Toll roads in the sky
Asia's elevator boom favors maintenance and modernization providers, with Otis deriving nearly 90% of operating profit from after-sales services rather than new installations.
Tuesday, September 29, 2026
Back to today 
From X
SG on X
Looks like $NU US operations are live. Might consider if it has Zelle. https://t.co/SATYDU8b7y
A Capital on X
Just want to check in here, thx. $TMC https://t.co/1olvhoT1ME
A Capital on X
Just want to check in here, thx. $ALOY https://t.co/f8zOpxU1CK
A Capital on X
$CIFR< $16 👀
Deep Sail Capital on X
Sobering one: of 31 distinct names, only 2 have actually reached my Realistic Valuation target. $EVTL and $RR. Median downside capture on the Sept '25 list: 73% of the decline I forecast. On the 2026 lists: 22-41%. Direction right. Magnitude still pending. This means there is still lots of meat on the bone in many of these names.
Deep Sail Capital on X
What I'm carrying into the next list: → Short arithmetic, not narratives → Overleveraged and Industry Bubble earn their slot → Potential Fraud has to clear a much higher bar → Stop re-shorting $RUM Full table and methodology at Shorts & Squeeze Corner.
Deep Sail Capital on X
The rest of the Sept '25 podium — a full year of holding: $EVTL +88% $SMR +77% $LVWR +76% $OKLO +73% $BTQ +73% $SOUN +69% $RGTI +67% 19 of the 20 names on that list fell. Nineteen.
Investor Letters
All letters- Quercus Fund 2026 (Jan-Aug) FCODF $4.8B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd August 2026 MSLOF $15B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. August 2026 VHI $336M
- Forager Funds Management August 2026 BVSFF $1.4BIDPUF $554M
- Guinness Global Investors August AFL $56BDBOEY $58B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 KXS $3.4BMDA $4.8B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 NXT $12BTKOMY $92B
Dark arts or infinite reload? $TTD’s CEO options and the repricing proxy
The Trade Desk’s CEO received a new 10-year option package targeting $105 per share as the company seeks shareholder approval to reprice…
Cullinan Therapeutics: Compelling Pullback For CLN-978's Potential In Autoimmune Diseases
Cullinan Therapeutics plans December 2026 autoimmune updates for CLN-978, while zipalertinib awaits an FDA decision in previously treated…
Myriam Alvarez 2 clicks
Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)
Alpha Metallurgical Resources director Ken Courtis bought $10.5 million above $190 after a blackout lifted, while Conifer’s 12.7% Group 1…
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX
Monte Investments upgrades Karman Holdings to Buy with a $133 target after a 65% drawdown, citing 28.83x EV/aEBITDA and governance changes.
Applied Optoelectronics: The Biggest Growth Phase Starts Now
Applied Optoelectronics targets $1.1 billion in 2026 revenue as 800G and 1.6T data-center demand drives capacity expansion, despite…
Infinity Curve 2 clicks
Zscaler (NASDAQ: ZS) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q4 FY7/26 Earnings
Zscaler posted 25% Q4 revenue growth to $898.2 million and a 24.3% operating margin, but guided FY27 growth down to 16.6%-17.5% as free…
Uber: The Aggregator on Trial
Uber's $193 billion in gross bookings and $10 billion in free cash flow contrast with modest stock gains as autonomous vehicles and…
Veeva Systems (NYSE: VEEV) Stock Rating: Distribute After Q2 FY1/27 - Significant Gains To Bank
Veeva Systems moved VEEV to Distribute at $277 after a 41% gain in less than two months, despite Q2 revenue growth of 18% and 45% EBITDA…
Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)
Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…
QuantumScape: Sell The Stock That Has No Revenue And No Factory Until 2029
QuantumScape faces a 2029 PowerCo plant delay, reduced partner commitments and no revenue, with a scenario-weighted $2.12 per-share…
Bears of Wall Street 
On’s Premium Playbook
On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…
Shake Shack: The Perfect Storm For A 2027 Breakout
Shake Shack combines 23% restaurant-level margins, 703 locations and positive free cash flow; the bullish thesis targets $4 billion…
Security Analysis 1 click
The Monday Morning Briefing: Micron and Nike Earnings on Deck
Micron and Nike earnings headline a weekly briefing featuring Exor’s NAV discount, Meta’s Muse agent and Bellway’s UK housing valuation.
Campbell's: Profit Continues To Fall, But The Stock Is Becoming Interesting
Campbell’s $500 million savings program and Rao’s growth could lift EBIT despite weak FY2027 guidance, while volume declines and inflation…
Investor Overview 
SFIX · long Stitch Fix INC
Stitch Fix’s 2017 IPO rested on overly ambitious long-term growth expectations and an unrealistic definition of its addressable market.
An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren
NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…
One Hour Analysis: What would it take to break $BPRE's NAV?
BPRE trades 45% below NAV as Saba and Bulldog press for buybacks or a manager change, challenging Bluerock’s incentive to preserve…
Hindsight Capital
Hindsight Capital tests crisis-era investment decisions using anonymized company financials, including TransDigm, Halma and Texas Pacific…
Sezzle: The Market Is Underestimating This High-Growth Fintech
Sezzle’s Q2 2026 revenue rose 51.7% and adjusted net income 58.4%, while revenue per GMV reached 11.7% as Premium subscriptions lifted…
Blake Winiecki 1 click
New Buy : Honeywell Aerospace $HONA
Honeywell Aerospace, newly spun off as HONA, fell 41% from post-listing highs after Q2 2026 as supply-chain bottlenecks delayed revenue…
Publications we follow
Every publication on this site, hand-picked.
Newsletters 93
- 310 Value’s Newsletter
- Absurdly Cheap Stocks
- Altay Capital - Mostly Value Investing
- AmsterdamStocks
- Aurelion Research
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- Latticework by MOI Global
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Blogs 12
Seeking Alpha 42 of 206
Albert Anthony
Andres Veurink
Bay Area Ideas
Capital Connoisseur
Deep Value Investing
Dhierin Bechai
Equity Eagle
Eudaemon Research
Fernanda Galvez Jalil
Henrik Alex
High Alpha Professor- Investor Overview
IWA Research
Jaden Mealy
Khaveen Investments
LL Insights
Long Player
Marc Gerstein
Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT
Miletus Research- Myriam Alvarez
Petri Dish Reports
Philip Wang
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA
PV Research
Robert J. Lake
Ron Ferrie
Sam Mancini
Sharon McArd
SiliconBytes Insights
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Sorrento Research
Stephen Ayers
Steven Fiorillo
The Alpha Analyst
The Asian Investor
The Bullionaire
The Curious Analyst
The Supercycle Investor
The Undercovered Dozen
Value Capital Research
Vishal Jadaun
X accounts we follow
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
⚽️📡
💥PETITION💥
A Capital
Adam D. Wyden
AltayCap
Bank Reg Blog
Barbarian Capital
BDC
Bill Ackman
Broken Moats
BuccoCapital Bloke
Calvin Blissett
catechwilliams
Charles Frischer
Chris Camillo
Clark Square Capital
Cluseau Investments
Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
Maj Soueidan
marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
Multiples Capital
Myles
Nat Stewart
Negligible Capital
Odd Diligence
Odd Lot Arbitrageur
PAA Research
Pernas Research
Porter Collins
Prepared Remarks
Psyop Capital
Raging Capital Ventures
Red Dog Capital
RiverRoadPartners
Rusholme Capital
Sahil Khetpal
SG
Sheel Mohnot
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
Todd Wenning
ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1 Main Capital
- 1851 Capital
- Advisory Research
- Aegis Value Fund
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
- Alpine Capital Research
- Alpinum Investment Management AG
- Andrew Hill Investment Advisors
- Andvari Associates
- Angel Oak Capital Advisors
- Ariel Investments
- Aristotle Funds
- Artisan Partners
- Askeladden Capital
- Asset Value Investors Ltd
- Auxier Asset Management
- Azvalor Asset Management
- Baird Equity Asset Management
- Baron Funds
- Berkshire Hathaway
- Biglari Holdings
- Bireme Capital
- BlackRock
- Blue Tower Asset Management
- Brasada Capital
- Bretton Fund
- Brighton Jones
- Bristlemoon Capital
- Broadleaf Partners
- Broyhill Asset Management
- ByteTree
- Cambiar Investors
- Cantor Fitzgerald Asset Management
- Cedar Creek Partners
- Cedar Grove Capital Management
- Chautauqua Capital Management
- Chilton Capital Management
- Choice Equities
- Claret Asset Management
- Comus Investment
- Conestoga Capital Advisors
- Confluence Investment Management
- CrossingBridge Advisors
- Crossroads Capital, LLC
- Curreen Capital
- Davenport Asset Management
- Davis Advisors Global ADR
- Davis Advisors Large Cap Value
- Davis Opportunity Fund
- Davis Real Estate Fund
- Diranko Capital
- Distillate Capital
- Dodge & Cox Stock Fund
- DoubleLine
- East 72
- Easterly Asset Management
- EdgePoint Wealth Management
- Evolve Private Wealth
- FPA Crescent Fund
- Fairlight Capital
- Fairtree Asset Management
- Fenimore Asset Management
- Fiduciary Management
- Fiera Capital
- Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
- First Eagle Investments
- Forager Funds Management
- Frank Capital Partners
- Fred Alger Management, LLC
- Gabelli Funds
- Giverny Capital
- GoodHaven Capital Management
- Grandeur Peak Global Advisors
- GreenWood Investors
- Greenhaven Road Capital
- GreensKeeper Asset Management
- Greenwood Gearhart
- Grey Owl Capital Management
- Guinness Global Investors
- Halvio Capital
- Harding Loevner
- Harry Qelm Baabsman
- Hayden Capital
- Heartland Advisors
- Highwood Value Partners
- Hinde Group
- Hoisington Investment Management
- Hood River Capital Management
- Horizon Kinetics
- Hosking Partners
- Infuse Asset Management
- Intrepid Capital
- Invenomic Capital Management
- JM Finn
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- Jemekk Capital Management
- Kathmandu Capital
- Kaydan Wealth Management
- Kennedy Capital Management
- Kernow Asset Management
- Kingdom Capital Advisors
- LVS Advisory
- Langdon Equity Partners
- Lansing Street Advisors
- Latitude Investment Management
- Laughing Water Capital
- Leonard Rickey Investment Advisors
- Lindsell Train Limited
- Long Cast Advisers
- Lyrical Asset Management
- Mar Vista Investment Partners
- Maran Capital Management
- Markel Group
- Marram Investment Management
- Massif Capital
- Matrix Asset Advisors
- Matthews Asia
- McIntyre Partnerships
- Merion Road Capital
- Miller Value Partners
- Moon Capital Management
- Muhlenkamp & Company
- Myrmikan Capital, LLC
- Nelnet
- Next Century Growth Investors
- Night Watch Investment Management
- Nightview Capital
- Nixon Capital
- North Sky Capital
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory
- Oakmark Funds
- Oldfield Partners
- Ophir Asset Management
- Optimist Fund
- Orange Investment Advisors
- Palm Harbour Capital
- Palm Valley Capital
- Patient Capital Management
- Peapack Private
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V.
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Pershing Square Holdings
- Pittenger & Anderson
- Polaris Capital Management
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities
- Polen Capital U.S. Opportunistic High Yield
- Praetorian Capital
- Protean Funds
- QuantStreet Capital
- Quercus Fund
- RF Capital Management
- RGA Investment Advisors
- Regency Wealth Management
- Rewey Asset Management
- Right Tail Capital
- RiverPark Funds
- Riverwater Partners
- Robinson Capital Management
- Rowan Street Capital
- Royce Investment Partners
- Saga Partners
- SaltLight Capital
- Sequoia Fund
- Shelton Capital Management
- Smead Capital Management
- Sound Shore Management
- Southeastern Asset Management
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- Stone Sentinel Capital
- Stonehearth Capital Management
- Summers Value Partners
- Sustainable Growth Advisers
- TIFF Investment Management
- The London Company
- Third Avenue Management
- Troy Asset Management
- Tweedy, Browne
- Upslope Capital Management
- Vision Capital Fund
- Vltava Fund
- Vulcan Value Partners
- Warden Capital
- Wealthspire Advisors
- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- White Brook Capital
- White Falcon Capital Management
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
