Monday, October 5, 2026

Selling Cenovus: Up 78% in 10 Months

Cenovus Energy, up 78% in 10 months, is sold after agreeing to buy Athabasca Oil for $5.7 billion at a rich valuation.

CVE $58B

Bison Insights Oct 5 2 clicks

Oct 5 GFL $15B

The Final Countdown: An Update on GFL’s Sale

310 Value’s Newsletter

Oct 5 CRWV $46B

The Thin Margin of Safety in Selling Compute

MBI Deep Dives 9 clicks

From X

@finphysnerd Sep 28 2 clicks

Myles on X

I'm not a big chart guy but this feels like something. $RSPD https://t.co/V4jLm7iMmQ

@stockgutter Sep 28

SG on X

$NTWK teases 52-wk highs on the back of a mostly good earnings report. This stock has been dead money for a dozen years. The monthly chart is pretty intriguing to me, especially if it closes the month >5. Taking a starter position. https://t.co/wACT0JKp6W

@TimyanBankAlert Sep 28 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Valley National Bancorp $VLY to Acquire Bluevine Inc., Accelerating Its Digital Small Business Growth Strategy and Meaningfully Enhancing Its Core Funding Capabilities https://t.co/KIPzCi3JLb

@negligible_cap Sep 28

Negligible Capital on X

Imagine being CJ Desai watching $MDB market cap shed $8B on the announcement of your departure https://t.co/rbFIKiixe1

@DeepSailCapital Sep 28

Deep Sail Capital on X

$GRML still #1 on my short squeeze tracker. I’m interested to see how this one plays out as the borrow rate is super high, but clearly volume has dropped off.

@stockgutter Sep 28

SG on X

trimming my $SB #sugar longs as the surge appears to be stalling. Still have a lot of short puts. https://t.co/GFdWSZYJS3 https://t.co/cd5i4PuWMG

@negligible_cap Sep 28

Negligible Capital on X

Imagine being CJ Desai watching $MDB market cap shed $8B on the announcement of his departure https://t.co/VsecfR53g9

@convequity Sep 28 1 click

Convequity on X

An optical circuit switch never converts the light. A conventional switch takes light in, turns it into electricity, makes a decision, turns it back into light. An optical circuit switch steers the beam. The principle in the note: rather than optimizing a difficult conversion step, remove it. Three constraints follow. 1. Power. A 100-terabit-class silicon photonics OCS consumes only 200–300 W, against roughly 6,000 W for an equivalent electrical switch. More than a 20× advantage. The 200–300 W figure is measured with the amplifiers already in place. 2. Rate. The switch is optically transparent, so the same module supports 800G, 1.6T, 2.4T and 3.2T. It does not have to be replaced each time the transceivers get faster. 3. Insertion loss. Silicon photonics currently loses more light in transit than the MEMS alternative, so semiconductor optical amplifiers are added to restore optical power. That adds system complexity. Google buys these switches from optics makers, not from the usual switch-chip vendors. Calient, Lumentum ($LITE) and Coherent ($COHR) supply Google ($GOOGL).

Portfolio Update September 2026

Portfolio added Otis Worldwide in the mid-$60s, increased Pool, Copart and Floor & Decor, and sold Berkshire Hathaway.

OTIS $25BCPRT $25B

D Invests Oct 5 1 click

Ciena, A Former Telecom Bust, Is Now In The Early Stages Of A Bona Fide Mega Boom

Ciena’s optical networking equipment sales to stronger telecom customers underpin a 2027 long thesis, unlike its 2000-era boom.

CIEN $57B

Marc Gerstein Oct 5 2 clicks

Brazil could be the Q4 Macro Play – My stock ideas: $NU, $INTR, $PICS and maybe $STNE, $PAGS, $DLO and $MELI

Brazilian fintechs NU, INTR and PICS stand to benefit from a Bolsonaro-led runoff surprise that lowers fiscal risk premiums, rates and the…

NU $74BINTR $3.2B

Substack von Philipp Oct 5 3 clicks

Nyxoah: Label Expansion Set To Unlock A Monopoly In A Billion Dollar Market.

