Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Chevron (NYSE: CVX) Stock Rating: Move To Distribute After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Near-Peak Margins And The Iran War

Chevron moved to Distribute at $204 after Q2 free cash flow reached $18.1 billion on $104 Brent, with near-peak margins driving supernormal cash flow.

CVX $407B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30

Sep 30 YB $553M

NASDAQ:YB 10% dividend, 2x P/E, 30% growth, AI beneficiary, secular tailwinds, founder CEO I think is as good as Bezos/Walton

Calvin Blissett 4 clicks

Sep 30 EQT $31B

EQT Corporation (NYSE: EQT) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 - Why Europe's Gas Shortage Has Not Lifted The Stock

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

From X

@John_Hempton Sep 30

John_Hempton on X

@SilverBacked737 @ishedtruth444 I know you were not talking to me. But I hope you buy more $AMC anyway.

@John_Hempton Sep 30

John_Hempton on X

@SilverBacked737 @ishedtruth444 I am not mad about you buying $AMC. I have tried to encourage it. Please buy more.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 30 1 click

Deep Sail Capital on X

@P_Remarks $THEON $DLO $TOI.NE

@stockgutter Sep 30

SG on X

Happy $MKTW dividend day for those who celebrate ( $PAGS $EVC too)

@convequity Sep 30

Convequity on X

$PANW and $DDOG both put something real inside the customer's systems that an AI lab cannot recreate by calling SaaS APIs. Palo Alto's install is still harder to replace with AI. 1. Datadog's agents mostly sit outside the traffic and watch production. A bad agent version rarely takes the business down the way a bad firewall rule can. 2. Palo Alto's firewalls and SASE cloud gateways sit inside the traffic and decide what to allow, deny, decrypt or inspect. A wrong allow or deny hits live traffic and live machines. 3. Many Datadog users start the day in a coding agent and open Datadog when something looks wrong. Many Palo Alto users start in its console and stay there through alerts, triage and response. For them, an outside AI agent is an add-on. Cybersecurity work splits two ways on AI risk. Work done before code ships ("shift-left") or from outside the traffic, such as scanning code, checking cloud settings and sorting collected alerts, gives answers that are easy to check. AI agents are already taking over more of it. Work in live traffic and on live machines ("shift-right") means judging whether an attacker is still inside and whether blocking them is safe. That is more ambiguous and mistakes cost more, so enterprises move slower and demand earned trust. Palo Alto is not risk-free. In our view its exposure is the easily checked detection and vulnerability work inside its platform, which AI agents can take over sooner. The threat is not an AI-native firewall startup.

@KEDM_COM Sep 30

KEDM.com on X

American Assets Trust’s $AAT Chairman Rady continues to buy shares, now already owning 38% of s/o. The 13D also mentions that he may ‘discuss or encourage extraordinary transactions - including mergers, take‑private deals, asset sales, recapitalizations or board/management changes.’

@stockgutter Sep 30

SG on X

@grok compare the revenue $RGTI has earned ytd with the proceeds of $RGTI insider stock sales ytd

@leevalueroach Sep 30

Lee Roach on X

Pretty good thesis on $MNRO here. I think it gets sold soon. https://t.co/nx6knvA1Ng

3 Mergers and 1 Liquidation in the Danger Zone

Stratus Properties liquidates Austin real estate below projected distributions, while Atlantic Lithium and Intermex await approvals for…

IMXI $349M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 30

POSCO Holdings: A Resource Conglomerate Still Priced Like A Distressed Steel Mill

POSCO Holdings trades at a 78.6% P/B discount as lithium, gas and trading profits reshape the steelmaker, while capex and lithium prices…

PKX $17B

Capital Connoisseur Sep 30

Research Roundup Vol. LIV

Research Roundup covers AAON's data-center cooling ramp, Knife River's margin recovery, ChronoScale's Microsoft-backed neocloud buildout…

