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Saturday, September 26, 2026

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New Buy : Honeywell Aerospace $HONA

Honeywell Aerospace, newly spun off as HONA, fell 41% from post-listing highs after Q2 2026 as supply-chain bottlenecks delayed revenue catch-up despite long-lived aerospace aftermarket…

HONA $49B
D Invests 13 clicks

From X

@AltayCapital 4 clicks

AltayCap on X

The only industries where obvious capital allocation lingo is useful is leasing / banking / insurance. It's much more nebulous in operating businesses that do real things. $AER ceo saying the cheapest commercial jets are on the NYSE under the ticker AER is easy to understand. As math is pencilling out cost of new orders vs buying back stock. $FOUR competes in the real world. Leasing/banking products are fungible. Much harder biz to forecast. Cap allocation is still important, but a lot harder.
@Fierce__beast

Fierce_beast on X

I guess the issue with buying corporate debt is what if interest rates keep going up or if there is inflation? Fixed rate coupon at 6% you might need to wait till maturity to get paid back. But what if there's also increased inflation? according to blackrock it looks like weighted average maturity is like 9-10 years or so for their BBB index $LQDP. With $MCD and $OTIS i think you get a 6%+ total return in most inflation or interest rate environments at these valuations, hopefully more. I was underwriting something closer to 7-8% for both those stocks personally, but probably 6% would be OK, as I am 200% leveraged long and maybe gonna go higher, so expected return on my equity from these ideas is closer to 12%, maybe 16%. But then adds some other benefits that seem decently valuable, like MCD beta .4, otis .88, defensively better than a lot of stocks in case of a recession. Maybe $MCD is just getting degrossed as everyone leveraged it up on their portfolios at the same time expecting an accepetable return of lets say 5% but leveraged 2x or more they were getting a 10%+ ROE on thier protfolio and now degrossing it at the same time. Not totally sure if i'm underwriting correctly, or if this is the best idea in the world, seemed just OK.

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Reddit: DCF Valuation

Reddit’s DCF values shares at $225, driven by international ARPU expansion from $2.2 to $8.3 by 2035 and 38% operating margins.

RDDT $28B
Hated Moats 8 clicks

IEH Corporation: Research Note

IEH booked $3.6 million in mobile-defibrillator connector orders, lifting its medical revenue outlook and diversifying beyond aerospace and…

IEHC $73M
Atrium Research - Equity Research 13 clicks
HRBR · long

Harbor Diversified INC

Harbor Diversified trades at about $0.65 per $1.00 of cash, with at least $150 million in cash as its sole asset.

HRBR $129M
Value Investors Club 1 click

IOFNF- Iofina (buy)

Iofina’s IO10 iodine plant is due in Q3 2024, adding 100 to 150 metric tons of capacity while higher brine costs pressure earnings.

IOFNF $107M
Sylence Capital 1 click

JVA- Coffee Holding Co (buy)

Coffee Holding trades near a $9 million market cap and $17 million net current asset value, while its proposed Delta merger values JVA…

JVA $23M
Sylence Capital 1 click

A Mexican Blue Chip Bargain

Grupo Herdez, a MXN 15.2 billion Mexican food company, pairs dominant grocery brands with McCormick, Barilla and Hormel joint ventures.

GUZOF $949M
Exploring with Alluvial Capital

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