Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.
Tuesday, August 25, 2026
From X
Broken Moats on X
FactSet trades above its pre-SaaS selloff price despite disruption and pricing pressure across FDS, PAYC, PCTY and WDAY.
Broken Moats on X
Danaher rose from $165 to $190 despite disappointing bioprocessing sales and guidance, while Thermo Fisher and Repligen fell on weak results.
Broken Moats on X
Rollins' weak quarter pushes its valuation below $35 toward 15 to 18 times earnings, while Texas and Southeast growth supports recurring pest-control demand.
Broken Moats on X
Semiconductor swings and AI-driven software rallies have created idiosyncratic short setups, including private-credit-exposed insurers FG, MET and MFC and payroll vendors PCTY and PAYC.
Broken Moats on X
Stripe’s purchase of PayPal would give Venmo unlimited funding and intensify payments competition across Toast, StoneCo and Shift4.
Broken Moats on X
Costco’s commitment to an employee family’s health care and scheduling needs reflects a virtuous cycle of worker support, customer loyalty and financial success.
Broken Moats on X
WD-40 posted 30% Americas growth and 24% companywide growth, yet lifted full-year guidance only to 6%-9%, raising questions about forecasting and Asian inventory swings.
Broken Moats on X
Boston Scientific's $2 billion accelerated share repurchase ended June 30, coinciding with a sharp rebound from selloff lows.
Investor Letters
All letters
SBLK 2026-08-25 Star Bulk Carriers: You Don't Need The Record Quarter
Kevin Avroutskii WLDN 2026-08-25 Willdan Group: The Q2 Beat-And-Raise Confirms The Inflection
Miletus Research 
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb
Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
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