Friday, October 2, 2026

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is Lennar’s CEO.

LEN $20BMRP $4.3B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Oct 2 NKE $53B

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Latticework by MOI Global 2 clicks

Oct 2 NKE $53B

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Latticework by MOI Global 1 click

From X

@MaiusPartners Oct 2 1 click

Maius on X

Some $PSIX thoughts off the recent 8-K: The banking syndicate lifted committed capacity from $135m to $220m (+$85m), cut the SOFR margin from +2.60% to +1.80%, and pushed maturity from July 2027 to September 2029 (~26 months). Credit committees are structurally risk-averse. More exposure, less spread, and longer tenor only clears if they like the repayment case. So what are they underwriting that most equity investors still won’t touch? Two things the disclosures imply: 1) Weichai’s North American strategy is locked in. Change-of-control remains tied to Weichai keeping board control and ≥40% ownership (same economic threshold as before). The extension removes left-tail risk that Weichai pursues a different go-to-market path. 2) The extra capacity isn’t for today’s balance sheet. Net debt was essentially zero at Q2’26 (cash ~$70m, debt ~$73m). The new investor materials flag Prime Power as a deliverable for the first time—ranges that overlap $INIO’s data-center gas engines, a segment where $INIO recently highlighted as an area "Chinese players have historically struggled to break in" and hence command "100% market share in several datacenter power ranges". As Bezos put it: your margin is my opportunity. Have a great weekend, everybody!

@ACapitalLP Oct 2 2 clicks

A Capital on X

@GuptaSach1988 I was thinking ~0.55 $SPCX shares short per $ECHO share long, roughly the tax-adjusted look-through ratio...

@leevalueroach Oct 2 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

Ryan Cohen just bought another $17 million of $GME. Wall Street is completely unaware and brain dead here. https://t.co/sy5wCrmcKN

@negligible_cap Oct 2 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

*EQUAL-WEIGHT S&P 500 DOWN FOR 7 STRAIGHT WEEKS, MOST SINCE 2022 $RSP has been horrendous. I miss when breadth was healthy https://t.co/hsKW5s6ODt

@marginofdanger Oct 2

marginofdanger on X

Blows my mind that the 3x semiconductor ETF $SOXL has $25 billion of assets. Seems like an incredible value destruction machine.

@irbezek Oct 2

Ian Bezek on X

@elcolombiano More good news for Sureste Airports $ASR and Corporacion America Airports $CAAP. "Medellin has peaked bro" folks in disbelief. https://t.co/d7nDOraQbO

@irbezek Oct 2

Ian Bezek on X

@aurelius28 I think $CIB is worth about $100 so you're hoping for overshoot of fair value if you buy it here. I much prefer its smaller and much less liquid peer $AVAL as the "catch-up" trade.

@finphysnerd Oct 2

Myles on X

I've been out for a while due to opportunity cost, but $CTOS has sold of to 55c or 12x earnings and looks very juicy again here. https://t.co/p7vKdPj0bZ

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $53B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 1 click

Boeing F/A-XX Win: A Surprise Blow For Northrop

Boeing won the $20 billion Navy F/A-XX contract after securing the Air Force F-47, concentrating U.S.

NOC $69B

Dhierin Bechai Oct 2

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $42BIRDM $5.1B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 3 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $3.6B

Seeking Profits Oct 1

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $45B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Constellium: The Spread Between Feedstock And End Prices Keeps Widening

Constellium’s widening feedstock-to-end-price spread supports 2026 EBITDA guidance of $980M-$1.02B and free cash flow above $300M.

CSTM $3.3B

Andres Veurink Oct 1

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

DASH $81BABNB $94B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1

COCO · short

Vita Coco Company INC

Vita Coco, COCO, is pitched short after a 45% monthly rally, arguing investors are overextrapolating coconut water category growth.

COCO $3.4B

Value Investors Club Jun 2 1 click

TIC Solutions Update: New performance framework and a path to $26+ per share.

TIC targets $3 billion of 2029 revenue, 18% adjusted EBITDA margin and 85% free cash flow conversion, requiring roughly $400 million of…

TIC $1.8B

Kairos Research May 22

Vidrala

Vidrala has grown from a Spanish glass-container maker into a multi-country packaging platform with expanding Latin American exposure.

VDRFF $3.4B

smallvalue. May 19 6 clicks

Everspin Technologies: Memory Error

Everspin Technologies, a $900 million MRAM maker, has surged 300% in weeks as AI speculation blurs distinctions among memory chips.

MRAM $445M

Kerrisdale Capital May 19

Quick Value #315 - Zoetis (ZTS)

Zoetis trades at about 11x 2026 earnings after falling more than 60% from its peak, as disappointing launches and safety issues pressure…

ZTS $29B

Value Don't Lie May 18

Weekend Digest #344: Colombia Election, CAAP New Dividend, May Buy & Hold Purchases

Colombian election risks for Grupo Aval, CAAP's near-doubled Q1 EPS and new dividend, and May buy-and-hold purchases.

CAAP $4BAVAL $5.7B

Ian’s Insider Corner May 18

Inter, Nu, MercadoLibre Earnings & Outlook + LatAm Political Considerations

Inter, Nu and MercadoLibre reported 38%, 53% and 51% revenue growth, respectively, as Latin American political and macro risks drove a…

INTR $2.4BNU $61B

Ian’s Insider Corner May 17

ROAS to Riches

Entravision’s Smadex AdTech segment grew Q1 2026 revenue 204% and generated over $34 million of EBIT, becoming 78% of sales and the core…

EVC $682M

The Mikro Kap May 17 3 clicks

DoorDash: Undervalued Giant With 2x Potential!

DoorDash is framed as an undervalued giant with potential to double.

DASH $81B

Capitalist Letters May 17

Quality Trap or Buying Opportunities? IBP and MTD Updates

Installed Building Products and Mettler-Toledo, down 38% and 32%, test whether lower valuations reflect deteriorating moats or cyclical…

IBP $5.1BMTD $30B

Flyover Stocks May 16

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