Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.
Tuesday, August 25, 2026
From X
BDC on X
Moderna’s Phase 3 cancer-vaccine announcement reports endpoint success without disclosing recurrence-free, distant-metastasis-free or overall-survival data, leaving the clinical bar unknown.
mavix on X
Shelly Group entered a pan-European distribution partnership with ALSO, expanding access to resellers, system integrators and professional installers.
mavix on X
Shelly Group shareholder Svetlin Todorov moved 6.5% of the company into his LLC, fueling speculation about a Schneider Electric strategic investment or partnership.
mavix on X
I just published the Earnings Update about the Shelly Group $SLYG H1 2026 results. You can find it in the Portfolio section of the blog :) https://t.co/8oHEkLEiea
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Community Corner: $HBT Financial's buying power gives it an edge in Illinois bank M&A | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/R8CBN3O7t8
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Overview of new Permian gas takeaway options $ET https://t.co/d6v7olZYwB
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Some may not have noticed that this fellow now on the $EGBN was a 3rd party rep on the $BRBS board. Activist investor prepares for round two with Maryland bank https://t.co/j264ThuQ0C
Investor Letters
All letters
SBLK 2026-08-25 Star Bulk Carriers: You Don't Need The Record Quarter
Kevin Avroutskii WLDN 2026-08-25 Willdan Group: The Q2 Beat-And-Raise Confirms The Inflection
Miletus Research 
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb
Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
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Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
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$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
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Triple S Special Situations Investing
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
The Monetary Matters Network
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
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