Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap
OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.
Friday, September 4, 2026
From X
BDC on X
...."but we might not take the offer bc we have all these reasons to use the compute internally even though we missed ad revs" (basically) $meta https://t.co/ozJ63qcFIL
BDC on X
Majority of EPS growth is in tech. Rest of the market EPS growth is tepid. $QQQ imploding, $RSP ripped. Sustainable?
Ian Bezek on X
Well would you look at that. $COLO $EWY https://t.co/fIuPhTl9TI
Broken Moats on X
Oil up 7.5% and $EXPE continues its squeeze because it's simply the opposite end of the ai trade? How long can these on/off trades define every stock in the market? Crazy
Laughing Water Capital on X
Friendly reminder that $MRK is well positioned and well incentivized to purchase $LQDA. Yutrepia fits very well with Merck's respiratory portfolio. https://t.co/JAdLguTw7D
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Like $GLW, I wish margins/ROIC were higher and capital intensity were lower at $AMKR. Yet, with the stock now back around $46 (largely flat YTD and cut in half from its highs), the Amkor setup now seems pretty good over the next 3-4 years due to their scale, new capacity investments, and the increasing importance of advanced packaging capabilities.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Despite my past skepticism, $GLW around its current $125 per share ($110 b cap) actually seems fairly compelling given the company’s scale, leading market position, and multi-year growth ramp.
Investor Letters
All letters- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $509B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $227B
- Fred Alger Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMZN $2.8TGOOGL $4.2T
- Forager Funds Management July 2026 4733 $4.1BSGE $13B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 AUTO $5.3BGNRC $11B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.6BLDNXF $58B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 VVVNF $1.8BUNVGY $26B
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $106MEVGGF $17B
Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine
Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…
Simple Investment Ideas 4 clicks
[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA
Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…
Intuit: The Recovery Is Only Beginning
Intuit targets 9.1% FY2027 revenue growth and 23% EPS growth after Q4 revenue rose 13.7%, supported by Global Business Solutions, Credit…
Treading Softly 5 clicks
Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows
CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.
Selling Where They Ain’t
Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.
Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started
Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…
The Curious Analyst 3 clicks
AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.
Broadcom reported $29.6 billion Q3 revenue, up 86%, with AI semiconductor sales up 221% to $16.7 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $34.8…
Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future
DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…
Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26
Genuine Parts Company is one of eight potential rebound stocks on RC’s September 2026 watchlist.
Amazon $AMZN: The Company That Became Impossible to Ignore — and Finally Possible to Model
Amazon reported $200.6 billion in quarterly revenue and $27.5 billion in operating income as AWS grew 36.7% and advertising 26%, making its…
CrowdStrike (NASDAQ: CRWD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings
CrowdStrike posted 25.8% Q2 revenue growth and $333 million of net new ARR, while FY27 ARR guidance rose to 34% despite a 150% stock rally…
The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising
Amazon’s $69 billion advertising business faces an FTC lawsuit over alleged bid shading, threatening a revenue stream that grew roughly…
Undercovered Dozen: JPMorgan, Sezzle, Kayne Anderson And More
Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including JPMorgan, Sezzle and Kayne Anderson, to surface under-the-radar equity…
The Undercovered Dozen 2 clicks
WD #356: Software/AI, Estee Lauder, Various Brazilian Stocks
LLM adoption is rising but may not generate returns sufficient to justify current AI investment; the aggressive portfolio exits Estee…
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q3: Margins Matter More Than AI Orders
Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s Q3 hinges on converting AI-networking orders while preserving its 21.6% segment margin, after booking $1.8…
Deep Value Investing 3 clicks
Palantir Q2 - We Move To “Distribute” Rating For 48hrs, Then To “Do Nothing”.
Palantir shares at $183 exceed Cestrian’s $177 target after Q2 revenue grew 93%, prompting a 48-hour Distribute rating as Q3 growth…
Dollar Tree: Weathering The Storm
Dollar Tree’s $1.25 opening price and multi-price assortment supported 10% two-year comparable-sales growth, outpacing Walmart U.S.
PayPal: Stripe Reportedly Walks Away; Here Are 2 Fallback Options
PayPal's failed Stripe and Advent bid leaves a Venmo spin-off or aggressive buybacks as value-unlocking options amid slowing growth and a…
The Asian Investor 6 clicks
Salesforce Q2 - Hold - Destination Unknown - STP<$165
Salesforce trades at 14x trailing unlevered pretax free cash flow after Q2, with 10.8% revenue growth and unproven agentic AI adoption.
Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C August 31, 2026
The week of August 31 features U.S. manufacturing, jobs and services data, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hold above key moving averages and…
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