Tuesday, September 29, 2026

Dark arts or infinite reload? $TTD’s CEO options and the repricing proxy

The Trade Desk’s CEO received a new 10-year option package targeting $105 per share as the company seeks shareholder approval to reprice underwater options, including for executives.

TTD $5.8B

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 29 5 clicks

Sep 29 GPI $2.9B

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)

Cannibal Stocks 3 clicks

Sep 29 KRMN $4.3B

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX

Monte Independent Investment Research 1 click

From X

@stockgutter Sep 17

SG on X

$SVM out with a new repurchase program. I'm still long. https://t.co/qk02dmc1q8

@ACapitalLP Sep 17

A Capital on X

@Fwenen $QXO vs. $XHB 🤷‍♂️ https://t.co/ueiuutNvlX

@BlueDuckCap Sep 17

BDC on X

Just surfacing this one to demonstrate we are not and never were $snap absolutists. We will go long and short and when facts and circumstances change our opinion changes too. And NO - Specs will not be a mass market hit this holiday season. Too expensive and awk form. But here's the bull case from here: 1. FCF/Share is the metric mgmt now focused on. By definition that requires fresh cost and SBC discipline. 16% hc reduction and flat share count already in place. $500mn in opex savings about to flow through. 2. Ads biz stable enough. 9% growth in Q2. Guide implies so decel. But ad checks stable vs Q2. Decent enough. Some progress on ad tech. Only needs 5% growth next year to hit our numbs. 3. Sub biz $1.2B rr, growing 85%. Needs 50% growth next year to hit numbs. 25mn paid subs, still well below penetration threshold of 7-12%. 4. Specs tech is real. 7k+ patents. Real use cases. What's that worth? $META or $MSFT or $AMZN could buy Specs for the patents alone and pay $2B and it would be nothing to them but all the call optionality which could incubate until form factor is mass market. 5. Lets just say Specs is worth $2B to a strategic buyer or partner. That implies $snap 7.5B or $4.5/ share. In this scenario then FCF/share at SNAP goes to over $1/share, easily. So 4.5x FCF on a business still growing revenue mid teens. @evanspiegel Specs are cool. But can't keep spending $500mn a year on them. Bring in a minority investor please and lets make SNAP stock great again. @IrenicCap

@MaiusPartners Sep 17

Maius on X

5/X The Setup: At ~10x earnings and a sub-$1 B market cap, $PSIX is being priced like a distressed Permian parts supplier, ignoring its structural position as a pick-and-shovel toll road for AI compute infrastructure. Full deep dive on Weichai’s global playbook and the $PSIX setup on our website:

@MaiusPartners Sep 17

Maius on X

4/X The Prime Power Endgame: Backup power is just the wedge. The prize is prime power. SemiAnalysis recently flagged $META and Anthropic deploying 300–500MW sites using 21.9L gas engines— the exact spec $PSIX supplies. As Weichai pushes its larger 12M55 and 20M55 gas engines through North American UL certification, $PSIX becomes the domestic vessel for low-cost, off-grid power generation.

@MaiusPartners Sep 17

Maius on X

1/X Weichai Power has compounded at >20% p.a. since its 2004 IPO. Yet its most asymmetrical asset isn't trading in Hong Kong—it’s hiding on the Nasdaq: $PSIX. Down 2/3 from its highs and trading at ~10x FY26 P/E, the market is completely mispricing its role in the U.S. power crisis. 🧵👇

@MaiusPartners Sep 17

Maius on X

2/X The Blind Spot: Everybody left the game when $PSIX began missing earnings since 3Q25: Jim Cramer advised people to "cut your loss" after 1Q26, thats despite telling investors to be a "Buyer Down Here” post 4Q25. Leopold left the game post 1Q26, after first buying 4Q25. Meanwhile, Maius has continuously been in the game since 2024!

@leevalueroach Sep 17

Lee Roach on X

BERETTA HOLDING S.A. COMMENCES CASH TENDER OFFER FOR SHARES OF STURM, RUGER & COMPANY, INC. FOR $44.80 PER SHARE $RGR

Applied Optoelectronics: The Biggest Growth Phase Starts Now

Applied Optoelectronics targets $1.1 billion in 2026 revenue as 800G and 1.6T data-center demand drives capacity expansion, despite…

AAOI $9.1B

Infinity Curve Sep 29 2 clicks

Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)

Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…

THRM $1BMOD $9.9B

Value Don't Lie Sep 28 3 clicks

On’s Premium Playbook

On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…

ONON $9.8B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 28 4 clicks

An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren

NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…

BHF $2.9B

Mispriced Assets Sep 27 1 click

One Hour Analysis: What would it take to break $BPRE's NAV?

BPRE trades 45% below NAV as Saba and Bulldog press for buybacks or a manager change, challenging Bluerock’s incentive to preserve…

BPRE $1.8B

Investing 501 Sep 27 4 clicks

VersaBank: The Bank Behind the Bank – How a Canadian Branchless Pioneer Wants to Make Asset-Backed Securities Obsolete

VersaBank uses cash holdbacks and put-backs to buy point-of-sale loan cash flows, with C$7 billion in assets and AI-enabled real-time…

VBNK $720M

Substack von Philipp Sep 26 5 clicks

GitLab: Positioned To Benefit From Software Development Explosion

GitLab's Q2 FY2027 beat and raised guidance reflect large deals, paid consumption growth and AI demand, while valuation rests on revenue…

GTLB $8.2B

Research and Value Sep 26 3 clicks

Updates

FGPR remains on track, PRTH's management buyout is set at $8.05, and microcap RAVE is described as cheap.

FGPR $254MPRTH $642M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Sep 25 12 clicks

Oklo: Shares Have Plunged, But I'm Still Bearish

Oklo shares have fallen 77% since October 2025 as commercialization slips beyond 2027, revenue estimates fall and dilution continues.

OKLO $6.7B

Ian Bezek Sep 25 5 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million…

PTON $2.2B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 25 5 clicks

SFIX · long

Stitch Fix INC

Stitch Fix’s 2017 IPO rested on overly ambitious long-term growth expectations and an unrealistic definition of its addressable market.

SFIX $347M

Value Investors Club Jun 30 1 click

Greenland Energy Company: A Speculative Play On The Monetization Of Greenland

Greenland Energy Company holds 2.1 million acres in the Jameson Land Basin, but drilling permits, political risk and warrant dilution cloud…

GLND $227M

Ron Ferrie Sep 27

(Public) Mach Natural Resources - A Buying Opportunity

Mach Natural Resources' Q2 distributable cash fell to $60.1 million as development spending rose, prompting a distribution cut; its units…

MNR $1.7B

HFI Research Sep 25 4 clicks

Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…

OUST $2.9B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 25 7 clicks

Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)

AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…

AAON $6.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 25 8 clicks

IEH Corporation: Research Note

IEH booked $3.6 million in mobile-defibrillator connector orders, lifting its medical revenue outlook and diversifying beyond aerospace and…

IEHC $73M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 24 12 clicks

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste: Quant Ratings Say Sell, But The Underlying Moat Says Strong Buy

ASR’s $992 million Motiva acquisition broadens its South American airport network after a 25% YTD decline, while its 8.5% FCF yield and…

ASR $6.4B

C Jessen Sep 24 3 clicks

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 24 16 clicks

Birkenstock: Sector-Leading Growth At An Attractive Valuation

Birkenstock targets 13–15% annual revenue growth through FY2028, driven by APAC expansion and closed-toe footwear, while trading at 13.44…

BIRK $5.3B

Roman Vitasek Sep 24 4 clicks

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

ZIM $3.5B

Calvin Blissett Sep 23 15 clicks

Tuesday, September 29, 2026

SG on X

A Capital on X

BDC on X

Maius on X

Maius on X

Maius on X

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Lee Roach on X

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