Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.
Tuesday, August 25, 2026
Aug 25 STNE $2.3B StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now
IWA Research Aug 25 SBLK $3.4B Star Bulk Carriers: You Don't Need The Record Quarter
Kevin Avroutskii From X
Raging Capital Ventures on X
OpenAI’s CFO Sarah Friar also on a media tour spreading the good cheer… bullish $ORCL https://t.co/oymK8c7nVc
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Sam Altman said OpenAI’s revenue ramp is strengthening and its compute commitments may have been too conservative, a positive signal for OpenAI and Oracle.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Amkor at roughly $46 offers a 3 to 4 year setup built on scale, new capacity and advanced packaging demand, despite weak margins, ROIC and capital intensity.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Despite my past skepticism, $GLW around its current $125 per share ($110 b cap) actually seems fairly compelling given the company’s scale, leading market position, and multi-year growth ramp.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
$AGYS does not see negative impact of AI on enterprise software companies, argues that they are "seeing the opposite effect." Also notes the cost/benefit analysis favors software subscriptions vs. investing in expensive AI development. https://t.co/W4qnsF26r4
Raging Capital Ventures on X
I pitched $ORCL at $285 as a short last October at my conference. Now at $120 think it is intriguing as a long… https://t.co/8QB7O3VSoH
Raging Capital Ventures on X
@retaox The $CHTR broadband offering is much more competitively priced today due to tech upgrades, limited pricing increases in recent years, aggressive retention incentives, and investments into the video/wireless bundle.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Shorted a bunch of $AAPL and bought puts over last few days. Seems very overbought (was it a funding short?) and at a good level to find resistance. Edge AI models should ultimately be good for $AAPL, but company still has grossly mismanaged the AI opp and memory is a headwind.
Investor Letters
All letters
TTMI 2026-08-25 TTM Technologies: Priced Like A Board Shop, Booked Like A Defense Prime
Jaden Mealy 
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
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AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
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Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Bristlemoon Capital ZTS 2026-08-13[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
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The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
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