Monday, October 5, 2026

Portfolio Update September 2026

Portfolio added Otis Worldwide in the mid-$60s, increased Pool, Copart and Floor & Decor, and sold Berkshire Hathaway.

POOL $5.8B

D Invests Oct 5 1 click

Oct 5 INTR $3.2B

Brazil could be the Q4 Macro Play – My stock ideas: $NU, $INTR, $PICS and maybe $STNE, $PAGS, $DLO and $MELI

Substack von Philipp 3 clicks

Oct 4 GPI $2.8B

Did Group 1 Overpay for Hennessy? The Seller’s Own Banker Says It Was a Record.

Cannibal Stocks 4 clicks

From X

@DOMOCAPITAL Sep 22

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

What makes $MNRO even more interesting is that short interest is ~22.5% of shares outstanding and 41% of the float as not only does Icahn have ~32% of shares tied up, but Gabelli (GAMCO) is also involved. This is probably why cost to borrow is so cheap. Shorts are betting on a dividend cut, but completely ignoring the fact that Icahn/Gabelli and others have 40%+ of the shares. Icahn is now flush with cash from the sale of Pep Boys to Mavis. He can either offer similar terms for $MNRO and buy the remaining shares for $25/share and come away with a superior asset vs Pep Boys or he can push for a sale of the entire company at a similar price or even more. Poison pill expires November 6th... going to get interesting. If there ends up being a proxy battle then all of these shares would have to be called back which would significantly increase short borrowing costs....

@TheBenSchmark Sep 22

JabroniCoin.USD on X

If Bernstein’s capex numbers for CXMT are anywhere in the ballpark, semicap ought to do well. At this point $ACMR seems to be still be a cheap hedge on memory https://t.co/b4lAZogFcJ https://t.co/kShCjd5m9x

@valuedontlie Sep 22

Colin King on X

$MDT $MMED exchange offer an interesting special sit… Own shares of MDT and swap for MMED at 7% discount Odd lot provision for 99 shares held too High enough share price to be worthwhile ($90+ MDT price works out to $600+ profit in a few weeks time)

@majgeoinvesting Sep 22 2 clicks

Maj Soueidan on X

Here’s a video from $RFIL website on how their DAC (direct air cooling) product works in large enclosures. In theory, $PSIX might be an interesting channel partner if they have an “at the edge” enclosure presence. DAC is not a hyperscaler solution, but the “edge”is heating up. https://t.co/h8EScDrBlo

@TheBenSchmark Sep 22

JabroniCoin.USD on X

The franchisee in bankruptcy also pointed to the reduced effectiveness of Wendy’s brand marketing and national promotional strategies. $WEN they gonna stop trian? https://t.co/oFWD9DSqud https://t.co/WyL5iMVgs8

@ACapitalLP Sep 22 3 clicks

A Capital on X

Anyone looking at $BBWI as a potential activist-driven pre-deal? Barington pushing for buybacks / strategic alternatives, ~$4bn market cap, ~$1.2bn EBITDA and trading ~5-6x EV/EBITDA. Real FCF business despite the top-line issues. What does this get taken out for if someone can underwrite a turnaround? Cc: Sycamore

@BarbarianCap Sep 21 4 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

Ethan Allen Launches Search for Next Chief Executive $ETD https://t.co/w9liHmiy2F

@irbezek Sep 21

Ian Bezek on X

What's going down faster, $OPEN's stock price or Rabois' credibility as a geopolitical analyst? https://t.co/ThqR7rsRsO

Howard Hughes: Still Attractive Despite Risks Of Rapid Transition

Howard Hughes plans to raise nearly $4 billion by selling real estate assets and condos, accelerating Vantage’s insurance expansion while…

HHH $4.3B

Gary Gambino Oct 3 3 clicks

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…

MRP $3.8B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

IRDM $5B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Belden Inc.: The Ruckus Debt Looks Scarier Than The Math

Belden targets net leverage of 2.9x by 2027 from 3.9x, using RUCKUS's 65%+ gross margins and free cash flow to reduce debt.

BDC $4.3B

Lee Bailey Oct 2

Crocs: Double-Digit Buyback Yield (Ticker: CROX)

Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…

CROX $5.5B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 2 4 clicks

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 2 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $4.8B

Seeking Profits Oct 1

How Ethos Sold Wall Street on AI While Powering an Analog Boiler Room

Ethos Technologies ($LIFE) sells AI-driven life insurance while relying heavily on multilevel marketing agencies using aggressive cold…

LIFE $2.2B

Hunterbrook Oct 1 1 click

HRVFF · long

Harvia Oyj

HRVFF $896M

Value Investors Club Jul 7 2 clicks

Geely: Strategic NIO Battery Deal Is A Win

Geely’s ZEEKR nearly doubled first-half 2026 deliveries to 178,000, while Geely bought 30% of NIO’s battery-swapping unit to reduce…

NIO $8.6B

The Asian Investor Oct 4 5 clicks

Karman Holdings q2’26 Earnings Update

Karman Holdings reported 58% Q2 revenue growth, $1.3 billion backlog and margin expansion while replacing leadership and remediating…

KRMN $4.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 1

Innodata: The 45% Pullback Has Changed My View (Rating Upgrade)

Innodata's 45% pullback resets its valuation after two quarters of 50% revenue growth, though two customers still supply 71% of revenue and…

INOD $2.2B

Kurt Christensen Oct 1

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

KMX $7.6B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1 1 click

Ladder Capital: Grab This Diversified, Investment-Grade Mortgage REIT At Below Book Value

Ladder Capital trades below book value with high yield, but faces margin pressure and office-loan exposure despite diversified funding and…

LADR $1.1B

Albert Anthony Oct 1

Group 1's CEO Said "Competitive Advantages and Opportunities." A Car Dealer? I Went Looking.

Group 1’s 19% ownership cap, tied to automaker franchise agreements, frames Conifer’s 1.9 million-share stake and potential buyback-driven…

GPI $2.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 1 1 click

Not So Fast

Entravision, the portfolio’s largest position, fell more than 40% from its highs as Q3 returns dropped to 37.8% YTD.

EVC $634M

The Mikro Kap Oct 1 1 click

Q3 2026 Consolidated Holdings, Performance, and Ideas

Irrational Analysis reports 51.55% outperformance versus a semiconductor ETF, adding Credo for SerDes and QMCO for AI-driven tape storage…

QMCO $1.1B

Irrational Analysis Oct 1

NASDAQ:YB 10% dividend, 2x P/E, 30% growth, AI beneficiary, secular tailwinds, founder CEO I think is as good as Bezos/Walton

Yuanbao pairs a 10.2% dividend and cash exceeding its market value with 33.5% first-half profit growth from AI-enabled Chinese insurance…

YB $561M

Calvin Blissett Sep 30 4 clicks

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Colin King on X

Maj Soueidan on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

A Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Ian Bezek on X

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