Monday, September 28, 2026

Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)

Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…

QuantumScape: Sell The Stock That Has No Revenue And No Factory Until 2029

QuantumScape faces a 2029 PowerCo plant delay, reduced partner commitments and no revenue, with a scenario-weighted $2.12 per-share…

QS $2.8B

SA Bears of Wall Street Sep 28

On’s Premium Playbook

On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…

The Monday Morning Briefing: Micron and Nike Earnings on Deck

Micron and Nike earnings headline a weekly briefing featuring Exor’s NAV discount, Meta’s Muse agent and Bellway’s UK housing valuation.

An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren

NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…

Hindsight Capital

Hindsight Capital tests crisis-era investment decisions using anonymized company financials, including TransDigm, Halma and Texas Pacific…

Sezzle: The Market Is Underestimating This High-Growth Fintech

Sezzle’s Q2 2026 revenue rose 51.7% and adjusted net income 58.4%, while revenue per GMV reached 11.7% as Premium subscriptions lifted…

SEZL $3.6B

SA Blake Winiecki Sep 27 1 click

New Buy : Honeywell Aerospace $HONA

Honeywell Aerospace, newly spun off as HONA, fell 41% from post-listing highs after Q2 2026 as supply-chain bottlenecks delayed revenue…

Reddit: DCF Valuation

Reddit’s DCF values shares at $225, driven by international ARPU expansion from $2.2 to $8.3 by 2035 and 38% operating margins.

Oklo: Shares Have Plunged, But I'm Still Bearish

Oklo shares have fallen 77% since October 2025 as commercialization slips beyond 2027, revenue estimates fall and dilution continues.

OKLO $6.7B

SA Ian Bezek Sep 25 5 clicks

GTLB · long

Gitlab INC

Trading Post 9/4/2026

Lululemon reported a 9% global comparable-sales decline, 20% lower leggings sales and mid-single-digit operating-margin guidance, with…

Oklo Inc.: The AI Power Trade Is Getting More Tangible

Oklo’s Q2 progress includes Groves’ first criticality and Aurora agreements, while equity dilution cut its price target to $88 despite a $3…

OKLO $6.7B

SA The Curious Analyst Sep 4 1 click

Short Thoughts - Cassandra in Flames?

Tailored Brands’ bankruptcy erased an asset-backed small-cap thesis, while lululemon has become the portfolio’s largest and most…

Portfolio Update August 2026

Portfolio update: Honeywell Aerospace was added after a 20% post-earnings drop, while vertical software remains over 35% of holdings amid…

NIO: Shrinking Losses, Industry-Leading Margins And An Undervalued Price Tag

NIO beat Q2 expectations as delivery growth and higher ES8 and ES9 vehicle margins narrowed losses. Its shares trade at 0.35 times revenue.

NIO $8.4B

SA The Asian Investor Sep 3 3 clicks

Synopsys q3’26 Earnings Update

Synopsys reported 8% EDA and 11% Design IP growth in Q3 2026, with Multiphysics Fusion expected to add revenue from fiscal 2027.

Mosaic: Potash Is Holding Up, But Phosphate Economics Keep Me On The Sidelines

Mosaic’s potash business remains profitable, but negative phosphate margins, elevated sulfur and ammonia costs, and negative free cash flow…

MOS $6.9B

SA DCF Value Investor Sep 3 3 clicks

Sleep Well Portfolio (Aug 2026) - Recovery continues, Cyber Security roared back.

Sleep Well Portfolio’s August gains were led by Veeva, CrowdStrike and cybersecurity, while Cellebrite and WiseTech reported early AI…

This Week in Special Situations: Abercrombie, PagSeguro, Vodafone

Special-situations survey profiles 31 activist, buyback, M&A and strategic-review cases, including Abercrombie, PagSeguro and Vodafone.