$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital
Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant additions.
Tuesday, September 22, 2026
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Voss Capital on X
Voss's Q3 letter is out. We take a look at some macro fears that failed to materialize this year, comment on historically cheap small cap valuations, and provide brief updates on our top 4 longs ( $GFF $IMXI $EXTR $BXC) and one new core idea ( $CROX). https://t.co/qG5Mo94ORB
Idea Brunch on X
Here's our newest interview with @GeoffreyBSeiler! Tickers mentioned: $TRUP, $COTY, $ET https://t.co/n29EeO04UE
Voss Capital on X
Voss's Q1 Letter to Partners is out. We highlight a new core long: $WSM https://t.co/56IJVj56l3
Voss Capital on X
Much more important than the median is the spread b/ w the cheapest (at 7.4x) and most expensive (at 56x) quintiles on fwd P/E estimates. Valuation dispersion has barely budged w/ recent mkt moves & remains at a record wide gap on par w/ peak of the internet bubble. $SPY $IWM https://t.co/rmzJAcD3tR
Voss Capital on X
Leading Proxy Advisory Firm Glass Lewis Supports Voss's Case for Change at Griffon $GFF https://t.co/h2tNhufePW
Voss Capital on X
$GFF https://t.co/YA5tEZxOON
Voss Capital on X
$GFF https://t.co/FPo85cMUjW
Voss Capital on X
$GFF https://t.co/eQnjeegr3S
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 NXT $14BTKOMY $92B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 ALM $3.9BJXN $9.2B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 UNVGY $26B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 VNP $2.1B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July 2026 RMVEY $3.2BLDNXF $52B
- Protean Funds July 2026 EVGGF $15B
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII
Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…
Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead
Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…
Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata
Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…
Reddit's Valuation Is A Compelling Opportunity: Upgrading To Strong Buy
Reddit’s subreddit-driven communities support targeted advertising, and its 0.3 PEG ratio makes RDDT undervalued, according to the upgrade…
Fountainhead 5 clicks
Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)
Shift4 trades at 6.5 times EBITDA despite 11% organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases reaching a $400 million run rate as…
Credo Technology: New Position in My Private Portfolio
Credo Technology was added at $170.54 after a 40% selloff, backed by its high-speed AECs and optical connectivity for AI data centers.
Copart's Return To Growth Starts Now: Adair's $1.9B Bet On ACV Auctions
Copart’s $1.9 billion ACV Auctions acquisition targets renewed growth, with EPS accretion expected by fiscal 2028 as insurance…
Robert J. Lake 3 clicks
GameStop Is Extreme Deep Value
GameStop's collectibles mix rose to 45% of sales as gross margin reached 44%, supporting a deep-value case built on cash and store…
Tempus AI: Data And Applications Will Unlock More Upside
Tempus AI’s Q2 oncology testing volumes rose 31%, while data and applications revenue grew 28% as its clinical data flywheel expands.
Bay Area Ideas 3 clicks
A2Gold: Research Note
A2Gold’s first Taylor drill holes returned 20.96 g/t AuEq over 1.5m and 209.4 g/t silver over 10.7m, alongside 141.10 g/t gold at…
INVH · long Invitation Homes INC
Invitation Homes owns more than 85,000 homes valued at $43 to $48 per share, versus a roughly $30 share price, with occupancy above 96%.
[Emergency Lunch-Hour Market Memo] Coherent admits their CPO/NPO Laser is garbage + Cerebras delusional bonus roast
Coherent’s CPO/NPO laser misses 1 MHz effective-linewidth requirements, Irrational Analysis argues.
Quick Value #331 - Corteva / Vylor Spin-Off
Corteva will spin off its Pioneer seed business, Vylor, on October 1, leaving crop protection RemainCo that could trade at 6.5-8.5x 2026…
[CoStar] Homes are different
CoStar spent more than $1 billion building Homes.com to challenge Zillow, betting seller-agent leads, proprietary listing content and…
“Going Through Some Pain”
Dick’s Sporting Goods’ $2.4 billion Foot Locker acquisition nearly quadruples its store count and adds international exposure, risking a…
The Monday Morning Briefing
Latticework’s weekly briefing spotlights discounted European assets including Barco, Bolloré, Brookfield and D’Ieteren, with catalysts…
I Tested Three Cannibals Against Dillard’s. I Bought Two. (CROX, CNX, GPI)
Crocs, CNX and Group 1 are tested against Dillard’s buyback-driven share-count reduction, with Group 1 leading and CNX’s convertible notes…
Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
Deep Dive: Brookfield Corporation
Brookfield Corporation, down 20% YTD, manages $1.27 trillion across asset management, insurance and operating businesses as rates, debt and…
Southwest Airlines: Buy The Transformation Despite The Oil Shock
Southwest Airlines targets more than $2 billion of 2026 EBIT from assigned seating, extra legroom and bag fees despite higher fuel costs…
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