Nyxoah's Genio implant could reach CCC patients after an FDA label expansion, targeting 30% of the obstructive sleep apnea device market by…

NYXH $135M

Stephen Tobin Oct 5 3 clicks

NVIDIA SERIES | PART 1 : Jensen's Math and the Blackwell Gap: Dies, Chips, GPUs, and Revenue

Nvidia’s Blackwell GPU rollout created an AI compute oversupply after customers preordered millions of chips amid expected shortages.

NVDA $5.5T

Kakashii's Materials Oct 5 1 click

OMSE 2026-10-05

The Monday Morning Briefing: AI Drives Everything, Yet ROI on Massive Capex Remains Uncertain

Latticework’s briefing questions AI capex returns while featuring Close Brothers, Green Landscaping and OMS Energy Technologies.

OMSE $183M

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 5 2 clicks

British American Tobacco: Harvest

British American Tobacco’s U.S. reset revives combustibles and rebuilds its nicotine-pouch portfolio after legacy-brand writedowns and Velo…

BTI $120B

Invariant Oct 4 5 clicks

Geely: Strategic NIO Battery Deal Is A Win

Geely’s ZEEKR nearly doubled first-half 2026 deliveries to 178,000, while Geely bought 30% of NIO’s battery-swapping unit to reduce…

GELYF $20BNIO $8.6B

The Asian Investor Oct 4 5 clicks

Practical Parametric Yield

Cerebras’s WSE-3 faces parametric-yield constraints that could restrict supply, making power and clock-speed tradeoffs central to its next…

CBRS $39B

Irrational Analysis Oct 4 3 clicks

Did Group 1 Overpay for Hennessy? The Seller’s Own Banker Says It Was a Record.

Group 1 paid $1 billion of goodwill for Hennessy’s 10 dealerships, a record $100 million per store, financed largely with $1.25 billion of…

GPI $2.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 4 4 clicks

HRVFF · long

Harvia Oyj

HRVFF $896M

Value Investors Club Jul 7 2 clicks

Pyxis Oncology: Better Runway Is Bullish For MICVO's Remaining R&D

Pyxis Oncology's recent financing extends MICVO's runway to clinical milestones as the oncology candidate works to establish a safe,…

PYXS $168M

Myriam Alvarez Oct 4 2 clicks

The Art of Doing Financial Engineering

AI infrastructure’s $6.3 trillion financing gap is driving structured debt and asset-backed solutions, starting with Meta’s planned 5GW…

META $1.8TMS $294B

Net Interest Oct 3 5 clicks

Walmart: Fiscal 2028 Consensus Leaves No Room For Diesel Or Rollbacks

Walmart's FY28 consensus requires 15–18% operating-income growth above plan despite diesel costs, price investments and a non-recurring…

WMT $877B

Sameer Shahzad Oct 3 2 clicks

EVI Industries. Margin inflection or fake out?

EVI Industries says its ERP and service-platform build is largely complete, testing whether 10.8% revenue growth can finally outpace…

EVI $248M

Kairos Research Oct 2 2 clicks

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…

LEN $18BMRP $3.8B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/02/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Meta’s AI agent ambitions, Netflix’s TV gaming strategy and Arc’teryx’s rise from $500 million to more than $2…

META $1.8TNFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 2 3 clicks

Single Stock Spotlight #16: Huckleberry.AI (HUCK)

Huckleberry.AI trades near $3.30 against $221 million of cash and $900 million-plus of NOLs after selling its operating business, creating…

HUCK $145M

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Oct 2 5 clicks

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Nike targets EBIT margin recovery from 5.2% in FY2027 to 13% by FY2032 as revenue declines persist and wholesale, China and digital remain…

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] Cloudflare wants bots to pay; OpenAI’s ad ambitions; Memory chip competition; Muse is a proactive assistant; the Wintel of cars and robots; Atlassian as a coordinating layer

Cloudflare is building HTTP 402 payments for AI agents, using its web network to let publishers charge bots for content access.

NET $125B

scuttleblurb Oct 2 1 click

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