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Friday, September 4, 2026

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@LittleOwlRes 1 click

Little Owl Research on X

Last week $RAVE put up +22% EPS on 8% SSS growth in a miserable operating environment. Pizza Inn AUV is approaching $1.4m. There are 12 new units expected to come online in FY26, and 31 franchisee agreements in the pipeline, starting from a base of 79 units. They currently have $10.4m in cash and no debt. The enterprise value is $32m. The earnings yield to enterprise value (excluding interest income) currently sits at 8% at a time when the 10-year yields 4.10%. If you want to learn more about the company, I highly recommend listening to the interview CEO Brandon Solano did with Bloomberg in early September. https://t.co/HP7g083zHN
@LittleOwlRes 1 click

Little Owl Research on X

In September I had the pleasure of attending the Howard Hughes $HHH annual shareholder meeting. I met the man himself! @BillAckman Not to get ahead of myself, but this could be the beginning of something very special. Today’s quarterly results help to reinforce my views on the quality of both the asset base and management. The company is firing on all cylinders. Management continues to execute on the MPC strategy, and an acquisition seems highly likely in the short term. However, the shares still trade at a deep discount to intrinsic value. Do I care? No—at least not yet. Pershing Square has a truly remarkable track record. Since adopting their “permanent capital” strategy they have done 23.5% net of fees annually since January of 2018. Not too shabby. I suspect they’ll be acquiring a small insurer in the 1.0x-1.4x P/B range, if that’s the case, and they continue to put up those returns, the acquisition will be monstrously accretive. When Buffett took control of Berkshire, it was a failing textile mill with a negative terminal value. Ackman is starting off with assets of much higher quality and that are beginning to generate a lot of excess cash. A lot of work has to be done, but I’m happy to hold my shares here. If you’re interested in learning more about the real estate operations, I’ve attached my $HHH report from November of 2023–obviously outdated, but should help get you up to speed on the history, RE strategy, and asset base—and I will be putting out an updated report after the details of the insurance acquisition are announced. https://t.co/ueKI0TWY9R

Investor Letters

All letters
SKLZ · long

Skillz

Skillz won a lawsuit against a defendant unable to afford an appeal, while SKLZ trades below a likely settlement value.

SKLZ delisted
Value Investors Club 1 click
MOH · long

Molina Healthcare

Molina Healthcare faces unprecedented Medicaid managed-care cost inflation and margin compression after its shares declined since October…

MOH $10B
Value Investors Club 1 click
TOYO · short

Toyo CO LTD

TOYO CO LTD is the target of a short thesis.

TOYO $190M
Value Investors Club 1 click
ENS · short

Enersys

EnerSys faces a short thesis as data-center and warehouse vehicle customers shift from lead-acid batteries to lithium-ion.

ENS $6.5B
Value Investors Club
CDNL · short

Cardinal Infrastru Group INC

Cardinal Infrastructure Group faces an IPO lockup expiration amid stretched valuation and reported metrics, with an Up-C structure…

CDNL $1.7B
Value Investors Club 1 click
QTWO · long

Q2 Holdings INC (qtwo)

Q2 Holdings sells banking software to more than 1,200 financial institutions and 27.8 million registered users, after selling off with…

QTWO $3.7B
Value Investors Club 1 click

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