TFPM 2026-08-22 Triple Flag Precious Metals: Ravenswood Turns Optionality Into Duration
Capital Connoisseur Saturday, August 22, 2026
TFPM 2026-08-22 Capital Connoisseur Aug 22 UUUU $3.7B Energy Fuels: The Largest Combined Uranium And Rare Earth Company In North America
Joseph L. Shaefer Aug 22 LLY $1.2T Eli Lilly: Shaking Off Competition From The Dethroned Novo Nordisk
JR Research From X
Chris Camillo on X
@Anointed_Ape Inconsequential. $AMZN no small cap
Chris Camillo on X
Would’ve been a $20B+ positive swing if they’d just followed me into $AMZN at 1x leverage. And they call us Dumb Money. https://t.co/WZVVizF9zL
Raging Capital Ventures on X
@pradeeepk $AMD + ASICs will eat $NVDA margins
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Any fundamental views on $RH here? I’ve been recently trying on the short as a trade into the $180 level with some success, feels like it has squeezed higher due to de-grossing/de-leveraging. Other building names are very weak with 10-year testing 5%.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Bill.com was sold after a 50%+ rebound, while HubSpot and Workday positions are actively traded with calls and short puts. Small shorts target Adobe, ServiceNow, Atlassian, Sprinklr and Yext.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Altria's smokeless products lack traction as Marlboro loses share and cigarette volumes fall, making $MO a trading short.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
OpenAI “ARR” apparently run rating at $60 b, and (for the most part) they haven’t yet monetized their 1 billion weekly consumer actives. Bullish $ORCL. https://t.co/pBDIrTTAqV
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Booked the quick 8-10% gain on this $AAPL short, knock on wood. Have a great weekend.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital second quarter
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026 +6.6%
- First Eagle Investments 3Q 2025 +9.2%
- Palm Harbour Capital third quarter
- Bireme Capital 2Q22 -1.4%
- Bireme Capital first five months of 2023 +8.0%
- Polaris Capital Management FIRST QUARTER 2026 +5.1%
- Polaris Capital Management SECOND QUARTER 2026 +12.3%
The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket
Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…
Walmart’s Evolution
Walmart says Medicare Maximum Fair Price rules will cut FY27 US comps by 125 basis points, while pharmacy margins and prescription volumes…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
Instacart’s Unit Economics, and Implications for DoorDash
Instacart’s per-order unit economics provide a benchmark for assessing DoorDash’s LTM profitability and operating model.
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
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Older Stories
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
Yet Another Value Podcast
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Bristlemoon Capital ZTS 2026-08-13[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
scuttleblurb
The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
Bearhold ResearchTopics
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