Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.

NVDA $5.3TMETA $1.6T

Steve Eisman Sep 4 22 clicks

Sep 4 RYN $6.1B

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

The Value Road 38 clicks

Sep 4 AVGO $1.8T

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

MBI Deep Dives 20 clicks

From X

@HaydenCapital Feb 3

Fred Liu on X

"We're on track to produce the highest mortgage loan production in terms of volume that we've had in four years," says $RKT CEO Varun Krishna. https://t.co/PBOdQTwuKr https://t.co/fqJ4bNkU8d

@HaydenCapital Jan 31

Fred Liu on X

@MackinacCap Right, I'm just wondering why $RKT stock would be down -13% on this. Seems the wrong reaction?

@HaydenCapital Jan 31

Fred Liu on X

Going thru PennyMac earnings... why is this not bullish for Rocket Mortgage $RKT? $PFSI is down on accelerated prepayments, and lacking the capacity to recapture them. Meanwhile $RKT's been embracing AI / tech to grow capacity per loan officer, and not needing additional headcount in the next cycle. $RKT also has 80% recapture rate, so their own MSR business should be protected. What are the odds these refinancing's flowed to $RKT, and they meaningfully grew market share this quarter? Am I missing something?

@LaughingH20Cap Jan 28 2 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

Think signal value for $NN is very high here. Ajit Pai, Brendan Carr’s mentor at the FCC, is Pres and CEO of CTIA. Execs from $VZ and $T are chair and vice chair. Unlikely they put Mariam on the board unless $NN future is bright. 💯% Pai knows what is happening behind FCC doors. https://t.co/4Jtm3aiAf9

@Seawolfcap Jan 22 4 clicks

Porter Collins on X

@JeffreyCherkin Not a bad purchase of $FTAI this time last year < $90! @MelissaLeeCNBC

@LaughingH20Cap Jan 20

Laughing Water Capital on X

Sounds like terrestrial GPS is being prioritized $NN https://t.co/EZoHuCydcB

@HaydenCapital Jan 17

Fred Liu on X

#Southeast Asia Logistics Where there used to be dozens of players, now there's just two that matter - Shopee Express, and J&T (>60% combined market share). In a high fixed cost business, Scale > Order Density (across both Geography x Time) > Lowest Cost per Parcel = Competitive Moat. Parcel delivery cost has declined -45% over 4 years. h/t @momentumasia. $SE $1519.HK

@LaughingH20Cap Jan 14 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

$NN https://t.co/WSPZtvXkj1

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $7.5BCOST $404B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 10 clicks

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…

AVGO $1.8T

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 4 7 clicks

MOH · long

Molina Healthcare

Molina Healthcare faces unprecedented Medicaid managed-care cost inflation and margin compression after its shares declined since October…

MOH $10B

Value Investors Club Jun 6

Summit Therapeutics: The High Stakes Of Translating China Clinical Data To The U.S.

Summit Therapeutics needs HARMONi-3 and Western-subgroup data to validate China-based ivonescimab results, while $690.7 million in Q2 cash…

SMMT $14B

Stephen Ayers Sep 3 9 clicks

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $43BCRM $201B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 37 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $99B

First Strike Research Sep 3 20 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $29BWMT $842B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 4 clicks

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…

NFLX $511B

The Curious Analyst Sep 3 4 clicks

ENS · short

Enersys

EnerSys faces a short thesis as data-center and warehouse vehicle customers shift from lead-acid batteries to lithium-ion.

ENS $6.5B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

CDNL · short

Cardinal Infrastru Group INC

Cardinal Infrastructure Group faces an IPO lockup expiration amid stretched valuation and reported metrics, with an Up-C structure…

CDNL $1.7B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

QTWO · long

Q2 Holdings INC (qtwo)

Q2 Holdings sells banking software to more than 1,200 financial institutions and 27.8 million registered users, after selling off with…

QTWO $3.7B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

OKLO · short

Oklo INC

Oklo is framed as a portfolio basket short and a concept company that could become a compounding short.

OKLO $7.4B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

LULU · long

Lululemon Athletica INC

Lululemon Athletica, a high-end women’s sportswear retailer, is presented as a long investment.

LULU $11B

Value Investors Club Jun 5 1 click

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…

SMPL $954MBRBR $1.1B

The Value Road Sep 2 23 clicks

Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal

Chevron committed $7 billion to expand Venezuelan output as record U.S. production and elevated oil prices lifted Q2 earnings.

CVX $423B

Bay Area Ideas Sep 2 5 clicks

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Broadcom reported $29.6 billion Q3 revenue, up 86%, with AI semiconductor sales up 221% to $16.7 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $34.8…

AVGO $1.8T

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 2 3 clicks

Meta Vs. Meta's 7.1% Bond Yield: Reality Check For Asset Allocators

Meta Platforms’ 7.1% long bonds set a high return hurdle for equity as user growth nears saturation and the stock trades at 6.5 times sales.

META $1.6T

Tariq Dennison Sep 2 6 clicks

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…

DASH $87B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 16 clicks

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…

IREN $18B

Quantryon Capital Sep 2 10 clicks

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Genuine Parts Company is one of eight potential rebound stocks on RC’s September 2026 watchlist.

GPC $19B

Rebound Capital Sep 2 4 clicks

Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

From X

Fred Liu on X

Fred Liu on X

Fred Liu on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Porter Collins on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Investor Letters

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Molina Healthcare

Summit Therapeutics: The High Stakes Of Translating China Clinical Data To The U.S.

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

Selling Where They Ain’t

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

Enersys

Cardinal Infrastru Group INC

Q2 Holdings INC (qtwo)

Oklo INC

Lululemon Athletica INC

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Meta Vs. Meta's 7.1% Bond Yield: Reality Check For Asset Allocators

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

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Seeking Alpha 14 of 127

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Friday, September 4, 2026

Fred Liu on X

Fred Liu on X

Fred Liu on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Porter Collins on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 53

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 14 of 127

X accounts we follow

Sectors