The Monday Morning Briefing: AI Drives Everything, Yet ROI on Massive Capex Remains Uncertain
Latticework’s briefing questions AI capex returns while featuring Close Brothers, Green Landscaping and OMS Energy Technologies.
Latticework’s briefing questions AI capex returns while featuring Close Brothers, Green Landscaping and OMS Energy Technologies.
Big day for the $PPIH family. First ever earnings call means we can start having fun. @InfoArbMonitor Q2 Delt-Sheet is ready. There's a lot of info for investors who weren't on the call to unpack... Let's stay ahead of the crowd and those who aren't willing to turn over rocks! https://t.co/zYszuSy2eZ
Just want to check in here, thx. $ALOY https://t.co/f8zOpxU1CK
Sobering one: of 31 distinct names, only 2 have actually reached my Realistic Valuation target. $EVTL and $RR. Median downside capture on the Sept '25 list: 73% of the decline I forecast. On the 2026 lists: 22-41%. Direction right. Magnitude still pending. This means there is still lots of meat on the bone in many of these names.
Across all 110 position-instances: Average short return: +25.7%Median: +23.1%Hit rate: 81% — 89 of 110 names fell Best call, and it wasn't close: $EVTL Vertical Aerospace $5.00 → $0.58 Top performer on all five lists. The Sept '25 entry is +88%. Even the July '26 entry is +66%. The company flagged going-concern risk in a filing this month.
The rest of the Sept '25 podium — a full year of holding: $EVTL +88% $SMR +77% $LVWR +76% $OKLO +73% $BTQ +73% $SOUN +69% $RGTI +67% 19 of the 20 names on that list fell. Nineteen.
@BertrandPirel to what do you attribute the substantial availability (1.85m shares) and low borrow cost (3.25%) for $GPRO at IBKR?
Astute observation here. $STLN could not be better situated for the current environment, imo. https://t.co/sy97F9J9YU
Entravision, the portfolio’s largest position, fell more than 40% from its highs as Q3 returns dropped to 37.8% YTD.
Washington Trust Bancorp offers a 5.8% dividend yield, with C&I loan growth supporting ROE despite 40% commercial real estate loan…
Zentek shipped its first ZenGUARD air-filter order to a Canadian federal facility as its Albany graphite PEA confirmed a US$3.85 billion…
Yuanbao pairs a 10.2% dividend and cash exceeding its market value with 33.5% first-half profit growth from AI-enabled Chinese insurance…
Stratus Properties liquidates Austin real estate below projected distributions, while Atlantic Lithium and Intermex await approvals for…
Beyond Meat’s Q2 2026 revenue fell 8.2% as U.S. retail and foodservice volumes declined, while a flatter, not inverted, Treasury curve…
Riley Exploration Permian raised oil production guidance after a Q2 beat, targeting 30% growth while trading at 6.52 times forward earnings.
VersaBank uses cash holdbacks and put-backs to buy point-of-sale loan cash flows, with C$7 billion in assets and AI-enabled real-time…
FGPR remains on track, PRTH's management buyout is set at $8.05, and microcap RAVE is described as cheap.
U.S. Treasury yields are testing credit and equity markets, while the discussion also targets recent changes at Glass House (GLAS).
ZOOZ · long ZOOZ Strategy trades at a roughly 37% discount to the market value of its Bitcoin holdings and cash on a fully diluted basis.
Solid Power reported a $0.11 Q2 loss and $419.3 million of cash, with its electrolyte pilot line and BMW and SK On validation central to…
IEH booked $3.6 million in mobile-defibrillator connector orders, lifting its medical revenue outlook and diversifying beyond aerospace and…
EuroDry shares rose more than 300% year to date as dry bulk markets strengthened, but an aging fleet, no dividend and a $20 million equity…
ARKO trades at 3 times estimated 2025 owner’s earnings, while its 73.6% APC stake exceeds its $473 million market cap.
Bumble trades at roughly 2x owner’s earnings and 4.76x enterprise value, with Whitney Wolfe Herd’s return central to a rerating case.
Evolus posted 21% quarterly revenue growth as U.S. facial-injectable spending bottoms, while making progress toward GAAP profitability.
Special-situations survey flags Cooper’s $3 billion buyback, Grab’s $900 million repurchase, and Beretta’s $44.80 partial tender for Sturm…
Pioneer Bancorp’s acquisitions lifted loans 13.6% and Q2 net interest margin to 4.30%, but expenses, weaker profitability ratios and a…
Zentek initiation report.
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Every account on this site, hand-picked.
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.