Monday, August 3, 2026

Meta's "True" ROIC, and Some Notes from Meta and Alphabet's 10-Qs

Meta’s adjusted LTM ROIC is in the mid-50s after excluding $80 billion of construction in progress; that capacity will lower returns as AI capex enters service.

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 3 9 clicks

Aug 3 CUB $285M

A Venezuela Lottery Ticket for 41 Cents

Triple S Special Situations Investing 8 clicks

Aug 3 BLDR $6B

[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND

scuttleblurb 9 clicks

Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots

Floor & Decor held 2026 guidance after a 2Q beat, with comps improving through June; tariff refunds lifted margins and may fund pricing…

FND $4.9B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 2 5 clicks

Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)

Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…

VISN $1.4B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Jul 31 8 clicks

Meta: 2Q26 Business Update

Meta's 2Q26 revenue rose 27%, but capex, depreciation and nascent cloud and AI ambitions raise margin and return risks as it maximizes…

META $1.8T

Speedwell Memos Jul 31 3 clicks

Amazon 2Q'26: AWS Gets the Love

Amazon’s AWS grew 37% to a $169 billion run rate in 2Q’26, while North America retail margins fell excluding a $600 million tariff refund.

AMZN $2.7T

MBI Deep Dives Jul 31 2 clicks

Cematrix Corp ($CEMX.TO) FINS Review

Cematrix posted record Q2 revenue of $18.7 million, up 76%, and $3.5 million of net income, while backlog fell 9% from year-end.

CTXXF $51M

Wolf's Substack Jul 31 2 clicks

[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us

OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…

OTCM $645M

scuttleblurb Jul 31 4 clicks

This Stock Just Got Cheaper on Better Numbers

A debt-free American manufacturer now trades at roughly 7x annualized Q2 EBITDA, with $7.35 per share in net cash and a tender floor 18.5%…

RGR $699M

The Value Road Jul 30 5 clicks

[scuttleslops] ODFL, AMD, INTC, CDNS, URI, VRSK, KNSL, WSO

Old Dominion Freight Line grew Q2 revenue 10.4% and EPS 32.3% as pricing offset lower tonnage, while excess network capacity sets up…

ODFL $38B

scuttleblurb Jul 30 2 clicks

Entravision: Another Whale Has Emerged

Entravision’s Q1 filings contain a new footnote disclosure pointing to a potential second large advertiser beyond its Hong Kong customer,…

EVC $634M

The Value Road Jul 28 12 clicks

Google’s AI Return on Investment

Alphabet’s $132 billion AI capex produced an estimated 49% post-tax incremental ROIC once only in-service assets are counted, versus a…

GOOGL $4.2T

Bristlemoon Capital Jul 28 4 clicks

BBWI · long

Bath and Body Works

Bath & Body Works is the remaining Les Wexner retail business after The Limited’s former brands were separated or sold.

BBWI $3.5B

Value Investors Club May 3 1 click

Under The Hood: Ulta Beauty, Inc. ($ULTA)

Ulta Beauty’s 46 million-member loyalty model drove strong historical cash flow, but earnings have stalled since fiscal 2022 as SG&A rose;…

ULTA $23B

Bearhold Research Apr 28 1 click

Under The Hood, HCA Healthcare - $HCA

HCA Healthcare generated $75.6 billion of 2025 revenue and an 18.9% ROIC, pairing hospital-market scale with expanding margins and lower…

HCA $96B

Bearhold Research Apr 25 4 clicks

An Open Letter to the TPL Board

Texas Pacific Land shareholders urge two board additions, data-center expertise, and capital spending beyond mineral royalties toward…

TPL $24B

310 Value’s Newsletter Apr 22 5 clicks

Under The Hood, Pool Corporation - $POOL

Pool Corporation controls roughly 40% of US pool-product distribution, with maintenance representing 64% of sales as new-pool construction…

POOL $5.8B

Bearhold Research Apr 17 3 clicks

Forgive me Father, I have Sabled.

Sable Offshore restarted Santa Ynez oil flows under a Defense Production Act order, targeting 50,000 barrels daily and a path to 60,000…

SOC $741M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Apr 16 4 clicks

First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure

GFL Environmental is buying Secure Waste at 11x 2026E EBITDA before synergies, adding high-margin produced-water and waste assets with $25…

GFL $15B

310 Value’s Newsletter Apr 13 2 clicks

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.

AXTI $5.2B

Maius Partners Apr 2 8 clicks

Water and Power: The Dual Engines Driving LandBridge’s Explosive Growth

LandBridge outlined $300 million in pore-space free cash flow within five years; its Permian data-center project remains proof of concept.

LB $6.6B

310 Value’s Newsletter Mar 26 5 clicks

NFE Bond Update

New Fortress Energy’s restructuring cancels its 12% 2029 notes for 94.3% of BrazilCo, $974 million of New NFE preferred and 25.8% of New…

NFE $25M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Mar 18 3 clicks