Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.

NVDA $5.5TMETA $1.6T

Steve Eisman Sep 4 21 clicks

Sep 4 RYN $6.1B

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

The Value Road 37 clicks

Sep 4 AVGO $1.8T

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

MBI Deep Dives 19 clicks

From X

@AltaFoxCapital Nov 6 2 clicks

Connor Haley on X

Good quarter from $NATL and thesis on track. -The ATMaaS business continues to outperform... 37% y/y growth in Q3... and it's on track to be 40%+ in Q4, well ahead of our expectations -SSB delivered >50% incremental EBITDA margins in Q3, fueling 21% EBITDA growth for the segment

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 31

Laughing Water Capital on X

@MGardnerDA1235 @yummyCenturyEgg @dylan55917 $NN has wanted to collaborate with the opposition for ~18 months. They repeatedly talk about how they want "engineer to engineer conversations", but the opposition will not engage. 1 explanation is b/c the opposition knows what the tests will say, but yes real tests are possible

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 31

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 4/x) for tolls, why slightly moving part of 2 of the 3 technologies by a few mhz crazy? $NN has said this would cost "tens of millions." no big deal. Not to mention that half of toll reading is already done by camera an AI. Why use limited spectrum when better tech is available? https://t.co/75Yxn4PCu4

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 31

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 3/x) beyond the pros view, consider for RFID in Europe they get 6 mhz. Japan 6. China 5. Why does US need 28? why aren't the 11 mhz between $NN's proposed 5 up and 10 down enough? not to mention that NN has already demonstrated they don't interfere with part 15

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 31

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 1/x ) $NN it is not me that says the spectrum is considered clean. it is industry pros with decades of experience across engineering and valuation that consider it clean. I am happy to change my mind if you feel your use of ChatGPT should be weighted more heavily than pros.

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 31

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 thank you for the work you did on $NN. I can see why you reached the conclusion you did when only looking at the trees you wanted to see. However, industry pros will tell you that the forest is very different, and that this spectrum is likely to be quite valuable. We will see.

@HaydenCapital Oct 21

Fred Liu on X

Forrest's latest memo echoes his recent podcast interview - belief that the AI platform-shift has created a window of opportunity. For Sea Ltd $SE to be a $1TN company, if they play their cards right. https://t.co/s9IiqSfd4w https://t.co/Q5AEMfnl7P https://t.co/EYgD8uK51z

@MultiplesCap Sep 16

Multiples Capital on X

Poland picks BAE Systems to boost artillery production, with the goal to produce 200K rounds of 155mm caliber per year from 30K today. Defense spending is as major theme as countries look at boosting their own military capabilities. Long $BAESY (not an investment advice) https://t.co/iOiWIbjzFH

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $8BCOST $404B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 9 clicks

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…

AVGO $1.8T

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 4 6 clicks

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $43BCRM $214B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 36 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $100B

First Strike Research Sep 3 19 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $29BWMT $850B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 3 clicks

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…

NFLX $511B

The Curious Analyst Sep 3 3 clicks

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Broadcom reported $29.6 billion Q3 revenue, up 86%, with AI semiconductor sales up 221% to $16.7 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $34.8…

AVGO $1.8T

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 2 3 clicks

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…

DASH $87B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 16 clicks

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…

IREN $18B

Quantryon Capital Sep 2 10 clicks

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Genuine Parts Company is one of eight potential rebound stocks on RC’s September 2026 watchlist.

GPC $18B

Rebound Capital Sep 2 3 clicks

Amazon $AMZN: The Company That Became Impossible to Ignore — and Finally Possible to Model

Amazon reported $200.6 billion in quarterly revenue and $27.5 billion in operating income as AWS grew 36.7% and advertising 26%, making its…

AMZN $2.8T

Substack von Philipp Sep 2 7 clicks

Reddit: Rapid Earnings Growth With Room For An AI Expansion

Reddit's advertising automation, proprietary data and Reddit Max are driving rapid revenue growth and margin expansion, while AI licensing…

RDDT $30B

Krzysztof Bogdanski Sep 2 7 clicks

Lumen Technologies - Accumulate $6-$8.30; STP<$6; PT >$12 - Q2 FY12/26 & Outlook

Lumen is shedding consumer lines for data-center services; $9.2 billion of deferred revenue, up 72%, supports its enterprise order book…

LUMN $7B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 1 1 click

CrowdStrike (NASDAQ: CRWD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

CrowdStrike posted 25.8% Q2 revenue growth and $333 million of net new ARR, while FY27 ARR guidance rose to 34% despite a 150% stock rally…

CRWD $214B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 1

MDA Space: Houston, We Have a New Position

MDA Space is added to the Aurelion Index after hiring engineers, signing large contracts and expanding facilities; the thesis cites…

MDA $4.7B

Aurelion Research Sep 1 6 clicks

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

Amazon’s $69 billion advertising business faces an FTC lawsuit over alleged bid shading, threatening a revenue stream that grew roughly…

AMZN $2.8T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 1 14 clicks

Cleveland-Cliffs: 2027 Could Be A Very Big Year

Cleveland-Cliffs' 2027 upside depends on contract resets and Stelco earnings, while management directs free cash flow to deleveraging…

CLF $7B

The Bullionaire Sep 1 2 clicks

WD #356: Software/AI, Estee Lauder, Various Brazilian Stocks

LLM adoption is rising but may not generate returns sufficient to justify current AI investment; the aggressive portfolio exits Estee…

EL $38B

Ian’s Insider Corner Aug 31 1 click

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…

WAY $4.8B

scuttleblurb Aug 31 15 clicks

Here's Why You Should Buy Genius Sports Despite Rising Leverage

Genius Sports guided for $1.005–$1.025 billion of revenue and $285–$295 million of adjusted EBITDA despite higher leverage from the Legend…

GENI $2.1B

Mayank Marwah Aug 31 5 clicks

Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

From X

Connor Haley on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

Multiples Capital on X

Investor Letters

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

Selling Where They Ain’t

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Amazon $AMZN: The Company That Became Impossible to Ignore — and Finally Possible to Model

Reddit: Rapid Earnings Growth With Room For An AI Expansion

Lumen Technologies - Accumulate $6-$8.30; STP<$6; PT >$12 - Q2 FY12/26 & Outlook

CrowdStrike (NASDAQ: CRWD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

MDA Space: Houston, We Have a New Position

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

Cleveland-Cliffs: 2027 Could Be A Very Big Year

WD #356: Software/AI, Estee Lauder, Various Brazilian Stocks

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Here's Why You Should Buy Genius Sports Despite Rising Leverage

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Friday, September 4, 2026

Connor Haley on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

Multiples Capital on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 53

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 14 of 110

X accounts we follow

Sectors