Sunday, August 16, 2026

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed against SEO-driven SMB churn risk.

HUBS $11B

The Oak Bloke Aug 16 9 clicks

Aug 14 DNOW $2.8B

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

Yet Another Value Podcast 9 clicks

Aug 14 CRWV $47B

The AI Compute Squeeze

MBI Deep Dives 8 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Dec 27

catechwilliams on X

$YOU sales growth in light blue, Members in orange vs QTD web traffic. Dotted section is Q4 w consensus sales and member growth. https://t.co/NcihE7pbyD

@catechwilliams Dec 27

catechwilliams on X

$YOU Clear supervisor at JFK said they’ve experienced “a surge in new sign-ups from pre-Thanksgiving through the Christmas travel period.” Similarweb web traffic to their site shows a large acceleration in visits as well suggesting a potentially large Q4 earnings beat.

@catechwilliams Dec 4

catechwilliams on X

$DKNG Basically just said at the Craig Hallum Conference they are going to miss Q4 guidance. CEO: "literally had the worst stretch of the year, the last few weeks...sometimes that happens where you issue your guidance...So we'll see."

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…

M $5.8B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 13 9 clicks

[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY

Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…

ZTS $30B

scuttleblurb Aug 13 9 clicks

The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)

Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…

CPRT $27B

Bearhold Research Aug 13 9 clicks

Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers

GFL’s proposed acquisition of Secure follows 19% revenue growth at Secure and 14.8% EBITDA growth at GFL, with Permian produced-water and…

GFL $15B

310 Value’s Newsletter Aug 12 11 clicks

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

Private Credit's Clock is Ticking w/ Glenn Schorr & Ken Worthington | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 72

Glenn Schorr and Ken Worthington discuss risks in private-credit software loans, agentic AI at retail brokers, crypto use cases and bank…

LPLA $26B

Steve Eisman Aug 10 13 clicks

Figma 2Q'26: Near-Term Re-acceleration vs. Long-Term Durability

Figma raised its 2026 revenue growth guide to 39%, but a roughly 1% sequential 3Q outlook and unchanged $125-135 million operating-income…

FIG $12B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 10 10 clicks

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…

HIMS $7.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 7 9 clicks

Airbnb 2Q'26: Widening the Gap with Booking

Airbnb added 14 million booked nights and seats, up 10%, and guided low-double-digit third-quarter growth as North America and EMEA…

ABNB $90B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 7 6 clicks

Coupang: 2Q26 Business Recap

Coupang’s product-commerce revenue rose 8% in constant currency as data-leak churn lingered, while promotions and underused logistics…

CPNG $26B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 8 clicks

CHRW · long

C H Robinson Worldwide INC

C.H. Robinson faces new liability exposure after the Supreme Court unanimously allowed state negligent-hiring claims under the FAAAA.

CHRW $17B

Value Investors Club May 17

DoorDash 2Q'26: Growth Beyond the Restaurant

DoorDash’s 2Q 2026 orders rose 27% and marketplace GOV grew 36%, with DashPass driving a slight acceleration in U.S. restaurant demand.

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 6 2 clicks

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…

PRM $4.9B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 9 clicks

Floor & Decor: 2Q26 Business Update

Floor & Decor’s same-store sales improved to minus 2%, while $45 million of tariff refunds lifted second-quarter gross profit and operating…

FND $5B

Speedwell Memos Aug 4 8 clicks

FICO FY 3Q'26: Welcome to "Gaming"

FICO's fiscal third-quarter 2026 revenue rose 26% year over year but missed consensus, and shares fell about 24% after earnings.

FICO $21B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 4 5 clicks

[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND

Builders FirstSource reported Q2 2026 sales down 9% to $3.9 billion as weak housing demand and aggressive competitor pricing cut EBITDA…

BLDR $6.3B

scuttleblurb Aug 3 8 clicks

Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots

Floor & Decor held 2026 guidance after a 2Q beat, with comps improving through June; tariff refunds lifted margins and may fund pricing…

FND $5B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 2 4 clicks

[scuttleslops] ODFL, AMD, INTC, CDNS, URI, VRSK, KNSL, WSO

Old Dominion Freight Line grew Q2 revenue 10.4% and EPS 32.3% as pricing offset lower tonnage, while excess network capacity sets up…

ODFL $37B

scuttleblurb Jul 30

Under the Hood - Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)

Adobe generates 96% of revenue from subscriptions and converts over 40% into free cash flow, but generative AI tests whether Creative…

ADBE $99B

Bearhold Research Jul 27 2 clicks

Under the Hood - Tractor Supply ($TSCO)

Tractor Supply’s 2,602-store rural retail network supported 30+ years of growth.

TSCO $17B

Bearhold Research Jul 23 1 click

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

The AI Compute Squeeze

From X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Investor Letters

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY

The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)

Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

Private Credit's Clock is Ticking w/ Glenn Schorr & Ken Worthington | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 72

Figma 2Q'26: Near-Term Re-acceleration vs. Long-Term Durability

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

Airbnb 2Q'26: Widening the Gap with Booking

Coupang: 2Q26 Business Recap

C H Robinson Worldwide INC

DoorDash 2Q'26: Growth Beyond the Restaurant

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

Floor & Decor: 2Q26 Business Update

FICO FY 3Q'26: Welcome to "Gaming"

[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND

Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots

[scuttleslops] ODFL, AMD, INTC, CDNS, URI, VRSK, KNSL, WSO

Under the Hood - Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)

Under the Hood - Tractor Supply ($TSCO)

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Blogs 12

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Sunday, August 16, 2026

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 91

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 30 of 163

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors