Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.

NVDA $5.5TMETA $1.6T

Steve Eisman Sep 4 18 clicks

Sep 4 RYN $6.1B

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

The Value Road 37 clicks

Sep 4 AVGO $1.8T

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

MBI Deep Dives 19 clicks

From X

@natstewart5 Jul 15 1 click

Nat Stewart on X

Just had lunch with my son at Wendy's $WEN in Lee, NH. He had the Baconator, I had the spicy chicken sandwich. Both of us thought it was pretty darn good. Ample amount of chicken, decent bun, reasonably spicy. We both liked the fries as well. Restaurant was clean, service was quick.

@BlueDuckCap Jul 15

BDC on X

$toi https://t.co/9pfaLXskXk

@BrokenMoats Jul 15 2 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Someone really going to need to explain how Stripe buying $PYPL is also bullish for $XYZ? Venmo now gets unlimited funding, a direct consumer facing application for the biggest player in payments, and the optionality of their checkout/pos business if they want to scale and invest aggressively their for that (like pushing their stable coin initiative that would be well received by retailers). Would think the correct framework for this deal is it is net negative the entire payment space as a new entrant has new pathways to compete and disrupt ($TOST, $STNE $FOUR etc included)

@mavix_leon Jul 15 2 clicks

mavix on X

Evolution $EVO has agreed a GBP 4.75 million settlement with the UK Gambling Commission, concluding the licence review initiated in December 2024. The settlement primarily relates to the finding that Evolution game content was available via two operators on six websites. https://t.co/Q2pVlKKgjd

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 14 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

@thecontracap also worth noting that if $ANAB loses, maybe the stock goes down but future cash flows do not. Plan B is prob just sell the royalty stream, which is why the former CFO of $RPRX was added to the BOD 4 months ago. Heads win a ton. Tails you don't lose (if you can handle the vol)

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 14 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

@thecontracap agree ex-CEO statements are not +. However, statements from the GSK manager responsible for managing the $ANAB collaboration make it clear he thought GSK was in violation of the agreement. Not good for either side. Think sanctity of contract law has to come above all else though

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 14 2 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@thecontracap 2/x)on the other hand, if $ANAB's position is upheld, it sucks for GSK, but contract law as a whole in DE continues to successfully govern the land as it has for centuries prior. Not clear to me that AI can consider the gravity of dismantling all of DE contract law...

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 14 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

@thecontracap 1/x)$ANAB also not a lawyer but seems to me that the implications of GSK's position would be catastrophic for contract law in DE if supported by the court. Effectively, any acquiror could disavow the obligations of a purchased subsidiary. Which seems "absurd" in the legal sense.

Equinor: Positive Fundamentals Could Be Stifled By EU Emergency Measures (Rating Downgrade)

Equinor’s H1 2026 net income doubled to $7.94 billion as European gas prices rose, but EU energy-crisis measures could curb profitability.

EQNR $105B

Zoltan Ban Sep 4 9 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $8BCOST $404B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 9 clicks

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $43BCRM $214B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 36 clicks

Intuit: The Recovery Is Only Beginning

Intuit targets 9.1% FY2027 revenue growth and 23% EPS growth after Q4 revenue rose 13.7%, supported by Global Business Solutions, Credit…

INTU $94B

Treading Softly Sep 3 7 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $100B

First Strike Research Sep 3 19 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $29BWMT $850B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 3 clicks

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…

SMPL $954MBRBR $1.2B

The Value Road Sep 2 22 clicks

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Broadcom reported $29.6 billion Q3 revenue, up 86%, with AI semiconductor sales up 221% to $16.7 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $34.8…

AVGO $1.8T

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 2 3 clicks

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…

DASH $87B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 16 clicks

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…

IREN $18B

Quantryon Capital Sep 2 10 clicks

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Genuine Parts Company is one of eight potential rebound stocks on RC’s September 2026 watchlist.

GPC $18B

Rebound Capital Sep 2 3 clicks

Amazon $AMZN: The Company That Became Impossible to Ignore — and Finally Possible to Model

Amazon reported $200.6 billion in quarterly revenue and $27.5 billion in operating income as AWS grew 36.7% and advertising 26%, making its…

AMZN $2.8T

Substack von Philipp Sep 2 7 clicks

EVC Update

EVC reported a solid second quarter and outlook.

EVC $772M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Sep 1 25 clicks

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

Limbach's EBITDA fell 30% as organic revenue declined, but 1 Main Capital calls the weakness temporary and views CYMCOR as its first…

LMB $591M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 1 19 clicks

Lumen Technologies - Accumulate $6-$8.30; STP<$6; PT >$12 - Q2 FY12/26 & Outlook

Lumen is shedding consumer lines for data-center services; $9.2 billion of deferred revenue, up 72%, supports its enterprise order book…

LUMN $7B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 1 1 click

CrowdStrike (NASDAQ: CRWD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

CrowdStrike posted 25.8% Q2 revenue growth and $333 million of net new ARR, while FY27 ARR guidance rose to 34% despite a 150% stock rally…

CRWD $214B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 1

MDA Space: Houston, We Have a New Position

MDA Space is added to the Aurelion Index after hiring engineers, signing large contracts and expanding facilities; the thesis cites…

MDA $4.7B

Aurelion Research Sep 1 6 clicks

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

Amazon’s $69 billion advertising business faces an FTC lawsuit over alleged bid shading, threatening a revenue stream that grew roughly…

AMZN $2.8T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 1 14 clicks

Cleveland-Cliffs: 2027 Could Be A Very Big Year

Cleveland-Cliffs' 2027 upside depends on contract resets and Stelco earnings, while management directs free cash flow to deleveraging…

CLF $7B

The Bullionaire Sep 1 2 clicks

WD #356: Software/AI, Estee Lauder, Various Brazilian Stocks

LLM adoption is rising but may not generate returns sufficient to justify current AI investment; the aggressive portfolio exits Estee…

EL $38B

Ian’s Insider Corner Aug 31 1 click

Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

From X

Nat Stewart on X

BDC on X

Broken Moats on X

mavix on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Investor Letters

Equinor: Positive Fundamentals Could Be Stifled By EU Emergency Measures (Rating Downgrade)

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Intuit: The Recovery Is Only Beginning

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

Selling Where They Ain’t

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Amazon $AMZN: The Company That Became Impossible to Ignore — and Finally Possible to Model

EVC Update

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

Lumen Technologies - Accumulate $6-$8.30; STP<$6; PT >$12 - Q2 FY12/26 & Outlook

CrowdStrike (NASDAQ: CRWD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

MDA Space: Houston, We Have a New Position

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

Cleveland-Cliffs: 2027 Could Be A Very Big Year

WD #356: Software/AI, Estee Lauder, Various Brazilian Stocks

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Friday, September 4, 2026

Nat Stewart on X

BDC on X

Broken Moats on X

mavix on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 53

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 14 of 109

X accounts we follow

Sectors