Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)
Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with under 1x leverage.
Monday, September 28, 2026
Back to today 
From X
John_Hempton on X
@stubmt I lost 0.02 percent on $AMC today. Position is tiny.
Barbarian Capital on X
Burford Capital to gain up to $1.4 bn from Apple patent defeat $BUR https://t.co/FijYGEP3fo
Barbarian Capital on X
AAR to Pay $1.8 Billion for Stake in Aircraft-Maintenance Company $AIR https://t.co/y3DZLQRhaO
Barbarian Capital on X
Vail Resorts Loss Widens After a Year of Tough Weather $MTN https://t.co/8UH8LNPKDb
DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X
@taketheLearly @GasBuddyGuy @grok $ALTO $GPRE
Barbarian Capital on X
$CROX new demand driver uncovered https://t.co/sJumnF7PRz
Lee Roach on X
Timberland companies looking pretty decent here. $RYN. https://t.co/tlr3d7MiCs
Deep Sail Capital on X
$ARQQ - Closed and reopened this one once already. Back to a good spot to re short it. Borrow came down a bit recently.
Investor Letters
All letters- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. August 2026 VHI $336M
- Forager Funds Management August 2026 BVSFF $1.4BIDPUF $554M
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 DR0 $448MALM $3.9B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 079940 $393MVVVNF $1.6B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $969MVNP $2.1B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.2B
Sezzle: The Market Is Underestimating This High-Growth Fintech
Sezzle’s Q2 2026 revenue rose 51.7% and adjusted net income 58.4%, while revenue per GMV reached 11.7% as Premium subscriptions lifted…
Blake Winiecki 1 click
VersaBank: The Bank Behind the Bank – How a Canadian Branchless Pioneer Wants to Make Asset-Backed Securities Obsolete
VersaBank uses cash holdbacks and put-backs to buy point-of-sale loan cash flows, with C$7 billion in assets and AI-enabled real-time…
Updates
FGPR remains on track, PRTH's management buyout is set at $8.05, and microcap RAVE is described as cheap.
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million…
(Public) Mach Natural Resources - A Buying Opportunity
Mach Natural Resources' Q2 distributable cash fell to $60.1 million as development spending rose, prompting a distribution cut; its units…
Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage
Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…
Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)
AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…
Vista Energy: The Cash Engine Is On
Vista Energy's Q2 2026 production rose 32% and revenue 89% as Vaca Muerta acquisitions expand its Argentine export platform and cash…
Alan Galecki 5 clicks
Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update
Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…
Birkenstock: Sector-Leading Growth At An Attractive Valuation
Birkenstock targets 13–15% annual revenue growth through FY2028, driven by APAC expansion and closed-toe footwear, while trading at 13.44…
Roman Vitasek 4 clicks
KRYS · short Krystal Biotech INC
Krystal Biotech is a profitable commercial-stage biotech with an $8.7 billion enterprise value and one FDA-approved topical gene therapy,…
The Skills AI Can’t Replace
Duolingo is presented as an AI-resilient opportunity after SaaS stocks sold off on fears that coding tools will compress software moats,…
The Great Rotation: Long Live the Old Economy — Weekly Treasure Hunt #04
Vaca Muerta’s $36–45-per-barrel breakevens, Milei reforms and $17 billion infrastructure buildout underpin the bullish case for Vista…
After Trade Review, and Earnings Mention Market Thoughts
SNAP Family Center was omitted from Snap’s earnings call, validating a 50-cent Kalshi NO contract and informing a machine-learning model…
XPEL's Manufacturing Build-Out
XPEL plans to spend $75 million to $150 million on manufacturing, targeting 52-54% gross margins and high-20s EBIT margins by 2028.
FDA vs. HIMS: Why the Oral “Wegovy Copy” Crackdown Changes the GLP-1 Game
FDA’s crackdown on HIMS’s $49 compounded oral Wegovy copy reshapes GLP-1 competition after Novo Nordisk forecast 2026 sales and profit…
My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure
A former value-investor darling, down 50%, pairs a monopoly with a recurring-revenue razor-and-blade business; debt paydown, margin…
InMode (INMD): Low-risk Take-Private Opportunity *Exited*
InMode faces $1 billion to $1.1 billion take-private bids, including Centroid and a management-led group, while Steel Partners offers $18…
Mispriced Kalshi Contract: Snapchat Family Center
Kalshi’s 87% odds of “Family Center” on Snap’s earnings call far exceed its 2.9% historical mention rate and a 15–20% street-adjusted…
New REIT position: GO Residential (TSX: GO.U)
GO Residential, a TSX-listed Manhattan luxury-apartment REIT, raised about $400 million in Canada’s largest REIT IPO and trades at a wide…
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