Monday, September 28, 2026

Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)

Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with under 1x leverage.

THRM $1BMOD $9.9B

Value Don't Lie Sep 28 3 clicks

Sep 28 ONON $9.8B

On’s Premium Playbook

TSOH Investment Research 4 clicks

Sep 27 BHF $2.9B

An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren

Mispriced Assets 1 click

From X

@BlueDuckCap Sep 17

BDC on X

Just surfacing this one to demonstrate we are not and never were $snap absolutists. We will go long and short and when facts and circumstances change our opinion changes too. And NO - Specs will not be a mass market hit this holiday season. Too expensive and awk form. But here's the bull case from here: 1. FCF/Share is the metric mgmt now focused on. By definition that requires fresh cost and SBC discipline. 16% hc reduction and flat share count already in place. $500mn in opex savings about to flow through. 2. Ads biz stable enough. 9% growth in Q2. Guide implies so decel. But ad checks stable vs Q2. Decent enough. Some progress on ad tech. Only needs 5% growth next year to hit our numbs. 3. Sub biz $1.2B rr, growing 85%. Needs 50% growth next year to hit numbs. 25mn paid subs, still well below penetration threshold of 7-12%. 4. Specs tech is real. 7k+ patents. Real use cases. What's that worth? $META or $MSFT or $AMZN could buy Specs for the patents alone and pay $2B and it would be nothing to them but all the call optionality which could incubate until form factor is mass market. 5. Lets just say Specs is worth $2B to a strategic buyer or partner. That implies $snap 7.5B or $4.5/ share. In this scenario then FCF/share at SNAP goes to over $1/share, easily. So 4.5x FCF on a business still growing revenue mid teens. @evanspiegel Specs are cool. But can't keep spending $500mn a year on them. Bring in a minority investor please and lets make SNAP stock great again. @IrenicCap

@MaiusPartners Sep 17

Maius on X

5/X The Setup: At ~10x earnings and a sub-$1 B market cap, $PSIX is being priced like a distressed Permian parts supplier, ignoring its structural position as a pick-and-shovel toll road for AI compute infrastructure. Full deep dive on Weichai’s global playbook and the $PSIX setup on our website:

@MaiusPartners Sep 17

Maius on X

4/X The Prime Power Endgame: Backup power is just the wedge. The prize is prime power. SemiAnalysis recently flagged $META and Anthropic deploying 300–500MW sites using 21.9L gas engines— the exact spec $PSIX supplies. As Weichai pushes its larger 12M55 and 20M55 gas engines through North American UL certification, $PSIX becomes the domestic vessel for low-cost, off-grid power generation.

@MaiusPartners Sep 17

Maius on X

1/X Weichai Power has compounded at >20% p.a. since its 2004 IPO. Yet its most asymmetrical asset isn't trading in Hong Kong—it’s hiding on the Nasdaq: $PSIX. Down 2/3 from its highs and trading at ~10x FY26 P/E, the market is completely mispricing its role in the U.S. power crisis. 🧵👇

@MaiusPartners Sep 17

Maius on X

2/X The Blind Spot: Everybody left the game when $PSIX began missing earnings since 3Q25: Jim Cramer advised people to "cut your loss" after 1Q26, thats despite telling investors to be a "Buyer Down Here” post 4Q25. Leopold left the game post 1Q26, after first buying 4Q25. Meanwhile, Maius has continuously been in the game since 2024!

@leevalueroach Sep 17

Lee Roach on X

BERETTA HOLDING S.A. COMMENCES CASH TENDER OFFER FOR SHARES OF STURM, RUGER & COMPANY, INC. FOR $44.80 PER SHARE $RGR

@negligible_cap Sep 17

Negligible Capital on X

When Spiegel sell $SNAP to Bending Spoons? They could crank up the Premium+ prices by threatening to delete everyone’s memories if they don’t pay up Valuations pretty depressed, seems right up their alley

@irbezek Sep 17

Ian Bezek on X

@taobanker I hate to be that guy, but it's all Yen depreciation. The good news though, is at least it isn't $ARCO. https://t.co/qlBUlAF63w

One Hour Analysis: What would it take to break $BPRE's NAV?

BPRE trades 45% below NAV as Saba and Bulldog press for buybacks or a manager change, challenging Bluerock’s incentive to preserve…

BPRE $1.8B

Investing 501 Sep 27 4 clicks

Greenland Energy Company: A Speculative Play On The Monetization Of Greenland

Greenland Energy Company holds 2.1 million acres in the Jameson Land Basin, but drilling permits, political risk and warrant dilution cloud…

GLND $227M

Ron Ferrie Sep 27

VersaBank: The Bank Behind the Bank – How a Canadian Branchless Pioneer Wants to Make Asset-Backed Securities Obsolete

VersaBank uses cash holdbacks and put-backs to buy point-of-sale loan cash flows, with C$7 billion in assets and AI-enabled real-time…

VBNK $720M

Substack von Philipp Sep 26 5 clicks

GitLab: Positioned To Benefit From Software Development Explosion

GitLab's Q2 FY2027 beat and raised guidance reflect large deals, paid consumption growth and AI demand, while valuation rests on revenue…

GTLB $8.2B

Research and Value Sep 26 3 clicks

Updates

FGPR remains on track, PRTH's management buyout is set at $8.05, and microcap RAVE is described as cheap.

FGPR $254MPRTH $642M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Sep 25 12 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million…

PTON $2.2B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 25 5 clicks

(Public) Mach Natural Resources - A Buying Opportunity

Mach Natural Resources' Q2 distributable cash fell to $60.1 million as development spending rose, prompting a distribution cut; its units…

MNR $1.7B

HFI Research Sep 25 4 clicks

Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…

OUST $2.9B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 25 7 clicks

Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)

AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…

AAON $6.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 25 8 clicks

Vista Energy: The Cash Engine Is On

Vista Energy's Q2 2026 production rose 32% and revenue 89% as Vaca Muerta acquisitions expand its Argentine export platform and cash…

VIST $7.1B

Alan Galecki Sep 25 5 clicks

SFIX · long

Stitch Fix INC

Stitch Fix’s 2017 IPO rested on overly ambitious long-term growth expectations and an unrealistic definition of its addressable market.

SFIX $347M

Value Investors Club Jun 30 1 click

Neighborhood Intelligence Is Starting To Look Like A Mess

Neighborhood Intelligence, NXH, faces a cash shortfall after failed and restructured acquisitions, as losses and limited financing options…

NXH $273M

Vince Martin Sep 27 1 click

IEH Corporation: Research Note

IEH booked $3.6 million in mobile-defibrillator connector orders, lifting its medical revenue outlook and diversifying beyond aerospace and…

IEHC $73M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 24 12 clicks

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste: Quant Ratings Say Sell, But The Underlying Moat Says Strong Buy

ASR’s $992 million Motiva acquisition broadens its South American airport network after a 25% YTD decline, while its 8.5% FCF yield and…

ASR $6.4B

C Jessen Sep 24 3 clicks

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 24 16 clicks

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

ZIM $3.5B

Calvin Blissett Sep 23 15 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

ONDS $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 23 4 clicks

New Era Energy & Digital: 207 MW Deal Could Unlock 1.4 GW AI Giant

New Era Energy & Digital secured a 20-year Vistra power deal for 200 to 207 MW, reducing Phase 1 risk for its planned 1.4 GW West Texas AI…

NUAI $670M

Ryan Canady Sep 23

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 22 21 clicks

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

VSH $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 22 6 clicks

Monday, September 28, 2026

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