When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins
Netflix’s roughly $20 billion content budget can become an editorial advantage as generative AI cuts production costs and floods viewers with synthetic content.
Saturday, September 5, 2026
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Trevor Scott on X
@DrewCohenMoney enjoyed your $APP video
Chris Camillo on X
@PostmodernRogue @fkon1u @DumbMoneyTV what exactly do you think is priced in? >37M launch-quarter units? >45M? >50M? what ARPU? “priced in” isn’t an argument without numbers. There is upside and downside. Been crushing $TTWO GTA trades since ’99. Always happy to compare notes.
SG on X
I know one company that won't be sad August is coming to an end $BURL https://t.co/uOtSFz7nCf
David Orr on X
Market already confirming this idea. $GOOG $AMZN $MSFT up since that beat. "Neoclouds" should be big winners too. I prefer to bet on the proven big, scale advantaged operators. But if the neoclouds are much cheaper per unit of compute, they could be the better risk adjusted return.
David Orr on X
$SOXX $NVDA down since the big beat... sure looks like a news failure event. I think it'll be electricity bottlenecks that kill the AI hardware bubble. The hyperscalers controlling that bottleneck should be the biggest winner.
Chris Camillo on X
@Kcon2026 didn’t miss that. i was long calls going into $NVDA earnings. my comment was about other investors making outsized bets long or short based mostly on vibes.
David Orr on X
@taobanker $LULU's quality drop was like a bit worse every year, kind of hard to notice. And then all of a sudden...
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $503MALM $5.1B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $509B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $227B
- Fred Alger Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMZN $2.8TGOOGL $4.2T
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $242BMCK $106B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 079940 $421MUNVGY $26B
- Forager Funds Management July 2026 4733 $4.1BSGE $13B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 AUTO $5.3BGNRC $11B
HONA 2026-09-04 Looking For A 2027 Defense Play: Honeywell Fits The Bill
Petri Dish Reports 2 clicks
Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders
Broadcom’s FY2028 revenue estimate rose from $162 billion to about $270 billion and EPS from $17.60 to $30, while the stock remained flat…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…
[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA
Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…
Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows
CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.
Selling Where They Ain’t
Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.
NFLX 2026-09-03 Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started
Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…
The Curious Analyst 2 clicks
AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.
Broadcom reported $29.6 billion Q3 revenue, up 86%, with AI semiconductor sales up 221% to $16.7 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $34.8…
Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future
DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…
IREN 2026-09-02 IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build
IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…
Quantryon Capital 9 clicks
Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26
Genuine Parts Company is one of eight potential rebound stocks on RC’s September 2026 watchlist.
Amazon $AMZN: The Company That Became Impossible to Ignore — and Finally Possible to Model
Amazon reported $200.6 billion in quarterly revenue and $27.5 billion in operating income as AWS grew 36.7% and advertising 26%, making its…
CrowdStrike (NASDAQ: CRWD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings
CrowdStrike posted 25.8% Q2 revenue growth and $333 million of net new ARR, while FY27 ARR guidance rose to 34% despite a 150% stock rally…
The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising
Amazon’s $69 billion advertising business faces an FTC lawsuit over alleged bid shading, threatening a revenue stream that grew roughly…
JPM 2026-09-01 Undercovered Dozen: JPMorgan, Sezzle, Kayne Anderson And More
Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including JPMorgan, Sezzle and Kayne Anderson, to surface under-the-radar equity…
The Undercovered Dozen 2 clicks
WD #356: Software/AI, Estee Lauder, Various Brazilian Stocks
LLM adoption is rising but may not generate returns sufficient to justify current AI investment; the aggressive portfolio exits Estee…
HPE 2026-08-31 Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q3: Margins Matter More Than AI Orders
Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s Q3 hinges on converting AI-networking orders while preserving its 21.6% segment margin, after booking $1.8…
Deep Value Investing 3 clicks
Palantir Q2 - We Move To “Distribute” Rating For 48hrs, Then To “Do Nothing”.
Palantir shares at $183 exceed Cestrian’s $177 target after Q2 revenue grew 93%, prompting a 48-hour Distribute rating as Q3 growth…
Dollar Tree: Weathering The Storm
Dollar Tree’s $1.25 opening price and multi-price assortment supported 10% two-year comparable-sales growth, outpacing Walmart U.S.
PYPL 2026-08-31 PayPal: Stripe Reportedly Walks Away; Here Are 2 Fallback Options
PayPal's failed Stripe and Advent bid leaves a Venmo spin-off or aggressive buybacks as value-unlocking options amid slowing growth and a…
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