Sunday, August 30, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2BCCOI $476M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Aug 27 VRRM $536M

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

The Oak Bloke 6 clicks

Aug 27 PRGS $1.9B

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Triple S Special Situations Investing 3 clicks

From X

@TimyanBankAlert Jul 17 2 clicks

Timyan Bank Alert on X

The Activist at the Gate: Cashmere Valley Bank Faces a Modern Reckoning - https://t.co/yNUYdB8euM $CSHX https://t.co/YcYtPPAYzX

@BlueDuckCap Jul 17 1 click

BDC on X

I've been as skeptical of the semi hype/froth as any of the bears - but also open minded as per our process. We've largely avoided material positions on the long side in the space, with the exception of some trades here and there and some 2nd/3rd order beneficiaries that we identified early-ish. Also short $SOXX in decent size. But that said, and sticking with the open-minded process - it's pretty rare to see gaps between fwd EPS estimates and stock price as wide as what is visible in $SNDK here:

@marginofdanger Jul 17 1 click

marginofdanger on X

$FMBL Attended meeting yday. Most notable news was that meeting was adjourned with respect to proposals 4a and 4b (lowering thresholds to 60%) which were apparently within 2.5-3% of passing — mgmt sounded optimistic they’ll get there with some extra time. Meeting will recommence in late August.

@cfrischer1 Jul 17

Charles Frischer on X

$NN Some commentators on this board believe satellite companies have no interest in buying NN 900 MHz spectrum. I think this NPRM for space part 15 for 900 MHz implies the exact opposite is true. I believe satellite companies will show strong interest in NN spectrum.

@cfrischer1 Jul 17

Charles Frischer on X

@vdoubleux1 $NN While we would to have the NPRM already, I understand the company is working with full force towards that goal. CEO has long history of successfully navigating FCC approval process. This is not her first rodeo. She did this for years while working for Charlie Ergen.

@cfrischer1 Jul 17

Charles Frischer on X

@vdoubleux1 $NN The company will and does take calls from investors. This management team has delivered on all fronts. Purchased Telesaurus at a fantastic price, had the FCC do the public comment, had the FCC issue NOI and submit NPRM to OIRA for approval. I think CEO and her team are great

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 17

Laughing Water Capital on X

@FriendlyCapMgmt @thecontracap there have been some things i view as negative for $ANAB and some that are positive. but in my view in order to make this investment you have to focus on the future cashflows, not the trial.

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 17 3 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@cfrischer1 The use cases for satellite part 15 are extremely limited, & to suggest this is bad for $NN is silly. If there is interference or not is the only thing that matters whether on land or in space.

TPC 2026-08-27

Tutor Perini: Q2 2026 Made My Strong Buy Case Stronger

Tutor Perini’s Q2 revenue rose 19% to $1.64 billion as higher-margin megaprojects lifted construction income 54%, prompting higher 2026 EPS…

TPC $4.5B

The Curious Analyst Aug 27

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 12 clicks

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $536M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

SA 2026-08-20

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…

SA $3.5B

Redfern Research Aug 20

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $938M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 18 13 clicks

Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge

DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…

SERV $385M

MBI Deep Dives Aug 17 4 clicks

Stock Trade Compilation Diez

E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…

MNRO $422M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 17 9 clicks

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…

KSS $1.9B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 13 9 clicks

CNR · long

Core Natural Resources INC

Core Natural Resources is a US metallurgical and thermal coal producer formed in January 2025 through the merger of CONSOL Energy and Arch…

CNR $4.5B

Value Investors Club Jun 1 1 click

RR 2026-08-29

Richtech Robotics: An Easy Pass Based On Lackluster RaaS Growth Quality

Richtech Robotics faces 9.5% revenue growth, 159% higher OPEX and a RaaS contract pipeline that fell from $6.6 million to $2.1 million.

RR $385M

Andres Veurink Aug 29 1 click

Entravision Q2 Notes

Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…

EVC $727M

The Value Road Aug 11 13 clicks

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2BTWO $1.3B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)

Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…

NAVI $855M

Capital Employed Aug 10 9 clicks

DEC-laration of independence

Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…

DEC $983M

The Oak Bloke Aug 6 7 clicks

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…

PRM $4.9B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 9 clicks

Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)

Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…

VISN $1.5B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Jul 31 7 clicks

[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us

OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…

OTCM $653M

scuttleblurb Jul 31 3 clicks

This Stock Just Got Cheaper on Better Numbers

A debt-free American manufacturer now trades at roughly 7x annualized Q2 EBITDA, with $7.35 per share in net cash and a tender floor 18.5%…

RGR $663M

The Value Road Jul 30 4 clicks

Timyan Bank Alert on X

BDC on X

marginofdanger on X

Charles Frischer on X

Charles Frischer on X

Charles Frischer on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

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