Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.

NVDA $5.5TMETA $1.6T

Steve Eisman Sep 4 15 clicks

Sep 4 RYN $6B

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

The Value Road 31 clicks

Sep 4 AVGO $1.7T

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

MBI Deep Dives 12 clicks

From X

@ChrisCamillo 47h ago 2 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

@topazbenj he saw a video. if u been following me u know id love nothing more than to go all in on $TSLA with real optimus intel. believe me im on it

@TidefallCapital Sep 4 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

$TAP A quarter century and zero capital gain. Now being kicked out of the S&P https://t.co/RM49KQJm36

@TheBenSchmark Sep 4 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

The bottleneck play on this is $COMP? 🧭 https://t.co/1ClFMI3z4d

@ChrisCamillo Sep 4

Chris Camillo on X

hell of a week to own the future. $BE https://t.co/Un6jGv7rrR

@ActAccordingly Sep 4

PAA Research on X

Fantastic work by all of those involved in the $FICO short. The (-60%+) decline from the peak feels right in a lot of ways. The chart is as good as you'll get for a short seller. However, like every other great short idea, bears endured THREE contra-trend rallies of 30-40% on the march to a (-60%+) decline over the past 18-months. That is typical and one of the reasons why shorting is so difficult.

@ChrisCamillo Sep 4

Chris Camillo on X

@gregerativeai If referring to the 1-day $10M-ish payout options trade that’s in the rear view but still very long $AMZN

@leevalueroach Sep 4 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

This man is probably an activist investor in $RYN trying to create his own catalyst by removing timber supply from the market. Heard he has an MBA from Wharton too and his wife hates him. https://t.co/sAp2HUFNaO

@ACapitalLP Sep 4

A Capital on X

6/10 was the $AMZN LTL announcement… https://t.co/vwjXQlPywX

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $8BCOST $410B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 6 clicks

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…

AVGO $1.7T

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 4 4 clicks

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $46BCRM $214B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 33 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $101B

First Strike Research Sep 3 16 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $29BWMT $845B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 3 clicks

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…

NFLX $511B

The Curious Analyst Sep 3 3 clicks

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Broadcom reported $29.6 billion Q3 revenue, up 86%, with AI semiconductor sales up 221% to $16.7 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $34.8…

AVGO $1.7T

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 2 3 clicks

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…

DASH $96B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 16 clicks

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…

IREN $18B

Quantryon Capital Sep 2 9 clicks

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Genuine Parts Company is one of eight potential rebound stocks on RC’s September 2026 watchlist.

GPC $19B

Rebound Capital Sep 2 3 clicks

Boston Scientific Has to Keep Buying the Future

Boston Scientific built its interventional-medicine portfolio through acquisitions, but early-2000s growth became heavily dependent on the…

BSX $70B

scuttleblurb Jul 20 3 clicks

On Holdings: Maintaining Pace

On Holdings expects roughly CHF 3.5 billion in FY26 revenue as running shoes drive growth, while APAC exceeds 20% of sales and apparel…

ONON $9.4B

TSOH Investment Research Jul 20

Netflix: DCF Valuation

Netflix’s updated DCF values shares at $88.50 versus $69, with slower revenue growth offset by higher margins and revised…

NFLX $511B

Hated Moats Jul 17

Too Big to Succeed

JPMorgan’s $5 trillion balance sheet and $63.7 trillion derivatives book make Jamie Dimon’s eventual successor one of banking’s hardest…

JPM $962B

Net Interest Jul 17

TSMC 2Q'26: Stratospheric Margins Amidst the AI Super Cycle

TSMC’s 2Q 2026 operating margin exceeded 60% as AI-driven demand for advanced chips pushed profitability beyond the prior cycle’s…

TSM $2.1T

MBI Deep Dives Jul 17 2 clicks

ASML 2Q'26: Time to Flex Pricing Power

ASML’s 2Q’26 commentary signals a shift from measured pricing toward flexing its chip-equipment pricing power.

ASML $640B

MBI Deep Dives Jul 16 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] CDNS, SNPS, TREX, WISE, Class I Rails, China

Synopsys and Cadence retain EDA pricing power through entrenched design flows, foundry relationships and high switching costs; AI-driven…

SNPS $80B

scuttleblurb Jul 16 2 clicks

Thoughts on PayPal Buyout Offer

PayPal faces a $60.50-per-share buyout offer from Stripe and Advent, with a rejection or counteroffer above $80 viewed as more likely.

PYPL $47B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Jul 15

Rebound Watchlist: July 2026

Rebound Capital's July 2026 watchlist puts AeroVironment and Coinbase under review after UnitedHealth rose more than 70% from its low.

AVAV $7.3BCOIN $48B

Rebound Capital Jul 15

Airbnb’s Cost of Market Creation and Regulatory Survival

Airbnb spent 1.1% of 2025 GBV on field operations and policy as regulatory costs persisted; New York’s short-term-rental crackdown cut…

ABNB $111B

MBI Deep Dives Jul 15 5 clicks

Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

From X

Chris Camillo on X

Trevor Scott on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Chris Camillo on X

PAA Research on X

Chris Camillo on X

Lee Roach on X

A Capital on X

Investor Letters

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

Selling Where They Ain’t

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Boston Scientific Has to Keep Buying the Future

On Holdings: Maintaining Pace

Netflix: DCF Valuation

Too Big to Succeed

TSMC 2Q'26: Stratospheric Margins Amidst the AI Super Cycle

ASML 2Q'26: Time to Flex Pricing Power

[scuttleslops] CDNS, SNPS, TREX, WISE, Class I Rails, China

Thoughts on PayPal Buyout Offer

Rebound Watchlist: July 2026

Airbnb’s Cost of Market Creation and Regulatory Survival

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