Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.

NVDA $5.3TMETA $1.6T

Steve Eisman Sep 4 23 clicks

Sep 4 RYN $6.1B

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

The Value Road 39 clicks

Sep 4 AVGO $1.7T

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

MBI Deep Dives 20 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Apr 30

catechwilliams on X

$GMS Underfollowed building products distributor, HSD growth, favorable mix shift/ margin, tracking to beat estimates, trading at 10x EPS, 7x EBITDA. Peers at >50% higher multiples. $HD just acquired lower quality peer SRS for 17x EBITDA. GMS = $240 or +150% at that multiple.

@catechwilliams Apr 24 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW Situation getting : 1) being investigated by SEC, DOJ for bribery, cartel dealings, 2) intensely competitive biz, losing customers/ share w zero earnings; 3) sale of struggling prepared segment faltering. None of this is priced-in yet. Next 2 quarters likely a disaster.

@catechwilliams Apr 19 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$LYTS Very attractive acq of EMI following successful prior M&A blueprint--significant cross-selling op, cost reduction, expands product set which further solidifies dominant national position. Seeing +50% upside to shares from here.

@LittleOwlRes Apr 17 1 click

Little Owl Research on X

@DeepDuDiligence Doing some DD on $TPET at the moment, have they given any guidance on how many wells they expect to start producing this year? Or what the BOPD could be?

@LittleOwlRes Apr 16 2 clicks

Little Owl Research on X

@Tonyforever2003 @marketplunger1 This is exactly what came to my mind when reading this. I'm long $GPRK and $GTE for precisely this reason.

@LittleOwlRes Apr 16 2 clicks

Little Owl Research on X

Here is a little pricing guide for any of you looking into $HHH at the moment. Credit to @mfwarder for the format. https://t.co/MeZP5qopmR

@catechwilliams Apr 16

catechwilliams on X

$DAKT. Over the last 3 weeks have won several large upgrades—Colorado, UVa football stadiums. Each $15M projects to boost backlog and revenue >10% in the next quarter, further solidifying dominant market position. https://t.co/JFou9jCYxr

@LittleOwlRes Apr 15 3 clicks

Little Owl Research on X

@marginofdanger @BillAckman Additionally, $HHH as a pure play MPC is much more valuable than the sum of its parts. Though the market doesn't understand it well at the moment it will likely come to appreciate it more as it grows and produces substantial FCF. Patience is key here.

Investor Letters

All letters

Equinor: Positive Fundamentals Could Be Stifled By EU Emergency Measures (Rating Downgrade)

Equinor’s H1 2026 net income doubled to $7.94 billion as European gas prices rose, but EU energy-crisis measures could curb profitability.

EQNR $107B

Zoltan Ban Sep 4 10 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $7.5BCOST $402B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 11 clicks

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…

AVGO $1.7T

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 4 7 clicks

SKLZ · long

Skillz

Skillz won a lawsuit against a defendant unable to afford an appeal, while SKLZ trades below a likely settlement value.

SKLZ delisted

Value Investors Club Jun 6 1 click

MOH · long

Molina Healthcare

Molina Healthcare faces unprecedented Medicaid managed-care cost inflation and margin compression after its shares declined since October…

MOH $10B

Value Investors Club Jun 6 1 click

Summit Therapeutics: The High Stakes Of Translating China Clinical Data To The U.S.

Summit Therapeutics needs HARMONi-3 and Western-subgroup data to validate China-based ivonescimab results, while $690.7 million in Q2 cash…

SMMT $14B

Stephen Ayers Sep 3 9 clicks

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $43BCRM $201B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 38 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $99B

First Strike Research Sep 3 21 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $27BWMT $842B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 4 clicks

TOYO · short

Toyo CO LTD

TOYO CO LTD is the target of a short thesis.

TOYO $190M

Value Investors Club Jun 5 1 click

ENS · short

Enersys

EnerSys faces a short thesis as data-center and warehouse vehicle customers shift from lead-acid batteries to lithium-ion.

ENS $6.5B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

CDNL · short

Cardinal Infrastru Group INC

Cardinal Infrastructure Group faces an IPO lockup expiration amid stretched valuation and reported metrics, with an Up-C structure…

CDNL $1.7B

Value Investors Club Jun 5 1 click

QTWO · long

Q2 Holdings INC (qtwo)

Q2 Holdings sells banking software to more than 1,200 financial institutions and 27.8 million registered users, after selling off with…

QTWO $3.7B

Value Investors Club Jun 5 1 click

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…

SMPL $916MBRBR $1.1B

The Value Road Sep 2 24 clicks

Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal

Chevron committed $7 billion to expand Venezuelan output as record U.S. production and elevated oil prices lifted Q2 earnings.

CVX $423B

Bay Area Ideas Sep 2 6 clicks

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Broadcom reported $29.6 billion Q3 revenue, up 86%, with AI semiconductor sales up 221% to $16.7 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $34.8…

AVGO $1.7T

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 2 5 clicks

Meta Vs. Meta's 7.1% Bond Yield: Reality Check For Asset Allocators

Meta Platforms’ 7.1% long bonds set a high return hurdle for equity as user growth nears saturation and the stock trades at 6.5 times sales.

META $1.6T

Tariq Dennison Sep 2 6 clicks

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…

DASH $88B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 17 clicks

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…

IREN $18B

Quantryon Capital Sep 2 11 clicks

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Genuine Parts Company is one of eight potential rebound stocks on RC’s September 2026 watchlist.

GPC $19B

Rebound Capital Sep 2 5 clicks

Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

From X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Little Owl Research on X

Little Owl Research on X

Little Owl Research on X

catechwilliams on X

Little Owl Research on X

Investor Letters

Equinor: Positive Fundamentals Could Be Stifled By EU Emergency Measures (Rating Downgrade)

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Skillz

Molina Healthcare

Summit Therapeutics: The High Stakes Of Translating China Clinical Data To The U.S.

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

Selling Where They Ain’t

Toyo CO LTD

Enersys

Cardinal Infrastru Group INC

Q2 Holdings INC (qtwo)

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Meta Vs. Meta's 7.1% Bond Yield: Reality Check For Asset Allocators

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Publications we follow

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 14 of 130

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Friday, September 4, 2026

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Little Owl Research on X

Little Owl Research on X

Little Owl Research on X

catechwilliams on X

Little Owl Research on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 54

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 14 of 130

X accounts we follow

Sectors