Monday, September 28, 2026

Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)

Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…

On’s Premium Playbook

On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…

Shake Shack: The Perfect Storm For A 2027 Breakout

Shake Shack combines 23% restaurant-level margins, 703 locations and positive free cash flow; the bullish thesis targets $4 billion…

SHAK $2.4B

SA Security Analysis Sep 28 1 click

The Monday Morning Briefing: Micron and Nike Earnings on Deck

Micron and Nike earnings headline a weekly briefing featuring Exor’s NAV discount, Meta’s Muse agent and Bellway’s UK housing valuation.

Campbell's: Profit Continues To Fall, But The Stock Is Becoming Interesting

Campbell’s $500 million savings program and Rao’s growth could lift EBIT despite weak FY2027 guidance, while volume declines and inflation…

CPB $5.9B

SA Investor Overview Sep 28

An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren

NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…

One Hour Analysis: What would it take to break $BPRE's NAV?

BPRE trades 45% below NAV as Saba and Bulldog press for buybacks or a manager change, challenging Bluerock’s incentive to preserve…

Hindsight Capital

Hindsight Capital tests crisis-era investment decisions using anonymized company financials, including TransDigm, Halma and Texas Pacific…

Sezzle: The Market Is Underestimating This High-Growth Fintech

Sezzle’s Q2 2026 revenue rose 51.7% and adjusted net income 58.4%, while revenue per GMV reached 11.7% as Premium subscriptions lifted…

SEZL $3.6B

SA Blake Winiecki Sep 27 1 click

New Buy : Honeywell Aerospace $HONA

Honeywell Aerospace, newly spun off as HONA, fell 41% from post-listing highs after Q2 2026 as supply-chain bottlenecks delayed revenue…

SOLS · long

Solstice Advanced Mtrils INC

[PQ] PLTK: Playing Bad (Governance) Odds

Playtika's governance is so poor it may create a contrarian opportunity.

An Announcement, A Visit, A Stock Pitch

Cementos Argos trades below the value of its 54.7 million Summit Materials shares, with asset sales and strategic holdings providing…

The Strategic Value of eDreams

EDreams’ Prime travel subscription model makes the €3.6 billion European OTA a potential Uber, Airbnb or Amazon acquisition target.

One More for the Offshore Basket: An Orphaned Microcap Driller

Offshore drillers have fallen 25-30% despite floater dayrates above $500,000 and utilization in the high-80% to low-90% range.

AngelAlign - Chinese clear aligners (6699 HK)

AngelAlign holds 3% of global clear aligners and sells about HK$10,000 below Invisalign in Hong Kong, alongside speculation that MBK could…

Cronos Group Update: A multi-bagger in the making?

Cronos Group's Q2 net revenue rose 46% to $27.8 million as Canadian cannabis volumes and market share grew, while its cash balance remained…

Notes and Updates

ECIP recipient banks could repurchase Treasury preferred shares at steep discounts, potentially lifting book value, while Hawaiian Electric…

Inflecting Drone Company w/ Near-Term (+300% vs. -30%) Binary Event ($RCAT)

Red Cat’s Teal Drones is one of two remaining candidates for a $600 million to $1 billion-plus U.S.

JBG Smith

JBG Smith trades at an estimated 40% discount to NAV, backed by National Landing multifamily assets, Amazon HQ demand and $1.3 billion of…