Friday, October 2, 2026

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is Lennar’s CEO.

LEN $18BMRP $3.7B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 3 clicks

Oct 2 NKE $50B

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Latticework by MOI Global 4 clicks

Oct 2 NKE $50B

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Latticework by MOI Global 2 clicks

From X

@MaiusPartners Oct 2 1 click

Maius on X

Some $PSIX thoughts off the recent 8-K: The banking syndicate lifted committed capacity from $135m to $220m (+$85m), cut the SOFR margin from +2.60% to +1.80%, and pushed maturity from July 2027 to September 2029 (~26 months). Credit committees are structurally risk-averse. More exposure, less spread, and longer tenor only clears if they like the repayment case. So what are they underwriting that most equity investors still won’t touch? Two things the disclosures imply: 1) Weichai’s North American strategy is locked in. Change-of-control remains tied to Weichai keeping board control and ≥40% ownership (same economic threshold as before). The extension removes left-tail risk that Weichai pursues a different go-to-market path. 2) The extra capacity isn’t for today’s balance sheet. Net debt was essentially zero at Q2’26 (cash ~$70m, debt ~$73m). The new investor materials flag Prime Power as a deliverable for the first time—ranges that overlap $INIO’s data-center gas engines, a segment where $INIO recently highlighted as an area "Chinese players have historically struggled to break in" and hence command "100% market share in several datacenter power ranges". As Bezos put it: your margin is my opportunity. Have a great weekend, everybody!

@ACapitalLP Oct 2 3 clicks

A Capital on X

@GuptaSach1988 I was thinking ~0.55 $SPCX shares short per $ECHO share long, roughly the tax-adjusted look-through ratio...

@leevalueroach Oct 2 3 clicks

Lee Roach on X

Ryan Cohen just bought another $17 million of $GME. Wall Street is completely unaware and brain dead here. https://t.co/sy5wCrmcKN

@marginofdanger Oct 2 1 click

marginofdanger on X

Blows my mind that the 3x semiconductor ETF $SOXL has $25 billion of assets. Seems like an incredible value destruction machine.

@irbezek Oct 2 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@elcolombiano More good news for Sureste Airports $ASR and Corporacion America Airports $CAAP. "Medellin has peaked bro" folks in disbelief. https://t.co/d7nDOraQbO

@irbezek Oct 2 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@aurelius28 I think $CIB is worth about $100 so you're hoping for overshoot of fair value if you buy it here. I much prefer its smaller and much less liquid peer $AVAL as the "catch-up" trade.

@finphysnerd Oct 2 2 clicks

Myles on X

I've been out for a while due to opportunity cost, but $CTOS has sold of to 55c or 12x earnings and looks very juicy again here. https://t.co/p7vKdPj0bZ

@ACapitalLP Oct 2 2 clicks

A Capital on X

@snorlax_uw $GFL

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $50B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 3 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $47BIRDM $5.2B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 2 clicks

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 5 clicks

American Healthcare REIT: A Dip Buy Driven By Senior-Care And Outpatient Tailwind

American Healthcare REIT’s senior-housing and outpatient portfolio is driving FFO growth and dividend safety, while a rich valuation limits…

AHR $12B

Albert Anthony Oct 2 2 clicks

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.7B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 2 clicks

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $46B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 2 clicks

Constellium: The Spread Between Feedstock And End Prices Keeps Widening

Constellium’s widening feedstock-to-end-price spread supports 2026 EBITDA guidance of $980M-$1.02B and free cash flow above $300M.

CSTM $3.5B

Andres Veurink Oct 1

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

DASH $81BABNB $96B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1 1 click

Chipotle: Takeover Talk Aside, The Margin Math Is Why I Still Say Buy

Chipotle's Q2 revenue rose 9.3% as traffic and market share grew; the case rests on pricing catching inflation to restore margins.

CMG $41B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 1

How Ethos Sold Wall Street on AI While Powering an Analog Boiler Room

Ethos Technologies ($LIFE) sells AI-driven life insurance while relying heavily on multilevel marketing agencies using aggressive cold…

LIFE $2.2B

Hunterbrook Oct 1 2 clicks

GLXY · long

Galaxy Digital INC

Galaxy Digital (GLXY) is presented as a long investment idea.

GLXY $8.8B

Value Investors Club May 20 1 click

[P] SPHR: Sphere-Priced Incentives

Sphere Entertainment’s incentives are priced around Sphere.

SPHR $4B

Nongaap Investing Feb 23

One Hour Analysis: Monarch Casino & Resort ($MCRI) What’s Not to Like? Debt Free, Shareholder Friendly, Free Cash Flowing Machine.

Monarch Casino trades at 7.2 times EBITDA with net cash, completed property upgrades and projected annual free cash flow of $120 million to…

MCRI $2.1B

Investing 501 Jun 20

MNST Trading Below $53 Offers Nearly Risk-Free Return

Monster Beverage’s modified Dutch auction lets odd-lot holders buy 99 MNST shares below $53 and tender them at $53 to $60.

MNST $83B

Rod’s Ruminations May 23 1 click

Some Thoughts on Roaring Kitty

Roaring Kitty’s GameStop resurgence revisits GME shareholder activism and the meme-stock trading episode, with references to Bed Bath &…

GME $13B

Rod’s Ruminations May 21 1 click

Summary of Q4 Restaurant Conference Calls

Restaurant operators reported improving traffic, accelerating unit growth and higher advertising spend, while wage inflation ran 4-5% and…

EAT $8.1B

Investing 501 Mar 14

Highlights from Darden Restaurants' Q2 '23 Conference Call

Darden Restaurants posted 2.8% same-store sales growth as Olive Garden and LongHorn outperformed a softer casual-dining market, while…

DRI $23B

Investing 501 Dec 17

A Value Trap, an Ancient Stock Pitch, a Glimpse Into The Past

Four Corners’ insider-backed asset sale cut shareholder proceeds to roughly 80% of its prior share price. A 2016 Wilh.

FCPT $2.7B

Exploring with Alluvial Capital Sep 27 2 clicks

Does anyone remember when Alnylam went up 50 percent in a day on a phase three result

Alnylam’s 2022 50% phase-three gain faces FDA advisory-panel scrutiny over its amyloidosis drug’s label extension.

ALNY $31B

John Hempton's Newsletter Sep 12 1 click

We can get some extra votes. Pity they are worthless and scumbags are in charge of governance.

Campari’s five-year loyalty plan grants five votes per share, letting its controlling shareholder sell stock while retaining control and…

DVCMY $8.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Aug 7 2 clicks

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