When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins
Netflix’s roughly $20 billion content budget can become an editorial advantage as generative AI cuts production costs and floods viewers with synthetic content.
Saturday, September 5, 2026
From X
David Orr on X
$GS should have ponied up the money. https://t.co/isJsSGuEzB
David Orr on X
Great companies are built by doing things differently, taking risks. $IBKR https://t.co/3sLFcI0ImD
Chris Camillo on X
@UncleAlpha007 FCL is a pretty useless valuation metric for a company deliberately reinvesting to fund explosive growth. And there’s a massive spread of outcomes on what $BE revenue even looks like in 2030.
Trevor Scott on X
@kashyap286 $GOOS?
SG on X
@rossiadam never thought of $TSLA FSD from the perspective of the elderly. Probably a great solution as FSD gets better but this has to be the worst demographic in terms of reaction time to grab the wheel if something goes wrong.
Lee Roach on X
The egg market is getting killed and I am tempted to play this cycle bottom. Anyone up to speed on $VITL? This thing is looking so beaten down. https://t.co/wUgfMUorWW
Chris Camillo on X
@topazbenj he saw a video. if u been following me u know id love nothing more than to go all in on $TSLA with real optimus intel. believe me im on it
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $503MALM $5.1B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $509B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $227B
- Fred Alger Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMZN $2.8TGOOGL $4.2T
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.6BSUSRF $276M
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $242BMCK $106B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $494M8011 $243M
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1BVNP $1.7B
The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does
Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…
Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders
Broadcom’s FY2028 revenue estimate rose from $162 billion to about $270 billion and EPS from $17.60 to $30, while the stock remained flat…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…
Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine
Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…
Simple Investment Ideas 4 clicks
[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA
Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…
Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows
CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.
Selling Where They Ain’t
Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.
Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started
Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…
The Curious Analyst 3 clicks
A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?
Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…
Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal
Chevron committed $7 billion to expand Venezuelan output as record U.S. production and elevated oil prices lifted Q2 earnings.
Bay Area Ideas 3 clicks
Adobe Business History
Adobe built PostScript, Photoshop and PDF into desktop-publishing standards, using free Acrobat Reader and integrated Creative Suite tools…
Deep Dive: XPEL
XPEL sells paint-protection film and DAP cutting software, using 90,000-plus vehicle templates to win share from 3M and Eastman.
Aimia. Allocator Takeover, Trading Below Book Value. A war-chest of cash ready to deploy
Aimia trades at 0.75 times pro forma book value, with C$163 million to C$192 million of cash after the Bozzetto sale and Rhys Summerton…
Micron’s Profits Are Exploding. Is This the Top of the Cycle?
Micron’s $1.37 trillion valuation prices in durable HBM and AI-driven memory profits, despite Q3 guidance for $33.5 billion revenue and an…
Weekend Thoughts: Malone’s Born to Be Wired Book; Thoughts on Cable; Is CHTR Cheap?
Charter’s $11 billion to $8 billion capex plan may not be durable as copper-network upgrades face fiber competition, while CHTR shares have…
Apollo and what even is private credit?
Apollo’s Marc Rowan argues private-credit risk depends on underwriting, seniority, leverage and diversification, not whether a bank or fund…
Single Stock Spotlight #10: Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK)
Mammoth Energy Services rose above $3 after trading below net cash, aided by divestments, first-quarter adjusted EBITDA profitability and a…
Note on Fiserv CEO Change & Huntsman/Olin Merger
Fiserv fell nearly 10% after CEO Mike Lyons left for Truist, while Olin's stock-funded 0.5476-share offer values Huntsman below its prior…
Deep Dive: Netflix ($NFLX)
Netflix's 325 million memberships and advertising business, guided to $3 billion of 2026 revenue, underpin a case for mid-teens…
The Arithmetic: How a $9 Spanish-Language Broadcaster Becomes a $100 AdTech Stock
Entravision’s path from a $9 Spanish-language broadcaster to a $100 adtech stock rests on an adtech-driven valuation model.
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Every account on this site, hand-picked.
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- Fred Liu
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- Psyop Capital
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- catechwilliams
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