Perfect Storm For A 2027 Breakout

Shake Shack combines 23% restaurant-level margins, 703 locations and positive free cash flow; the bullish thesis targets $4 billion…

SHAK $2.4B

SA Security Analysis Sep 28 1 click

The Monday Morning Briefing: Micron and Nike Earnings on Deck

Micron and Nike earnings headline a weekly briefing featuring Exor’s NAV discount, Meta’s Muse agent and Bellway’s UK housing valuation.

Campbell's: Profit Continues To Fall, But The Stock Is Becoming Interesting

Campbell’s $500 million savings program and Rao’s growth could lift EBIT despite weak FY2027 guidance, while volume declines and inflation…

CPB $5.9B

SA Investor Overview Sep 28

An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren

NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…

One Hour Analysis: What would it take to break $BPRE's NAV?

BPRE trades 45% below NAV as Saba and Bulldog press for buybacks or a manager change, challenging Bluerock’s incentive to preserve…

Hindsight Capital

Hindsight Capital tests crisis-era investment decisions using anonymized company financials, including TransDigm, Halma and Texas Pacific…

Sezzle: The Market Is Underestimating This High-Growth Fintech

Sezzle’s Q2 2026 revenue rose 51.7% and adjusted net income 58.4%, while revenue per GMV reached 11.7% as Premium subscriptions lifted…

SEZL $3.6B

SA Blake Winiecki Sep 27 1 click

New Buy : Honeywell Aerospace $HONA

Honeywell Aerospace, newly spun off as HONA, fell 41% from post-listing highs after Q2 2026 as supply-chain bottlenecks delayed revenue…

TRIP · long

Tripadvisor INC

Tripadvisor (TRIP) is presented as a long idea.

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…

Looking For A 2027 Defense Play: Honeywell Fits The Bill

HONA $49B

SA Petri Dish Reports Sep 4 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

The Afterburners Could Kick In Soon On Southwest Airlines Stock - Rating Upgrade

Southwest Airlines is adding ancillary fees, assigned seating and premium products after a 6.7% Q2 adjusted operating margin, targeting up…

LUV $20B

SA Tim Dunn Sep 4

Research & Analysis: Applied Aerospace & Defense (NYSE: AADX) q2’26 Earnings Update

Applied Aerospace & Defense reported Q2 revenue growth of 47% to $167 million and $1.13 billion in backlog, supported by missile production…

Trading Post 9/4/2026

Lululemon reported a 9% global comparable-sales decline, 20% lower leggings sales and mid-single-digit operating-margin guidance, with…

Oklo Inc.: The AI Power Trade Is Getting More Tangible

Oklo’s Q2 progress includes Groves’ first criticality and Aurora agreements, while equity dilution cut its price target to $88 despite a $3…

OKLO $6.7B

SA The Curious Analyst Sep 4 1 click

Short Thoughts - Cassandra in Flames?

Tailored Brands’ bankruptcy erased an asset-backed small-cap thesis, while lululemon has become the portfolio’s largest and most…

Build a Bear Workshop

Build-A-Bear Workshop, the toy retailer.