Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.
Tuesday, August 25, 2026
From X
Lee Roach on X
NCMI paused its dividend and buyback for a $275 million office-building digital advertising acquisition, criticized as 14.5x 2025 EBITDA with 3.9x net leverage.
Clark Square Capital on X
$LUXE still in the doldrums even as all the luxury players beat. Should bode well for results though. https://t.co/EJZPsggXDs
Clark Square Capital on X
Anybody like $DOMO here? Trading at $3.67 when they will have circa $4.84 in net cash after the sale closes + $900m in NOLs (at a 21% tax rate, that's worth $4.50 to the equity) https://t.co/UwaAd0UkLL
Clark Square Capital on X
Good, solid quarter from $BWMX https://t.co/rRzlwT85tX
Little Owl Research on X
My report on $RAVE for anyone interested. https://t.co/heQF6riN6X
Little Owl Research on X
VBNK shareholder cites POS originators’ scalable value proposition and RPP growth as reasons to hold, with RBDT a potential additional business.
Little Owl Research on X
$RAVE https://t.co/hxEoXQIe93
Little Owl Research on X
Rave Restaurant Group posted 22% EPS growth and 8% same-store sales growth, with Pizza Inn AUV nearing $1.4 million and an 8% earnings yield to enterprise value.
Investor Letters
All letters
SBLK 2026-08-25 Star Bulk Carriers: You Don't Need The Record Quarter
Kevin Avroutskii WLDN 2026-08-25 Willdan Group: The Q2 Beat-And-Raise Confirms The Inflection
Miletus Research 
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb
Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
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