AAON $6.8BKNF $2.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 30

Annaly Capital Management: Rate Swaps Doing The Heavy Lifting For This REIT

Annaly Capital Management’s rate swaps and MBS expansion lifted earnings available for distribution 28% year over year, supporting its…

NLY $15B

Andres Veurink Sep 30

Toll roads in the sky

Asia's elevator boom favors maintenance and modernization providers, with Otis deriving nearly 90% of operating profit from after-sales…

OTIS $24B

Asian Century Stocks Sep 29 1 click

Portfolio and performance update, September 2026

Portfolio returned 65.7% through September 28 versus the S&P 500’s 13.2%, while backing Tourmaline, EQT, Athabasca and SLB on gas demand…

EQT $31B

Guardian Research Sep 29 5 clicks

FTAI Aviation (FTAI US) – The Engine Shop That Owns the Engines

FTAI Aviation’s engine-exchange model swaps CFM56 engines in days rather than 200-day overhauls, driving Aerospace Products adjusted EBITDA…

FTAI $17B

Bristlemoon Capital Sep 29 2 clicks

Dark arts or infinite reload? $TTD’s CEO options and the repricing proxy

The Trade Desk’s CEO received a new 10-year option package targeting $105 per share as the company seeks shareholder approval to reprice…

TTD $5.8B

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 29 5 clicks

Cullinan Therapeutics: Compelling Pullback For CLN-978's Potential In Autoimmune Diseases

Cullinan Therapeutics plans December 2026 autoimmune updates for CLN-978, while zipalertinib awaits an FDA decision in previously treated…

CGEM $997M

Myriam Alvarez Sep 29 2 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)

Alpha Metallurgical Resources director Ken Courtis bought $10.5 million above $190 after a blackout lifted, while Conifer’s 12.7% Group 1…

GPI $2.9BAMR $2.2B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 29 3 clicks

SIRI · long

Sirius Xm Holdings INC

SiriusXM, SIRI, combines a 32% EBITDA margin with 3.6x net leverage and a 16% free-cash-flow margin despite elevated capex.

SIRI $8.7B

Value Investors Club Jun 2 1 click

Staying the course on H&R REIT

H&R REIT’s renewed talks with Blackstone cover some assets, following office and U.S.

BX $84B

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Jun 27

Tidewater (TDW): a first-pass look

Tidewater’s $22,600 average day rate and $598 million FY2025 EBITDA rest on an aging OSV fleet, scant newbuilds and fleet acquisitions…

TDW $4B

Stock Thoughts Jun 27

The Biggest Bull Signal On Entravision

Entravision’s lost Meta relationship reset its business model, setting up a bullish case for the company’s recovery.

EVC $682M

The Value Road Jun 26 5 clicks

SAP: DCF Valuation

SAP’s DCF valuation sets a $260 base-case target versus a $155.09 ADR price, based on cloud migration, AI efficiencies and expanding EBIT…

SAP $241B

Hated Moats Jun 26

Duffy’s Last Dance

CME CEO Terry Duffy moves to executive chairman while suing the CFTC over Kalshi’s approval to list perpetual futures, defending CME’s…

CME $95B

Net Interest Jun 26

New Buy : Zoetis 🐕

Zoetis trades near 10x EV/EBIT after its selloff, with animal-health leadership, a $9.5 billion revenue base and companion-animal demand…

ZTS $29B

D Invests Jun 26

Adobe Business History

Adobe built PostScript, Photoshop and PDF into desktop-publishing standards, using free Acrobat Reader and integrated Creative Suite tools…

ADBE $92B

Speedwell Memos Jun 25 1 click

Intuit Investment Case Summary

Intuit’s investment case is condensed into a one-page company overview.

INTU $72B

Global Outperformers Jun 25

Deep Dive: XPEL

XPEL sells paint-protection film and DAP cutting software, using 90,000-plus vehicle templates to win share from 3M and Eastman.

XPEL $1.2B

Rebound Capital Jun 24 1 click

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

John_Hempton on X

John_Hempton on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

SG on X

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KEDM.com on X

SG on X

Lee Roach on X

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