Updates
FGPR remains on track, PRTH's management buyout is set at $8.05, and microcap RAVE is described as cheap.
Friday, September 25, 2026
Back to today
From X
Negligible Capital on X
*ADVENT, STRIPE CONSORTIUM IS SAID TO DROP PURSUIT OF PAYPAL RIP $PYPL
Chris Camillo on X
We currently have only one real datapoint to work off from today’s gameplay reveal: depth of player interest in the gameplay. The better the gameplay, the greater the long-term monetization opportunity for $TTWO. That’s the variable I don’t think is priced in yet, and it’s what gives this trade meaningful upside and downside.
Chris Camillo on X
Ran dozens of social arb probability scenarios for how the world would react to today’s GTA VI gameplay reveal. This is playing out like a top 5% outcome. Did not expect this. Feels like the market came into today anchored to last week’s hacker leaks and primed for disappointment. It may take a minute to process what just happened. $TTWO
Maj Soueidan on X
@StableBread Nice summary. Thanks for sharing. I’m somewhat excited about the new CEO hire from the competitor, $CECO, who has actually been winning data center contracts.
A Capital on X
Buy a a temporarily execution-dislocated AI cooling business at $186 before the mediocre automotive business disappears and the RemainCo gets a clean public valuation? $MOD 🤷♂️ https://t.co/oUeZanrue7
Maj Soueidan on X
Anyone have a direct line to $MG, call them now. We have a code red!!! https://t.co/zgvG6Ik5vi
Chris Camillo on X
13 years of hype should have made today almost impossible to live up to. Somehow for most GTA fans Rockstar delivered. $TTWO https://t.co/Uh56v646rL
Adam D. Wyden on X
@unknowncapital1 Well, no restatement costs/charge for agn… comps for take 5/ new store growth and tailwind from higher pricing and lower input costs in 27… I’m at 550 of ebitda but honestly could be higher if stars align…$drvn
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 NXT $12BTKOMY $92B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 DR0 $448MALM $3.9B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 079940 $393MUNVGY $26B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $969MVNP $2.1B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July 2026 RMVEY $3.2BLDNXF $52B
- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 082920 $998MVVVNF $1.6B
Single Stock Spotlight #15: Rocket Companies (RKT)
Rocket Companies combines Redfin, Rocket Mortgage and Mr. Cooper into an end-to-end homeownership platform, adding mortgage servicing fees…
(Public) Mach Natural Resources - A Buying Opportunity
Mach Natural Resources' Q2 distributable cash fell to $60.1 million as development spending rose, prompting a distribution cut; its units…
Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage
Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…
Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)
AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…
Vista Energy: The Cash Engine Is On
Vista Energy's Q2 2026 production rose 32% and revenue 89% as Vaca Muerta acquisitions expand its Argentine export platform and cash…
Alan Galecki 5 clicks
Ciena & Fabrinet: The Road Ahead for Optics
Ciena and Fabrinet benefit as AI clusters require high-speed optics within and between data centers, through networking systems and…
Honeywell: Post-Spin Growth Story Is Just Getting Started
Honeywell is refocusing on automation after its Aerospace and Advanced Materials spinoffs, with a 1.1x book-to-bill ratio, raised guidance…
Gen Alpha 1 click
Formula 1: Liberty Media’s Drive for Success
Liberty Media bought Formula 1 for $4.4 billion in 2017 and monetizes its exclusive commercial rights through racing, media and sponsorship.
Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update
Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…
Atlassian: A $140 Billion Market Growing At 14% Annually Creates A Massive Opportunity
Atlassian targets a $140 billion market growing 14% annually, with Rovo reaching 5 million monthly active users and assisted actions rising…
Muhammad Cheema 
GLIBA · long Liberty Capital CORP
Liberty Capital Corp, GLIBA, is pitched long following its July 2025 spinoff from Liberty Broadband.
Realty Income: YTD Lows Make The Monthly Dividend Attractive Again
Realty Income trades at 12.7 times forward AFFO with a 5.8% yield, supported by high occupancy, a 73% payout ratio and raised 2026 guidance.
Sharon McArd 2 clicks
A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t
ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…
Turning Point Brands: The Market Is Now Overly Concerned (Rating Upgrade)
Turning Point Brands reaffirmed 2026 guidance after a CEO change, while ALP and FRE expansion has compressed margins through marketing and…
Caffital Research 1 click
Research Roundup Vol. LIII
Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…
New Era Energy & Digital: 207 MW Deal Could Unlock 1.4 GW AI Giant
New Era Energy & Digital secured a 20-year Vistra power deal for 200 to 207 MW, reducing Phase 1 risk for its planned 1.4 GW West Texas AI…
Ryan Canady 
$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital
Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…
CoreWeave, Inc (CRWV)
CoreWeave funds GPU data-center expansion with debt backed by $104 billion in contracted revenue, while GPU cloud rentals generate roughly…
Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH
Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII
Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…
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Seeking Alpha 43 of 208
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Chris Camillo
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Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Fajasy
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Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
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Ian Bezek
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marginofdanger
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Mike
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SG
Sheel Mohnot
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Timyan Bank Alert
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ToffCap
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Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1 Main Capital
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Sectors
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