Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and cash-flow breakeven in Q4 2026.
Tuesday, August 18, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Laughing Water Capital on X
Grt🧵on $GSK's cancer biz. But IMHO GSK cant max their ROI b/c $ANAB can block GSK from partnering w/ other PD1s like $MRK's Keytruda. Trial is 7/14 & GSK could lose 100% of JEMPERLI which IMHO is ~10% of GSK's mkt cap. I think GSK settles or buys ANAB for big $$$. Disc: Long https://t.co/N4Rls7h63Z https://t.co/04Zx6UdUwi
Laughing Water Capital on X
@darkstarsats 2/x) $NN can play a video for congress of them running tests right outside the capital building, or maybe even inside, and say "see, no interference."
Laughing Water Capital on X
@darkstarsats 1/x) the point is that next time $NN is front of congress, when the opposition claims interference, Miriam can say "congressman, did you notice your key card not working?" "Sergeant at Arms, were there any issues w/ electronic security?" etc etc
Laughing Water Capital on X
I think there is signal value here. No way the FCC runs $NN tests at the literal capital building unless they have sign-off from the highest levels. To much risk of this being labeled a “stunt” unless the FCC and higher powers are strongly supportive. https://t.co/Eaxyu0UbS4
marginofdanger on X
@BillAckman Literally every asset that’s managed by you including $HHH $PSHZF and now $PSUS has always traded at a discount. Why would this one be any different?
marginofdanger on X
Really interesting how $GO had truly massive insider buying and the stock barely reacted, allowing the investor to accumulate a sizable position. This one has worked quite nicely. https://t.co/iXfU4SCmt5
Timyan Bank Alert on X
BancFirst $BANF Corporation Announces Acquisition of SpiritBank https://t.co/8jm5DCej1L
Laughing Water Capital on X
@darkstarsats @dylan_ascencios @dan_tmt and why would anyone have to retool antennas or receivers when almost all (but not all) Part 15 are center tuned to 915, which $NN doesn't want. Why are 10 Mhz around 915 not enough when EU and China do it with 5 or 6 MHz?
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 082920 $946MVVVNF $1.8B
- Protean Funds July 2026 STOR-B $1.7BTRUE-B $615M
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 ADMA $2.1BKD $2.7B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 AORT $1.2BCENX $3.9B
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 CNX $4.9BFBIN $4.8B
- Horizon Kinetics 2nd Quarter 2026 MIAX $3.8B
- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended June 30, 2026 CLB $523MHAE $4.9B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q2 2026 CALY $2.6BHCC $4.6B
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
Entravision Q2 Notes
Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…
$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost
UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.
40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)
Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…
DEC-laration of independence
Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…
Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)
Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…
[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us
OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…
This Stock Just Got Cheaper on Better Numbers
A debt-free American manufacturer now trades at roughly 7x annualized Q2 EBITDA, with $7.35 per share in net cash and a tender floor 18.5%…
Entravision: Another Whale Has Emerged
Entravision’s Q1 filings contain a new footnote disclosure pointing to a potential second large advertiser beyond its Hong Kong customer,…
COUR · long Coursera INC
Coursera's combination with Udemy creates an online learning platform serving over 270 million learners with hundreds of thousands of…
$PRKS: SeaWorld, an 8% cash yield, and a possible 80% short squeeze | Hawkins Entrekin
United Parks trades at 8x EBITDA with an 8%+ unlevered cash yield, aggressive buybacks and roughly 80% effective short interest, while…
Clear the DEC?
Diversified Energy (DEC) has paid $21.84 per share in dividends since June 2017 and trades at $13.35 amid a bullish U.S.
$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity
CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…
Matan on Stitch Fix
Stitch Fix’s rushed Freestyle pivot cannibalized its profitable Fix business, driving active clients below 3.4 million, quarterly revenue…
Is insider buying a signal if the insiders are always wrong? $LILAK
LILAK’s canceled GCI Liberty deal, preferred-stock distribution, and $1.7 million of insider buying revive governance concerns around John…
$VEON: a busted EM telecom hiding a 4x? | Samit Umatiya, UIG Funds
VEON’s 84% Kyivstar stake and JazzCash underpin a sum-of-the-parts case for 4x upside, despite its sanctioned shareholder, capital…
Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)
Wingstop generates most of its $697 million revenue from franchise royalties across a 3,153-restaurant, 98%-franchised system while…
The Biggest Bull Signal On Entravision
Entravision’s lost Meta relationship reset its business model, setting up a bullish case for the company’s recovery.
The Arithmetic: How a $9 Spanish-Language Broadcaster Becomes a $100 AdTech Stock
Entravision’s path from a $9 Spanish-language broadcaster to a $100 adtech stock rests on an adtech-driven valuation model.
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Seeking Alpha 29 of 159
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X accounts we follow
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
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A Capital
AltayCap
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BDC
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catechwilliams
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Chris Camillo
Clark Square Capital
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Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
Maj Soueidan
marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
Multiples Capital
Myles
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Negligible Capital
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Odd Lot Arbitrageur
PAA Research
Pernas Research
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Red Dog Capital
RiverRoadPartners
Rusholme Capital
Sahil Khetpal
SG
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
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ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
- Alpinum Investment Management AG
- Ariel Investments
- Artisan Partners
- Askeladden Capital
- Asset Value Investors Ltd
- Baron Funds
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- Cedar Creek Partners
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- Donville Kent Asset Management Inc.
- FPA Crescent Fund
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- Fred Alger Management, LLC
- Giverny Capital
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- Greenhaven Road Capital
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- Invenomic Capital Management
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- Lindsell Train Limited
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- Pershing Square Holdings
- Polaris Capital Management
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- RGA Investment Advisors
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- Royce Investment Partners
- Sequoia Fund
- Southeastern Asset Management
- Third Avenue Management
- Tweedy, Browne
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- Vulcan Value Partners
- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- White Falcon Capital Management
Sectors
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